Premier League Gameweek 4 Sat, Sep 12 2026 · 15:00 Villa Park, Birmingham
Aston Villa
1–2 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.82 – 2.28
Nottingham Forest
  • Alysson Edward 74’
  • 46’ L. Delap
  • 88’ Igor Jesus
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Jesus’s late goal settles it for Nottingham Forest

Aston Villa entered as favourites, but Nottingham Forest won 2–1 through goals from Delap and Jesus. Aston Villa replied through a Edward goal. Nottingham Forest finished with the higher xG (2.28 vs 0.82).

Aston Villa51%
Draw24%
Nottingham Forest ✓25%

Model vs reality

Aston Villa goals
1
Model 1.70 · xG 0.82
Nottingham Forest goals
2
Model 1.11 · xG 2.28
Total goals
3
Model 2.82 · xG 3.10
Score 1–2
6%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 53%
Both scored
Yes
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchD. MuñozNottingham Forest
8.0
  • RefereeAndy Madley
  • CoachesUnai Emery · Oliver Glasner
  • VenueVilla Park
  • Table before kick-offAston Villa 18th · Nottingham Forest 16th
  • Weather at kick-off21°C · Overcast · wind 18 km/h

Timeline

  1. ⇄ T. MingsFor Pau Torres
    25’
  2. D. NdoyeYellow card · Foul
    43’
  3. N. JacksonYellow card · Argument
    45’
  4. MurilloYellow card · Foul
    45+3’
  5. Half time · 0–0
  6. ⇄ Alysson EdwardFor George Hemmings
    46’
  7. ⇄ T. AbrahamFor N. Jackson
    46’
  8. L. Delap 0–1Assist Murillo
    46’
  9. X. SchlagerYellow card · Foul
    56’
  10. ⇄ J. ManzambiFor R. Barkley
    63’
  11. ⇄ I. MbayeFor E. Buendía
    63’
  12. L. DelapYellow card · Argument
    74’
  13. Alysson Edward 1–1Assist J. McGinn
    74’
  14. ⇄ Igor JesusFor D. Ndoye
    75’
  15. J. McAteeYellow card · Foul
    80’
  16. ⇄ I. SangaréFor J. McAtee
    82’
  17. Igor Jesus 1–2Assist M. Gibbs-White
    88’
  18. ⇄ C. WoodFor L. Delap
    90+1’
  19. T. MingsYellow card · Foul
    90+5’
  20. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

Aston Villa7 shots · 6 in box, 1 outside
Nottingham Forest22 shots · 14 in box, 8 outside
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
54% Possession 46%
0.82 Expected goals (xG) 2.28
0.54 Expected points (xPts) 2.29
7 Shots 22
5 Shots on target 7
1 Shots off target 12
1 Blocked shots 3
6 Shots inside the box 14
1 Shots outside the box 8
421 Passes 360
82% Pass accuracy 86%
6 Corners 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Fouls 16
0 Offsides 4
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
6.77 Team rating 7.15

Line-ups

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

17.2 Z. Suzuki(G)
226.3 I. Maatsen 146.9 Pau Torres ↓25’ 36.3 V. Lindelöf 296.9 A. Wan-Bissaka
66.7 R. Barkley ↓63’ 87.2 B. Kamara
536.5 George Hemmings ↓46’ 106.2 E. Buendía ↓63’ 77.2 J. McGinn A
116.3 N. Jackson ↓46’
  • 1Z. Suzuki (G)7.2
  • 22I. Maatsen6.3
  • 14Pau Torres↓25’6.9
  • 3V. Lindelöf6.3
  • 29A. Wan-Bissaka6.9
  • 6R. Barkley↓63’6.7
  • 8B. Kamara7.2
  • 53George Hemmings↓46’6.5
  • 10E. Buendía↓63’6.2
  • 7J. McGinnA7.2
  • 11N. Jackson↓46’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 5T. Mings↑25’7.2
  • 44J. Manzambi↑63’6.3
  • 47Alysson Edward↑46’7.5
  • 18T. Abraham↑46’6.5
  • 19I. Mbaye↑63’6.6

Unused: M. Bizot, M. Ruggeri, L. Bogarde, A. Garnacho

Coach: Unai Emery

Nottingham Forest 3-4-2-1

267.3 M. Sels(G)
56.6 Murillo A 26.9 O. Diomande 346.9 T. Aina
36.7 N. Williams 217.3 X. Schlager 247.5 J. McAtee ↓82’ 278.0★ D. Muñoz
107.5 M. Gibbs-White A 146.6 D. Ndoye ↓75’
197.2 L. Delap ↓90’
  • 26M. Sels (G)7.3
  • 5MurilloA6.6
  • 2O. Diomande6.9
  • 34T. Aina6.9
  • 3N. Williams6.7
  • 21X. Schlager7.3
  • 24J. McAtee↓82’7.5
  • 27D. Muñoz ★8.0
  • 10M. Gibbs-WhiteA7.5
  • 14D. Ndoye↓75’6.6
  • 19L. Delap↓90’7.2

Substitutes used

  • 6I. Sangaré↑82’6.7
  • 9C. Wood↑90’
  • 11Igor Jesus↑75’7.7

Unused: John Victor, L. Netz, R. Yates, C. Hudson-Odoi, N. Domínguez, A. Kalimuendo

Coach: Oliver Glasner

Player stats

Top rated
D. MuñozNottingham Forest8.0
2nd
Alysson EdwardAston Villa7.5
3rd
J. McAteeNottingham Forest7.5

Aston Villa

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Z. Suzuki G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 59% 46 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.2
I. Maatsen D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 83% 35 1 2 0/3 0/0 6.3
Pau Torres D 25 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 26 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
V. Lindelöf D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 94% 66 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
A. Wan-Bissaka D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 85% 48 5 3 1/1 0/1 6.9
R. Barkley M 63 0 0 1 (1) 0 94% 32 4 0 0/1 3/1 6.7
B. Kamara M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 81% 36 3 0 0/0 1/3 7.2
George Hemmings M 46 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 7 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.5
E. Buendía M 63 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 20 0 0 1/2 1/2 6.2
J. McGinn M 90 0 1 0 (0) 2 90% 21 1 1 0/2 0/5 7.2
N. Jackson F 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 6 0 0 1/2 1/0 6.3
T. Mings D 65 0 0 1 (0) 0 86% 35 1 1 1/1 1/1 7.2
J. Manzambi M 27 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 10 1 0 0/2 0/0 6.3
Alysson Edward M 44 1 0 1 (1) 0 69% 13 0 0 1/3 1/1 7.5
T. Abraham F 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 10 0 0 1/2 0/0 6.5
I. Mbaye F 27 0 0 1 (1) 1 80% 10 1 0 0/1 1/0 6.6

Nottingham Forest

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Sels G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 71% 21 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
Murillo D 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 86% 43 2 2 1/2 5/0 6.6
O. Diomande D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 97% 33 1 1 0/1 0/1 6.9
T. Aina D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 40 3 1 0/1 1/1 6.9
N. Williams D 90 0 0 2 (0) 1 81% 21 1 0 0/2 0/1 6.7
X. Schlager M 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 86% 42 6 3 1/1 2/1 7.3
J. McAtee M 82 0 0 2 (1) 2 83% 48 3 1 0/0 3/3 7.5
D. Muñoz D 90 0 0 1 (1) 5 92% 37 4 0 0/2 0/0 8.0
M. Gibbs-White M 90 0 1 2 (1) 7 86% 37 1 0 0/1 1/2 7.5
D. Ndoye F 75 0 0 3 (1) 1 78% 9 0 0 0/0 3/1 6.6
L. Delap F 90 1 0 5 (1) 1 67% 12 1 0 1/3 1/1 7.2
I. Sangaré M 8 0 0 1 (0) 0 75% 8 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
C. Wood F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Igor Jesus F 15 1 0 1 (1) 1 100% 9 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.