Premier League Gameweek 33 Sun, Apr 19 2026 · 14:00 Villa Park, Birmingham
Aston Villa
4–3 Full time · HT 2–1 xG 2.84 – 1.73
Sunderland
  • O. Watkins 2’, 36’
  • M. Rogers 46’
  • T. Abraham 90’
  • 9’ C. Rigg
  • 86’ T. Hume
  • 87’ W. Isidor
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Abraham’s late goal settles it for Aston Villa

Aston Villa entered as favourites and won 4–3 through goals from Watkins, Rogers and Abraham. Sunderland replied through goals from Rigg, Hume and Isidor. Aston Villa finished with the higher xG (2.84 vs 1.73). On the chances created, Sunderland deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Aston Villa ✓58%
Draw23%
Sunderland19%

Model vs reality

Aston Villa goals
4
Model 1.89 · xG 2.84
Sunderland goals
3
Model 0.98 · xG 1.73
Total goals
7
Model 2.87 · xG 4.57
Score 4–3
<1%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 55%
Both scored
Yes
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. RogersAston Villa · 1 goal
9.0
  • RefereeSamuel Barrott
  • VenueVilla Park
  • Table before kick-offAston Villa 4th · Sunderland 11th

Timeline

  1. O. Watkins 1–0Assist J. McGinn
    2’
  2. C. Rigg 1–1Assist N. Sadiki
    9’
  3. O. Watkins 2–1Assist I. Maatsen
    36’
  4. Half time · 2–1
  5. M. Rogers 3–1Assist O. Watkins
    46’
  6. ⇄ C. TalbiFor C. Rigg
    63’
  7. ⇄ D. BallardFor O. Alderete
    63’
  8. ⇄ T. HumeFor Reinildo
    63’
  9. N. SadikiYellow card · Foul
    66’
  10. ⇄ L. DigneFor I. Maatsen
    70’
  11. ⇄ E. BuendíaFor R. Barkley
    70’
  12. ⇄ T. AbrahamFor O. Watkins
    80’
  13. ⇄ J. SanchoFor J. McGinn
    80’
  14. ⇄ W. IsidorFor B. Brobbey
    84’
  15. T. Hume 3–2
    86’
  16. W. Isidor 3–3Assist E. Le Fée
    87’
  17. T. Abraham 4–3Assist L. Digne
    90’
  18. N. MukieleYellow card · Foul
    90+5’
  19. A. OnanaYellow card · Argument
    90+8’
  20. D. BallardYellow card · Argument
    90+8’
  21. Full time · 4–3

Team stats

Aston Villa15 shots · 10 in box, 5 outside
Sunderland10 shots · 8 in box, 2 outside
Aston VillaSunderland
50% Possession 50%
2.84 Expected goals (xG) 1.73
2.00 Expected points (xPts) 0.83
15 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 7
5 Shots off target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
10 Shots inside the box 8
5 Shots outside the box 2
403 Passes 406
85% Pass accuracy 84%
4 Corners 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 3
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
7.12 Team rating 6.42

Line-ups

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

237.0 E. Martínez(G)
226.7 I. Maatsen A↓70’ 56.2 T. Mings 46.3 E. Konsa 26.2 M. Cash
87.5 Y. Tielemans 246.9 A. Onana
279.0★ M. Rogers 66.5 R. Barkley ↓70’ 77.7 J. McGinn A↓80’
118.6 O. Watkins A↓80’
  • 23E. Martínez (G)7.0
  • 22I. MaatsenA↓70’6.7
  • 5T. Mings6.2
  • 4E. Konsa6.3
  • 2M. Cash6.2
  • 8Y. Tielemans7.5
  • 24A. Onana6.9
  • 27M. Rogers ★9.0
  • 6R. Barkley↓70’6.5
  • 7J. McGinnA↓80’7.7
  • 11O. WatkinsA↓80’8.6

Substitutes used

  • 12L. DigneA↑70’6.9
  • 18T. Abraham↑80’7.5
  • 10E. Buendía↑70’6.5
  • 19J. Sancho↑80’5.9

Unused: M. Bizot, V. Lindelöf, L. Bailey, Douglas Luiz, L. Bogarde

Sunderland 4-2-3-1

225.9 R. Roefs(G)
175.9 Reinildo ↓63’ 156.0 O. Alderete ↓63’ 136.5 L. O'Nien 205.9 N. Mukiele
276.3 N. Sadiki A 346.5 G. Xhaka
286.9 E. Le Fée A 196.3 M. Diarra 117.3 C. Rigg ↓63’
96.2 B. Brobbey ↓84’
  • 22R. Roefs (G)5.9
  • 17Reinildo↓63’5.9
  • 15O. Alderete↓63’6.0
  • 13L. O'Nien6.5
  • 20N. Mukiele5.9
  • 27N. SadikiA6.3
  • 34G. Xhaka6.5
  • 28E. Le FéeA6.9
  • 19M. Diarra6.3
  • 11C. Rigg↓63’7.3
  • 9B. Brobbey↓84’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 7C. Talbi↑63’6.5
  • 5D. Ballard↑63’7.3
  • 18W. Isidor↑84’7.7
  • 32T. Hume↑63’8.0

Unused: M. Ellborg, D. Cirkin, H. Jones, L. Geertruida, Eliezer Mayenda

Player stats

Top rated
M. RogersAston Villa9.0
2nd
O. WatkinsAston Villa8.6
3rd
T. HumeSunderland8.0

Aston Villa

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
E. Martínez G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 65% 52 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
I. Maatsen D 70 0 1 0 (0) 2 83% 24 0 1 0/1 2/1 6.7
T. Mings D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 87% 68 0 1 0/0 1/1 6.2
E. Konsa D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 98% 41 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
M. Cash D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 96% 27 2 0 0/1 1/1 6.2
Y. Tielemans M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 96% 53 3 2 0/0 0/2 7.5
A. Onana M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 87% 39 2 0 0/0 1/0 6.9
M. Rogers F 90 1 0 1 (1) 1 81% 31 0 1 2/2 1/2 9.0
R. Barkley M 70 0 0 1 (1) 0 94% 16 0 0 2/2 0/0 6.5
J. McGinn M 80 0 1 0 (0) 4 78% 23 0 0 2/4 3/1 7.7
O. Watkins F 80 2 1 3 (2) 3 67% 12 1 0 0/1 2/0 8.6
L. Digne D 20 0 1 0 (0) 1 83% 6 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
T. Abraham F 10 1 0 1 (1) 0 50% 2 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.5
E. Buendía M 20 0 0 3 (1) 0 67% 6 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.5
J. Sancho F 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 33% 3 0 0 0/1 0/0 5.9

Sunderland

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
R. Roefs G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 63% 24 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.9
Reinildo D 63 0 0 0 (0) 1 80% 25 0 0 1/1 1/1 5.9
O. Alderete D 63 0 0 0 (0) 0 76% 33 1 0 0/0 2/0 6.0
L. O'Nien M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 59 1 1 0/0 0/2 6.5
N. Mukiele D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 78% 37 1 2 0/0 2/0 5.9
N. Sadiki M 90 0 1 0 (0) 2 86% 29 4 0 1/3 1/0 6.3
G. Xhaka M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 92% 71 0 2 1/1 1/0 6.5
E. Le Fée M 90 0 1 2 (2) 3 89% 28 3 1 0/1 0/3 6.9
M. Diarra M 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 83% 40 0 1 0/0 1/3 6.3
C. Rigg M 63 1 0 2 (1) 0 80% 20 1 0 2/3 0/0 7.3
B. Brobbey F 84 0 0 1 (1) 0 50% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
C. Talbi F 27 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 9 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
D. Ballard D 27 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 13 1 0 0/0 1/1 7.3
W. Isidor F 6 1 0 1 (1) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 1/0 7.7
T. Hume D 27 1 0 1 (1) 0 91% 11 2 0 0/0 0/0 8.0

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.