Serie A Gameweek 37 Sun, May 17 2026 · 17:00 Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.54 – 0.70
  • 78’ R. Orsolini
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Orsolini goal decides it for Bologna

Atalanta entered as favourites, but Bologna won 1–0 through a Orsolini goal. The chances were even, with xG of 0.54 and 0.70. On the chances created, Atalanta deserved more: 1.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Atalanta52%
Draw25%
Bologna ✓23%

Model vs reality

Atalanta goals
0
Model 1.71 · xG 0.54
Bologna goals
1
Model 1.05 · xG 0.70
Total goals
1
Model 2.77 · xG 1.24
Score 0–1
6%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 52%
Both scored
No
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchC. De KetelaereAtalanta
7.7
  • RefereeDaniele Perenzoni
  • VenueGewiss Stadium
  • Table before kick-offAtalanta 7th · Bologna 8th

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. T. PobegaYellow card · Tripping
    52’
  3. ⇄ M. PašalićFor M. de Roon
    63’
  4. ⇄ Y. MusahFor N. Zalewski
    64’
  5. ⇄ K. SulemanaFor G. Raspadori
    64’
  6. ⇄ T. DallingaFor S. Castro
    69’
  7. ⇄ N. MoroFor T. Pobega
    69’
  8. ⇄ R. OrsoliniFor F. Bernardeschi
    70’
  9. M. PašalićYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    77’
  10. R. Orsolini 0–1Assist J. Rowe
    78’
  11. ⇄ M. BakkerFor C. De Ketelaere
    82’
  12. ⇄ S. KolašinacFor D. Zappacosta
    88’
  13. ⇄ B. DomínguezFor J. Rowe
    88’
  14. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Atalanta9 shots · 7 in box, 2 outside
Bologna10 shots · 7 in box, 3 outside
AtalantaBologna
45% Possession 55%
0.54 Expected goals (xG) 0.70
1.14 Expected points (xPts) 1.45
9 Shots 10
0 Shots on target 5
5 Shots off target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
7 Shots inside the box 7
2 Shots outside the box 3
382 Passes 467
84% Pass accuracy 83%
1 Corners 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
15 Fouls 6
3 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.77 Team rating 6.83

Line-ups

Atalanta 3-4-2-1

296.9 M. Carnesecchi(G)
696.7 H. Ahanor 196.3 B. Djimsiti 427.0 G. Scalvini
596.6 N. Zalewski ↓64’ 136.9 Éderson 156.6 M. de Roon ↓63’ 776.9 D. Zappacosta ↓88’
186.7 G. Raspadori ↓64’ 177.7★ C. De Ketelaere ↓82’
906.3 N. Krstović
  • 29M. Carnesecchi (G)6.9
  • 69H. Ahanor6.7
  • 19B. Djimsiti6.3
  • 42G. Scalvini7.0
  • 59N. Zalewski↓64’6.6
  • 13Éderson6.9
  • 15M. de Roon↓63’6.6
  • 77D. Zappacosta↓88’6.9
  • 18G. Raspadori↓64’6.7
  • 17C. De Ketelaere ★↓82’7.7
  • 90N. Krstović6.3

Substitutes used

  • 8M. Pašalić↑63’6.5
  • 6Y. Musah↑64’6.9
  • 7K. Sulemana↑64’6.3
  • 23S. Kolašinac↑88’
  • 5M. Bakker↑82’6.7

Unused: F. Rossi, M. Sportiello, Relja Obrić, L. Samardžić, R. Bellanova, G. Scamacca, D. Vavassori

Bologna 4-2-3-1

17.0 Ł. Skorupski(G)
337.3 Juan Miranda 147.2 T. Heggem 56.9 E. Helland 176.9 João Mário
46.6 T. Pobega ↓69’ 86.7 R. Freuler
116.6 J. Rowe A↓88’ 196.5 L. Ferguson 106.5 F. Bernardeschi ↓70’
96.7 S. Castro ↓69’
  • 1Ł. Skorupski (G)7.0
  • 33Juan Miranda7.3
  • 14T. Heggem7.2
  • 5E. Helland6.9
  • 17João Mário6.9
  • 4T. Pobega↓69’6.6
  • 8R. Freuler6.7
  • 11J. RoweA↓88’6.6
  • 19L. Ferguson6.5
  • 10F. Bernardeschi↓70’6.5
  • 9S. Castro↓69’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 6N. Moro↑69’6.9
  • 7R. Orsolini↑70’7.5
  • 24T. Dallinga↑69’6.2
  • 30B. Domínguez↑88’

Unused: F. Ravaglia, M. Pessina, C. Lykogiannis, L. De Silvestri, N. Zortea, B. Tomašević, S. Sohm, J. Odgaard

Player stats

Top rated
C. De KetelaereAtalanta7.7
2nd
R. OrsoliniBologna7.5
3rd
Juan MirandaBologna7.3

Atalanta

Bologna

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.