xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.
Orsolini goal decides it for Bologna
Atalanta entered as favourites, but Bologna won 1–0 through a Orsolini goal. The chances were even, with xG of 0.54 and 0.70. On the chances created, Atalanta deserved more: 1.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.
Model vs reality
- Atalanta goals
- 0 Model 1.71 · xG 0.54
- Bologna goals
- 1 Model 1.05 · xG 0.70
- Total goals
- 1 Model 2.77 · xG 1.24
- Score 0–1
- 6% Most likely 1–1 (12%)
- Over 2.5
- No Model 52%
- Both scored
- No Model 54%
- RefereeDaniele Perenzoni
- VenueGewiss Stadium
- Table before kick-offAtalanta 7th · Bologna 8th
Timeline
- Half time · 0–0
-
T. PobegaYellow card · Tripping52’
-
⇄ M. PašalićFor M. de Roon63’
-
⇄ Y. MusahFor N. Zalewski64’
-
⇄ K. SulemanaFor G. Raspadori64’
-
⇄ T. DallingaFor S. Castro69’
-
⇄ N. MoroFor T. Pobega69’
-
⇄ R. OrsoliniFor F. Bernardeschi70’
-
M. PašalićYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct77’
-
R. Orsolini 0–1Assist J. Rowe78’
-
⇄ M. BakkerFor C. De Ketelaere82’
-
⇄ S. KolašinacFor D. Zappacosta88’
-
⇄ B. DomínguezFor J. Rowe88’
- Full time · 0–1
Team stats
Line-ups
Atalanta 3-4-2-1
- 29M. Carnesecchi (G)6.9
- 69H. Ahanor6.7
- 19B. Djimsiti6.3
- 42G. Scalvini7.0
- 59N. Zalewski6.6
- 13Éderson6.9
- 15M. de Roon6.6
- 77D. Zappacosta6.9
- 18G. Raspadori6.7
- 17C. De Ketelaere ★7.7
- 90N. Krstović6.3
Substitutes used
- 8M. Pašalić6.5
- 6Y. Musah6.9
- 7K. Sulemana6.3
- 23S. Kolašinac
- 5M. Bakker6.7
Unused: F. Rossi, M. Sportiello, Relja Obrić, L. Samardžić, R. Bellanova, G. Scamacca, D. Vavassori
Bologna 4-2-3-1
- 1Ł. Skorupski (G)7.0
- 33Juan Miranda7.3
- 14T. Heggem7.2
- 5E. Helland6.9
- 17João Mário6.9
- 4T. Pobega6.6
- 8R. Freuler6.7
- 11J. Rowe6.6
- 19L. Ferguson6.5
- 10F. Bernardeschi6.5
- 9S. Castro6.7
Substitutes used
- 6N. Moro6.9
- 7R. Orsolini7.5
- 24T. Dallinga6.2
- 30B. Domínguez
Unused: F. Ravaglia, M. Pessina, C. Lykogiannis, L. De Silvestri, N. Zortea, B. Tomašević, S. Sohm, J. Odgaard
- On target faced
- 5
- Clean sheet
- No
- xG faced
- 0.70
- Prevented vs xG
- -0.30
- Passes
- 34 · 56%
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 33 · 85%
- Tackles
- 3
- Interceptions
- 1
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 2 (1)
- Shots (on target)
- 1 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 33 · 94%
- Tackles
- 1
- Interceptions
- 5
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 1 (0)
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 54 · 89%
- Tackles
- 5
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 2 (2)
- ↓64’ Replaced by Y. Musah
- Shots (on target)
- 1 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 23 · 61%
- Tackles
- 3
- Interceptions
- 4
- Dribbles won
- 1 / 1
- Fouls (drawn)
- 2 (0)
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 35 · 97%
- Tackles
- 2
- Interceptions
- 2
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 1
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (1)
- ↓63’ Replaced by M. Pašalić
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 34 · 91%
- Tackles
- 4
- Interceptions
- 1
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 1
- Fouls (drawn)
- 2 (0)
- ↓88’ Replaced by S. Kolašinac
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 2
- Passes
- 36 · 89%
- Tackles
- 2
- Interceptions
- 1
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 1 (0)
- ↓64’ Replaced by K. Sulemana
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 1
- Passes
- 17 · 76%
- Tackles
- 0
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 1 (0)
- ↓82’ Replaced by M. Bakker
- Shots (on target)
- 2 (0)
- Key passes
- 2
- Passes
- 28 · 75%
- Tackles
- 2
- Interceptions
- 1
- Dribbles won
- 2 / 2
- Fouls (drawn)
- 1 (2)
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 1
- Passes
- 21 · 71%
- Tackles
- 1
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 2 / 3
- Fouls (drawn)
- 1 (0)
- ↑63’ Came on for M. de Roon
- 77’ Yellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 15 · 93%
- Tackles
- 1
- Interceptions
- 2
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 1 (0)
- ↑64’ Came on for N. Zalewski
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 7 · 100%
- Tackles
- 1
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 2 / 2
- Fouls (drawn)
- 1 (0)
- ↑64’ Came on for G. Raspadori
- Shots (on target)
- 1 (0)
- Key passes
- 1
- Passes
- 6 · 100%
- Tackles
- 0
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (0)
Unused substitute.
Unused substitute.
- ↑88’ Came on for D. Zappacosta
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 0 · —
- Tackles
- 0
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (0)
- ↑82’ Came on for C. De Ketelaere
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 6 · 100%
- Tackles
- 0
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (0)
Unused substitute.
Unused substitute.
Unused substitute.
Unused substitute.
Unused substitute.
- On target faced
- 0
- Clean sheet
- Yes
- xG faced
- 0.54
- Prevented vs xG
- +0.54
- Passes
- 36 · 86%
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 2
- Passes
- 66 · 82%
- Tackles
- 3
- Interceptions
- 1
- Dribbles won
- 1 / 2
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (5)
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 57 · 95%
- Tackles
- 1
- Interceptions
- 1
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (0)
- Shots (on target)
- 1 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 50 · 90%
- Tackles
- 0
- Interceptions
- 2
- Dribbles won
- 1 / 1
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (0)
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 2
- Passes
- 45 · 73%
- Tackles
- 0
- Interceptions
- 1
- Dribbles won
- 1 / 1
- Fouls (drawn)
- 1 (3)
- 52’ Yellow card · Tripping
- ↓69’ Replaced by N. Moro
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 27 · 81%
- Tackles
- 1
- Interceptions
- 1
- Dribbles won
- 1 / 1
- Fouls (drawn)
- 2 (0)
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 42 · 88%
- Tackles
- 0
- Interceptions
- 1
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (0)
- A78’ Assist for R. Orsolini
- ↓88’ Replaced by B. Domínguez
- Shots (on target)
- 2 (2)
- Key passes
- 1
- Passes
- 26 · 77%
- Tackles
- 0
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 3 / 9
- Fouls (drawn)
- 1 (2)
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 1
- Passes
- 44 · 80%
- Tackles
- 1
- Interceptions
- 1
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 1 (0)
- ↓70’ Replaced by R. Orsolini
- Shots (on target)
- 2 (1)
- Key passes
- 1
- Passes
- 19 · 74%
- Tackles
- 0
- Interceptions
- 1
- Dribbles won
- 2 / 5
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (0)
- ↓69’ Replaced by T. Dallinga
- Shots (on target)
- 1 (1)
- Key passes
- 1
- Passes
- 18 · 61%
- Tackles
- 0
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 1 / 2
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (1)
- ↑69’ Came on for T. Pobega
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 16 · 88%
- Tackles
- 0
- Interceptions
- 1
- Dribbles won
- 1 / 1
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (0)
- ↑70’ Came on for F. Bernardeschi
- 78’ Assist J. Rowe
- Shots (on target)
- 2 (1)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 7 · 86%
- Tackles
- 1
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (1)
- ↑69’ Came on for S. Castro
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 14 · 86%
- Tackles
- 0
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 1 (0)
Unused substitute.
Unused substitute.
Unused substitute.
Unused substitute.
Unused substitute.
Unused substitute.
- ↑88’ Came on for J. Rowe
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 0 · —
- Tackles
- 0
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (0)
Unused substitute.
Unused substitute.
Player stats
Atalanta
| Player | Min | G | A | Shots | KP | Pass | Tkl | Int | Drb | Fouls | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Carnesecchi G | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 sv | 0 | 56% 34 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 6.9 |
| H. Ahanor D | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 85% 33 | 3 | 1 | 0/0 | 2/1 | 6.7 |
| B. Djimsiti D | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 (0) | 0 | 94% 33 | 1 | 5 | 0/0 | 1/0 | 6.3 |
| G. Scalvini D | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 89% 54 | 5 | 0 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 7.0 |
| N. Zalewski M | 64 | 0 | 0 | 1 (0) | 0 | 61% 23 | 3 | 4 | 1/1 | 2/0 | 6.6 |
| Éderson M | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 97% 35 | 2 | 2 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 6.9 |
| M. de Roon M | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 91% 34 | 4 | 1 | 0/1 | 2/0 | 6.6 |
| D. Zappacosta M | 88 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 2 | 89% 36 | 2 | 1 | 0/0 | 1/0 | 6.9 |
| G. Raspadori F | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 1 | 76% 17 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 1/0 | 6.7 |
| C. De Ketelaere F | 82 | 0 | 0 | 2 (0) | 2 | 75% 28 | 2 | 1 | 2/2 | 1/2 | 7.7 |
| N. Krstović F | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 1 | 71% 21 | 1 | 0 | 2/3 | 1/0 | 6.3 |
| M. Pašalić M | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 93% 15 | 1 | 2 | 0/0 | 1/0 | 6.5 |
| Y. Musah M | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 100% 7 | 1 | 0 | 2/2 | 1/0 | 6.9 |
| K. Sulemana M | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 (0) | 1 | 100% 6 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 6.3 |
| S. Kolašinac D | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | — 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | — |
| M. Bakker D | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 100% 6 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 6.7 |
Bologna
| Player | Min | G | A | Shots | KP | Pass | Tkl | Int | Drb | Fouls | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ł. Skorupski G | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 sv | 0 | 86% 36 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 7.0 |
| Juan Miranda D | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 2 | 82% 66 | 3 | 1 | 1/2 | 0/5 | 7.3 |
| T. Heggem D | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 95% 57 | 1 | 1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 7.2 |
| E. Helland D | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 (0) | 0 | 90% 50 | 0 | 2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 6.9 |
| João Mário D | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 2 | 73% 45 | 0 | 1 | 1/1 | 1/3 | 6.9 |
| T. Pobega M | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 81% 27 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 | 2/0 | 6.6 |
| R. Freuler M | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 88% 42 | 0 | 1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 6.7 |
| J. Rowe F | 88 | 0 | 1 | 2 (2) | 1 | 77% 26 | 0 | 0 | 3/9 | 1/2 | 6.6 |
| L. Ferguson M | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 1 | 80% 44 | 1 | 1 | 0/0 | 1/0 | 6.5 |
| F. Bernardeschi F | 70 | 0 | 0 | 2 (1) | 1 | 74% 19 | 0 | 1 | 2/5 | 0/0 | 6.5 |
| S. Castro F | 69 | 0 | 0 | 1 (1) | 1 | 61% 18 | 0 | 0 | 1/2 | 0/1 | 6.7 |
| N. Moro M | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 88% 16 | 0 | 1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 6.9 |
| R. Orsolini F | 20 | 1 | 0 | 2 (1) | 0 | 86% 7 | 1 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 7.5 |
| T. Dallinga F | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 86% 14 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 1/0 | 6.2 |
| B. Domínguez F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | — 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | — |
Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.
Atalanta
Bologna