UEFA Europa League Semi-finals Thu, Apr 30 2026 · 20:00 The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
Nottingham Forest
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.43 – 0.72
Aston Villa
  • C. Wood 71’ (P)
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Wood goal decides it for Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Wood goal. Nottingham Forest finished with the higher xG (1.43 vs 0.72). On the chances created, Aston Villa deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Nottingham Forest ✓45%
Draw26%
Aston Villa29%

Model vs reality

Nottingham Forest goals
1
Model 1.63 · xG 1.43
Aston Villa goals
0
Model 1.27 · xG 0.72
Total goals
1
Model 2.91 · xG 2.15
Score 1–0
8%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 56%
Both scored
No
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchE. AndersonNottingham Forest
7.9
  • RefereeJoao Pedro Pinheiro
  • VenueThe City Ground
  • Table before kick-offNottingham Forest 5th · Aston Villa 1st

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. ⇄ L. BogardeFor A. Onana
    55’
  3. C. Wood (pen) 1–0
    71’
  4. ⇄ Z. AbbottFor T. Aina
    75’
  5. Y. TielemansYellow card · Roughing
    78’
  6. ⇄ Douglas LuizFor L. Digne
    79’
  7. ⇄ J. SanchoFor J. McGinn
    79’
  8. ⇄ I. MaatsenFor E. Buendía
    79’
  9. ⇄ R. YatesFor Igor Jesus
    90’
  10. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Nottingham Forest11 shots · 9 in box, 2 outside
Aston Villa9 shots · 7 in box, 2 outside
Nottingham ForestAston Villa
51% Possession 49%
1.43 Expected goals (xG) 0.72
1.89 Expected points (xPts) 0.84
11 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
3 Shots off target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
9 Shots inside the box 7
2 Shots outside the box 2
390 Passes 363
86% Pass accuracy 86%
5 Corners 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 0
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.08 Team rating 6.67

Line-ups

Nottingham Forest 4-4-2

277.2 S. Ortega(G)
36.7 N. Williams 47.2 Morato 316.9 N. Milenković 347.0 T. Aina ↓75’
107.2 M. Gibbs-White 87.9★ E. Anderson 166.9 N. Domínguez 217.2 O. Hutchinson
117.0 C. Wood 196.7 Igor Jesus ↓90’
  • 27S. Ortega (G)7.2
  • 3N. Williams6.7
  • 4Morato7.2
  • 31N. Milenković6.9
  • 34T. Aina↓75’7.0
  • 10M. Gibbs-White7.2
  • 8E. Anderson ★7.9
  • 16N. Domínguez6.9
  • 21O. Hutchinson7.2
  • 11C. Wood7.0
  • 19Igor Jesus↓90’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 44Z. Abbott↑75’6.7
  • 22R. Yates↑90’

Unused: M. Sels, Keehan Willows, Justin Hanks, J. McAtee, D. Bakwa, Archie Whitehall, Jimmy Sinclair, L. Lucca, Zyan Blake

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

237.7 E. Martínez(G)
126.3 L. Digne ↓79’ 146.7 Pau Torres 46.7 E. Konsa 26.7 M. Cash
86.2 Y. Tielemans 246.9 A. Onana ↓55’
106.3 E. Buendía ↓79’ 276.3 M. Rogers 77.3 J. McGinn ↓79’
116.3 O. Watkins
  • 23E. Martínez (G)7.7
  • 12L. Digne↓79’6.3
  • 14Pau Torres6.7
  • 4E. Konsa6.7
  • 2M. Cash6.7
  • 8Y. Tielemans6.2
  • 24A. Onana↓55’6.9
  • 10E. Buendía↓79’6.3
  • 27M. Rogers6.3
  • 7J. McGinn↓79’7.3
  • 11O. Watkins6.3

Substitutes used

  • 26L. Bogarde↑55’6.7
  • 22I. Maatsen↑79’6.6
  • 19J. Sancho↑79’6.7
  • 21Douglas Luiz↑79’6.7

Unused: M. Bizot, J. Wright, V. Lindelöf, T. Mings, Andrés García, H. Elliott, L. Bailey, T. Abraham

Player stats

Top rated
E. AndersonNottingham Forest7.9
2nd
E. MartínezAston Villa7.7
3rd
J. McGinnAston Villa7.3

Nottingham Forest

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
S. Ortega G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 73% 26 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.2
N. Williams D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 34 2 0 0/3 1/1 6.7
Morato D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 34 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
N. Milenković D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 23 2 3 0/0 0/0 6.9
T. Aina D 75 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 35 2 0 1/1 0/0 7.0
M. Gibbs-White M 90 0 0 2 (0) 1 82% 44 0 0 1/2 1/1 7.2
E. Anderson M 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 91% 68 3 2 1/1 1/3 7.9
N. Domínguez M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 91% 45 2 0 0/0 1/2 6.9
O. Hutchinson F 90 0 0 2 (2) 3 90% 31 2 0 6/10 1/2 7.2
C. Wood F 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 62% 21 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
Igor Jesus F 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 94% 17 1 2 0/1 0/0 6.7
Z. Abbott D 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
R. Yates M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Aston Villa

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
E. Martínez G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 70% 30 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.7
L. Digne D 79 0 0 0 (0) 1 90% 21 1 1 0/1 2/0 6.3
Pau Torres D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 90% 29 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.7
E. Konsa D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 56 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.7
M. Cash D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 32 2 2 0/0 1/1 6.7
Y. Tielemans M 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 92% 38 1 0 1/2 2/0 6.2
A. Onana M 55 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 15 2 1 0/0 0/0 6.9
E. Buendía M 79 0 0 0 (0) 0 79% 28 3 0 0/2 1/0 6.3
M. Rogers F 90 0 0 2 (1) 2 78% 23 1 1 2/2 3/1 6.3
J. McGinn M 79 0 0 0 (0) 2 78% 23 2 1 2/2 0/1 7.3
O. Watkins F 90 0 0 1 (1) 2 85% 20 0 0 1/3 1/0 6.3
L. Bogarde M 35 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 27 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.7
I. Maatsen D 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 6 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
J. Sancho F 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
Douglas Luiz M 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.