L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.
-12.5 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.
Base L90 Strength changed -5.6 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 59.3-12.5
-12.5 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.
Base L90 Strength changed -5.6 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 59.3-12.5
World Rank
56th
Global, by Elo
Serie A Rank
8th
L90 Strength
An average side on a poor run.
Atalanta are a mid-table side at both ends, without a clear strength to lean on. Across the 7 league matches with forecasts, their points total is close to our pre-match expectations. The toughest of the next 4 matches is the trip to Fiorentina.
Home is where they earn their points: 2.2 per game there against 0.0 away.
- Relegation <1%Likely 8th · 57 projected points
-
Next 4: about 7 of 12 points Toughest at
Fiorentina · , 36% to win
- 2 out, none key4% of squad weight missing
- 9 pts vs 10.3 expected-1.3 vs pre-match expectations · 7 matches with forecasts
Key insights
Automatic descriptive highlights for Atalanta. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.
xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.
Headlines
-
Trend
Atalanta
71%
Both teams scored
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored -
Insight
Atalanta
−1.3
Points below expected
7/7 covered matches · current leagues
Points9.0xPts10.3
-
Insight
Atalanta
−0.57
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for1.06xG against1.63
-
Alert
Atalanta
1.6
Goals conceded per match
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
Defence
Streaks
Not enough recorded data for this category yet.
The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →
Season
League position and season results.
Overview
2026-2027Serie AView table →
Position
11th/ 20
Points
91.29 PPG
Played
7
League gap
10pts behind leader
42.9%Win %
Wins3
Draws0
Losses4
Expected metrics · 6 of 7 matches covered
Goals For
101.43 / game
xG
6.57
2.43 more goals than expected.
vs 9 goals
Goals Against
111.57 / game
xGA
11.21
2.21 fewer conceded than expected.
vs 9 conceded
Goal Difference
-1-0.14 / game
xGD
-4.64
Goal difference is 4.64 higher than expected.
vs +0 GD
Clean Sheets
114% of games
All competitions7 Played
42.9%Win %
Wins3
Draws0
Losses4
Expected metrics · 6 of 7 matches covered
Goals For
101.43 / game
xG
6.57
2.43 more goals than expected.
vs 9 goals
Goals Against
111.57 / game
xGA
11.21
2.21 fewer conceded than expected.
vs 9 conceded
Goal Difference
-1-0.14 / game
xGD
-4.64
Goal difference is 4.64 higher than expected.
vs +0 GD
Clean Sheets
114% of games
Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.
League standings
Serie A · 2026-2027
Swipe to explore the league table →
| # | Club | Rating | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1– |  Inter |
84 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 19 | WWDWW |
| 2– |  Lazio |
62 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 19 | WDWWW |
| 3– |  AS Roma |
74 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +13 | 17 | WWDDW |
| 4▲ |  AC Milan |
66 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 | DDWDW |
| 5▲ |  Como |
67 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 | WWLDW |
| 6▲ |  Frosinone |
30 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 | WDWLW |
| 7▼ |  Cagliari |
33 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 13 | WWWDL |
| 8▼ |  Juventus |
67 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 | DLWDL |
| 9▼ |  Napoli |
63 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 | LWDWL |
| 10▲ |  Torino |
39 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 | WLDWW |
| 11▼ | Atalanta |
59 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 | LLLWL |
| 12▲ |  Lecce |
28 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 9 | LWLLW |
| 13▼ |  Sassuolo |
33 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 | DWLDL |
| 14▲ |  Monza |
18 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 | DLWLW |
| 15▼ |  Bologna |
47 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 | DLDWL |
| 16▼ |  Udinese |
32 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 17– |  Genoa |
29 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 | LDLWL |
| 18▲ | Fiorentina |
39 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 | LWDLL |
| 19▼ |  Parma |
28 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 | DLWLL |
| 20– |  Venezia |
15 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -10 | 3 | LLLLW |
20 clubs · ▲ Up · ▼ Down · – Unchanged · Since the start of the latest played matchweek.
League position over time
Position by matchweek
Higher is better. One point per matchweek; partial rounds are marked. Postponed games count when played. Hover, tap or focus a point for details.
View position history
| MW | Results through (UTC) | Position | Pts | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 Aug 2026 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 31 Aug 2026 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 Sep 2026 | 8 | 6 | 3 |
| 4 | 14 Sep 2026 | 11 | 6 | 4 |
| 5 | 20 Sep 2026 | 11 | 6 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 Oct 2026 | 10 | 9 | 6 |
| 7 | 19 Oct 2026 | 11 | 9 | 7 |
Competition standings
There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.
Squad 37 players · this season, all competitions · 2 out
Top scorer
N. Krstović4 goals
N. Krstović4 goals
Most assists
N. Zalewski2 assists
N. Zalewski2 assists
Best rated
M. Carnesecchi7.07 avg rating
M. Carnesecchi7.07 avg rating
Most minutes
M. Carnesecchi630 min
M. Carnesecchi630 min
Key to the model
M. CarnesecchiStarter · weight 1.88
M. CarnesecchiStarter · weight 1.88| Player | Age | Apps | Min | G | A | Rating | Model role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goalkeepers | |||||||
| M. Carnesecchi |
26 | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | 7.07 | starter |
 Piotr Pardel |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 F. Rossi |
35 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 M. Sportiello |
34 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | depth |
 P. Vismara |
23 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| Defenders | |||||||
 G. Scalvini |
22 | 6 (6) | 517 | 0 | 0 | 6.89 | starter |
 K. Kossounou |
25 | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | 6.82 | rotation |
 S. Kolašinac |
33 | 6 (4) | 281 | 0 | 0 | 6.45 | rotation |
 L. Bernasconi |
22 | 5 (3) | 281 | 0 | 0 | 6.51 | rotation |
 T. Kristensen |
24 | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | 6.45 | starter |
 Relja Obrić |
20 | 1 (0) | 70 | 0 | 0 | 5.81 | depth |
 H. Ahanor |
18 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 M. Bakker |
26 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 I. Hien injured |
27 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | rotation |
 J. Mirra |
20 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 Javison Idele |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| Midfielders | |||||||
 Éderson |
27 | 7 (7) | 597 | 1 | 0 | 6.68 | starter |
 R. Bellanova |
26 | 6 (5) | 439 | 0 | 1 | 6.67 | rotation |
 L. Samardžić |
24 | 7 (4) | 363 | 1 | 0 | 6.68 | rotation |
 G. Gaetano |
26 | 6 (3) | 332 | 1 | 1 | 6.67 | rotation |
 D. Zappacosta |
34 | 5 (3) | 302 | 0 | 0 | 6.53 | starter |
 F. Kessie |
29 | 4 (3) | 246 | 1 | 0 | 7.06 | starter |
 M. Pašalić |
31 | 5 (3) | 237 | 0 | 0 | 6.46 | rotation |
 E. Elmas |
27 | 5 (2) | 204 | 0 | 1 | 6.58 | rotation |
| N. Zalewski |
24 | 5 (1) | 164 | 0 | 2 | 6.53 | rotation |
 F. Cassa |
20 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 S. Levak |
20 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 A. Manzoni |
21 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 F. Steffanoni |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 I. Sulemana |
23 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 M. de Roon |
35 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 K. Sulemana injured |
24 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | rotation |
| Forwards | |||||||
 C. De Ketelaere |
25 | 7 (6) | 505 | 0 | 1 | 6.78 | starter |
| N. Krstović |
26 | 7 (3) | 372 | 4 | 1 | 6.92 | rotation |
 J. Rowe |
23 | 4 (4) | 309 | 0 | 0 | 6.83 | starter |
 G. Scamacca |
27 | 6 (4) | 273 | 1 | 0 | 6.72 | rotation |
 G. Raspadori |
26 | 4 (2) | 178 | 1 | 0 | 7.18 | rotation |
Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the game with Frosinone: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.
Performance
Strength, recent form and playing style.
Strength Serie A · 20 clubs
L90 Strength8th of 20
59
Elo 1703 · World #56
Current Strength
59
With absences before 25 Oct: -5 Elo
Attack8th of 20
48
Scores 1.51 per match against an average top-five side
Defence10th of 20
45
Concedes 1.61 per match against an average top-five side
In forecast League average
L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.
Form last 5 for the index · last 7 listed
21
LLLWL Form index · 17th of 20 in league
- Points, last 5
- 3
- Median top-5 club
- 6.8
- Own forecasts
- 6.6 -3.6
Table11th
L90 Strength8th
Form17th
Lower in the table than their strength suggests.
Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.
- L18 OctA · AC Milan2–30.7 xPts
- W12 OctH · Venezia3–12.4 xPts
- L20 SepA · Juventus0–20.8 xPts
- L12 SepH · Cagliari1–22.0 xPts
- L5 SepA · AS Roma1–20.7 xPts
- W31 AugH · Bologna1–01.7 xPts
- W23 AugH · Sassuolo2–12.1 xPts
Trends last 7, all competitions
Scored
6/7
Clean sheet
1/7
Conceded 2+
4/7
Over 2.5
5/7
Both teams scored
5/7
Playing style vs Serie A average
ATALeagueRank
Goals scored
1.43
1.47
9th
Goals conceded
1.57
1.48
12th
xG
1.10
1.47
16th
xG allowed
1.87
1.48
15th
Scored in
86%
78%
6th
Clean sheets
14%
21%
10th
ATALeagueRank
Shots
13.14
14.36
12th
Shots on target
4.57
4.90
13th
On target share
35%
34%
7th
Box share
60%
64%
16th
Conversion
11%
10%
8th
ATALeagueRank
Shots allowed
18.00
14.48
17th
On target allowed
5.86
4.92
16th
Blocks
5.17
3.76
3rd
Save rate
76%
70%
4th
ATALeagueRank
Possession
46%
50%
14th
Passes
475
459
7th
Pass accuracy
88%
85%
4th
ATALeagueRank
Fouls
10.29
10.66
9th
Fouls suffered
8.43
10.73
20th
Yellow cards
0.86
1.64
2nd
Red cards
0.14
0.02
18th
ATALeagueRank
Goals scored
1.40
1.45
9th
Goals conceded
1.50
1.50
8th
xG
1.06
1.45
18th
xG allowed
1.63
1.46
14th
Scored in
80%
75%
7th
Clean sheets
10%
21%
11th
ATALeagueRank
Shots
13.10
13.78
11th
Shots on target
4.78
4.77
11th
On target share
33%
34%
12th
Box share
63%
64%
10th
Conversion
11%
10%
11th
ATALeagueRank
Shots allowed
16.60
14.16
17th
On target allowed
5.90
4.83
18th
Blocks
4.33
3.64
6th
Save rate
78%
70%
2nd
ATALeagueRank
Possession
47%
50%
14th
Passes
472
453
7th
Pass accuracy
88%
85%
4th
ATALeagueRank
Fouls
11.80
10.85
14th
Fouls suffered
8.40
10.97
19th
Yellow cards
1.20
1.63
3rd
Red cards
0.10
0.04
14th
Home and away this league season
Home2.25pts per game3-0-1 · 1.8–1.0 goals · 4 games
Away0.00pts per game0-0-3 · 1.0–2.3 goals · 3 games
Goal timing this league season · 7 games
3
0-15
1
3
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
3
76-90
scored conceded, per 15 minutes
In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average
Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.
Team rankings Serie A · 7 games · rank of 20
Attack
GF
10
9th / 20
GF/G
1.43
9th / 20
xG/G
1.10
16th / 20
G − xG
+0.33
4th / 20
Defence
GA
11
12th / 20
GA/G
1.57
12th / 20
xGA/G
1.87
15th / 20
xGA − GA
+0.30
6th / 20
Overall
Pts
9
11th / 20
xPts
10.3
8th / 20
PPG
1.29
11th / 20
TR
6.80
9th / 20
GD
-1
10th / 20
xGD
-5.4
15th / 20
W
3
8th / 20
L
4
12th / 20
Scorelines
- 1–2×2
- 2–1×1
- 1–0×1
- 0–2×1
- 3–1×1
- 2–3×1
Goals per game both teams
0%
0
14%
1
14%
2
43%
3
14%
4
14%
5+
Totals club · league
- Over 1.5
- 86%84%
- Over 2.5
- 71%60%
- Over 3.5
- 29%30%
- Both scored
- 71%57%
- Clean sheet
- 14%22%
- Failed to score
- 14%22%
ClubLeague average
This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.