UEFA Europa League Matchday 8 Thu, Jan 29 2026 · 20:00 Villa Park, Birmingham
3–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.62 – 2.31
  • M. Rogers 65’
  • T. Mings 76’
  • J. Jimoh-Aloba 87’
  • 33’ K. Konaté
  • 49’ M. Yeo
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Aston Villa come from two goals down to win

Aston Villa entered as clear favourites, yet Red Bull Salzburg led 2–0 after 49 minutes through goals from Konaté and Yeo. But Rogers, Mings and Jimoh-Aloba scored to turn it around for Aston Villa, who won 3–2. Aston Villa won despite the lower xG; Red Bull Salzburg created the better chances (2.31 vs 1.62). On the chances created, Red Bull Salzburg deserved more: 1.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Aston Villa ✓76%
Draw15%
Red Bull Salzburg9%

Model vs reality

Aston Villa goals
3
Model 2.69 · xG 1.62
Red Bull Salzburg goals
2
Model 0.85 · xG 2.31
Total goals
5
Model 3.54 · xG 3.93
Score 3–2
3%
Most likely 2–0 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 69%
Both scored
Yes
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. RogersAston Villa · 1 goal
8.0
  • RefereeRohit Saggi
  • Coaches— · T. Letsch
  • VenueVilla Park
  • Table before kick-offAston Villa 2nd · Red Bull Salzburg 28th

Timeline

  1. K. Konaté 0–1Assist E. Baidoo
    33’
  2. J. GadouYellow card · Foul
    35’
  3. ⇄ M. RogersFor O. Watkins
    35’
  4. Half time · 0–1
  5. ⇄ M. CashFor George Hemmings
    46’
  6. ⇄ M. YeoFor K. Konaté
    46’
  7. M. Yeo 0–2Assist Kerim Alajbegović
    49’
  8. M. Rogers 1–2Assist E. Buendía
    65’
  9. ⇄ E. KonsaFor A. Onana
    66’
  10. ⇄ J. Jimoh-AlobaFor E. Buendía
    66’
  11. ⇄ Clement BischoffFor Kerim Alajbegović
    73’
  12. ⇄ K. OnisiwoFor E. Baidoo
    73’
  13. T. Mings 2–2Assist M. Cash
    76’
  14. ⇄ K. YoungFor J. Sancho
    78’
  15. J. Jimoh-Aloba 3–2Assist K. Young
    87’
  16. ⇄ M. KjærgaardFor S. Kitano
    89’
  17. ⇄ O. LukićFor S. Diabaté
    89’
  18. Full time · 3–2

Team stats

Aston Villa12 shots · 9 in box, 3 outside
Red Bull Salzburg14 shots · 9 in box, 5 outside
Aston VillaRed Bull Salzburg
66% Possession 34%
1.62 Expected goals (xG) 2.31
1.00 Expected points (xPts) 1.80
12 Shots 14
8 Shots on target 8
3 Shots off target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
9 Shots inside the box 9
3 Shots outside the box 5
622 Passes 327
89% Pass accuracy 80%
4 Corners 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 6
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.85 Team rating 6.46

Line-ups

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

237.6 E. Martínez(G)
126.7 L. Digne 57.6 T. Mings 36.3 V. Lindelöf 266.2 L. Bogarde
536.3 George Hemmings ↓46’ 247.3 A. Onana ↓66’
106.5 E. Buendía A↓66’ 96.3 H. Elliott 196.7 J. Sancho ↓78’
116.5 O. Watkins ↓35’
  • 23E. Martínez (G)7.6
  • 12L. Digne6.7
  • 5T. Mings7.6
  • 3V. Lindelöf6.3
  • 26L. Bogarde6.2
  • 53George Hemmings↓46’6.3
  • 24A. Onana↓66’7.3
  • 10E. BuendíaA↓66’6.5
  • 9H. Elliott6.3
  • 19J. Sancho↓78’6.7
  • 11O. Watkins↓35’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 27M. Rogers ★↑35’8.0
  • 2M. CashA↑46’7.0
  • 4E. Konsa↑66’6.7
  • 20J. Jimoh-Aloba↑66’7.6
  • 51K. YoungA↑78’6.6

Unused: J. Wright, M. Bizot, Pau Torres, I. Maatsen

Red Bull Salzburg 4-2-3-1

16.3 A. Schlager(G)
135.9 F. Krätzig 446.0 J. Schuster 236.5 J. Gadou 376.0 T. Trummer
57.0 S. Diabaté ↓89’ 186.3 M. Bidstrup
277.2 Kerim Alajbegović A↓73’ 86.2 S. Kitano ↓89’ 206.9 E. Baidoo A↓73’
197.2 K. Konaté ↓46’
  • 1A. Schlager (G)6.3
  • 13F. Krätzig5.9
  • 44J. Schuster6.0
  • 23J. Gadou6.5
  • 37T. Trummer6.0
  • 5S. Diabaté↓89’7.0
  • 18M. Bidstrup6.3
  • 27Kerim AlajbegovićA↓73’7.2
  • 8S. Kitano↓89’6.2
  • 20E. BaidooA↓73’6.9
  • 19K. Konaté↓46’7.2

Substitutes used

  • 49M. Yeo↑46’6.7
  • 14M. Kjærgaard↑89’
  • 7Clement Bischoff↑73’6.6
  • 25O. Lukić↑89’
  • 9K. Onisiwo↑73’6.5

Unused: S. Hamzić, C. Zawieschitzky, A. Terzić, S. Lainer, J. Rasmussen, M. Diambou, E. Aguilar

Coach: T. Letsch

Player stats

Top rated
M. RogersAston Villa8.0
2nd
E. MartínezAston Villa7.6
3rd
T. MingsAston Villa7.6

Aston Villa

Red Bull Salzburg

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.