Serie A Gameweek 18 Sat, Jan 3 2026 · 19:45 Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo
Atalanta
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.80 – 0.78
AS Roma
  • G. Scalvini 12’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Scalvini goal decides it for Atalanta

Atalanta entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Scalvini goal. Atalanta finished with the higher xG (1.80 vs 0.78).

Atalanta ✓41%
Draw28%
AS Roma32%

Model vs reality

Atalanta goals
1
Model 1.39 · xG 1.80
AS Roma goals
0
Model 1.19 · xG 0.78
Total goals
1
Model 2.58 · xG 2.58
Score 1–0
10%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 48%
Both scored
No
Model 53%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchB. DjimsitiAtalanta
8.6
  • RefereeMichael Fabbri
  • VenueGewiss Stadium
  • Table before kick-offAtalanta 10th · AS Roma 4th

Timeline

  1. G. Scalvini 1–0
    12’
  2. M. de RoonYellow card
    19’
  3. ⇄ H. AhanorFor S. Kolašinac
    26’
  4. VAR G. ScamaccaGoal Disallowed - offside
    29’
  5. R. PalladinoYellow card
    31’
  6. G. ManciniYellow card
    43’
  7. HermosoYellow card
    45+3’
  8. Half time · 1–0
  9. ⇄ WesleyFor J. Ziółkowski
    46’
  10. ⇄ I. HienFor G. Scalvini
    59’
  11. ⇄ Y. MusahFor N. Zalewski
    60’
  12. ⇄ A. DovbykFor E. Ferguson
    60’
  13. ⇄ K. TsimikasFor D. Rensch
    60’
  14. ⇄ S. El ShaarawyFor M. Soulé
    66’
  15. ⇄ N. KrstovićFor G. Scamacca
    72’
  16. ⇄ D. MaldiniFor Éderson
    72’
  17. ⇄ N. PisilliFor K. Koné
    83’
  18. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Atalanta12 shots · 8 in box, 4 outside
AS Roma10 shots · 7 in box, 3 outside
AtalantaAS Roma
45% Possession 55%
1.80 Expected goals (xG) 0.78
2.08 Expected points (xPts) 0.70
12 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 4
3 Shots off target 3
8 Blocked shots 3
8 Shots inside the box 7
4 Shots outside the box 3
377 Passes 458
77% Pass accuracy 82%
7 Corners 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
16 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.11 Team rating 6.63

Line-ups

Atalanta 3-4-2-1

297.6 M. Carnesecchi(G)
236.3 S. Kolašinac ↓26’ 198.6★ B. Djimsiti 428.2 G. Scalvini ↓59’
476.7 L. Bernasconi 136.9 Éderson ↓72’ 157.3 M. de Roon 776.9 D. Zappacosta
596.6 N. Zalewski ↓60’ 177.0 C. De Ketelaere
95.9 G. Scamacca ↓72’
  • 29M. Carnesecchi (G)7.6
  • 23S. Kolašinac↓26’6.3
  • 19B. Djimsiti ★8.6
  • 42G. Scalvini↓59’8.2
  • 47L. Bernasconi6.7
  • 13Éderson↓72’6.9
  • 15M. de Roon7.3
  • 77D. Zappacosta6.9
  • 59N. Zalewski↓60’6.6
  • 17C. De Ketelaere7.0
  • 9G. Scamacca↓72’5.9

Substitutes used

  • 69H. Ahanor↑26’7.3
  • 4I. Hien↑59’6.7
  • 6Y. Musah↑60’6.3
  • 70D. Maldini↑72’6.7
  • 90N. Krstović↑72’6.5

Unused: M. Sportiello, F. Rossi, M. Pašalić, L. Samardžić, M. Brescianini, K. Sulemana

AS Roma 3-4-2-1

996.5 M. Svilar(G)
226.5 Hermoso 246.9 J. Ziółkowski ↓46’ 237.2 G. Mancini
26.3 D. Rensch ↓60’ 176.3 K. Koné ↓83’ 46.6 B. Cristante 197.2 M. Çelik
216.5 P. Dybala 186.5 M. Soulé ↓66’
116.2 E. Ferguson ↓60’
  • 99M. Svilar (G)6.5
  • 22Hermoso6.5
  • 24J. Ziółkowski↓46’6.9
  • 23G. Mancini7.2
  • 2D. Rensch↓60’6.3
  • 17K. Koné↓83’6.3
  • 4B. Cristante6.6
  • 19M. Çelik7.2
  • 21P. Dybala6.5
  • 18M. Soulé↓66’6.5
  • 11E. Ferguson↓60’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 43Wesley↑46’6.9
  • 12K. Tsimikas↑60’7.0
  • 9A. Dovbyk↑60’6.5
  • 92S. El Shaarawy↑66’6.3
  • 61N. Pisilli↑83’6.3

Unused: D. Vásquez, P. Gollini, J. Mirra, D. Ghilardi, Emanuele Lulli, Alessandro Romano, Angeliño

Player stats

Top rated
B. DjimsitiAtalanta8.6
2nd
G. ScalviniAtalanta8.2
3rd
M. CarnesecchiAtalanta7.6

Atalanta

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Carnesecchi G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 52% 27 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.6
S. Kolašinac D 26 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
B. Djimsiti D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 32 6 3 0/0 0/0 8.6
G. Scalvini D 59 1 0 1 (1) 1 88% 24 2 0 0/1 0/0 8.2
L. Bernasconi D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 74% 34 1 2 0/0 1/0 6.7
Éderson M 72 0 0 0 (0) 1 79% 42 2 0 1/1 1/3 6.9
M. de Roon M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 42 4 0 1/1 1/1 7.3
D. Zappacosta M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 79% 28 1 0 1/1 0/0 6.9
N. Zalewski M 60 0 0 1 (0) 2 60% 15 1 0 2/4 1/5 6.6
C. De Ketelaere F 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 72% 50 1 0 2/5 1/2 7.0
G. Scamacca F 72 0 0 1 (0) 0 76% 17 0 0 0/1 4/0 5.9
H. Ahanor D 64 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 27 5 0 0/0 1/1 7.3
I. Hien D 31 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 6 3 1 0/0 2/1 6.7
Y. Musah M 30 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 14 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
D. Maldini F 18 0 0 0 (0) 1 71% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
N. Krstović F 18 0 0 1 (0) 0 86% 7 1 0 1/1 3/0 6.5

AS Roma

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Svilar G 90 0 0 0 sv 0 73% 41 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
Hermoso D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 59 3 2 0/0 3/2 6.5
J. Ziółkowski D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 17 1 1 0/0 0/1 6.9
G. Mancini D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 50 4 2 0/0 5/4 7.2
D. Rensch D 60 0 0 1 (0) 0 72% 25 1 0 1/1 0/0 6.3
K. Koné M 83 0 0 1 (0) 1 93% 30 1 0 0/2 1/2 6.3
B. Cristante M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 79% 71 4 1 0/1 3/1 6.6
M. Çelik D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 41 2 0 0/0 1/1 7.2
P. Dybala F 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 81% 37 0 0 0/3 0/1 6.5
M. Soulé F 66 0 0 1 (1) 0 86% 21 1 0 1/6 0/1 6.5
E. Ferguson F 60 0 0 3 (3) 1 67% 12 0 0 1/1 0/1 6.2
Wesley M 44 0 0 0 (0) 1 83% 18 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.9
K. Tsimikas D 30 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 13 0 0 2/3 1/0 7.0
A. Dovbyk F 30 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 1 0 0/0 1/2 6.5
S. El Shaarawy F 24 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 13 1 0 0/2 0/0 6.3
N. Pisilli M 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 60% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.