Serie A Gameweek 2 Mon, Aug 31 2026 · 19:45 Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.16 – 1.29
  • L. Samardžić 90+6’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Samardžić’s late goal settles it for Atalanta

Atalanta entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a Samardžić goal. Atalanta won despite the lower xG; Bologna created the better chances (1.29 vs 0.16). On the chances created, Bologna deserved more: 2.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Atalanta ✓47%
Draw24%
Bologna29%

Model vs reality

Atalanta goals
1
Model 1.68 · xG 0.16
Bologna goals
0
Model 1.25 · xG 1.29
Total goals
1
Model 2.92 · xG 1.45
Score 1–0
8%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 56%
Both scored
No
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. CarnesecchiAtalanta
8.2
  • RefereeDaniele Doveri
  • VenueGewiss Stadium
  • Table before kick-offAtalanta 10th · Bologna 14th
  • Weather at kick-off26°C · Clear · wind 7 km/h Warm

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. ⇄ N. ZalewskiFor C. De Ketelaere
    55’
  3. ⇄ E. ElmasFor G. Raspadori
    56’
  4. ⇄ R. OrsoliniFor J. Odgaard
    60’
  5. ⇄ A. DovbykFor R. Piccoli
    60’
  6. ⇄ N. KrstovićFor G. Scamacca
    68’
  7. ⇄ L. SamardžićFor Éderson
    68’
  8. ⇄ N. ZorteaFor E. Holm
    72’
  9. ⇄ M. AmondarainFor T. Pobega
    72’
  10. N. KrstovićYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    73’
  11. ⇄ R. BellanovaFor S. Kolašinac
    78’
  12. ⇄ N. MoroFor R. Orsolini
    80’
  13. L. Samardžić 1–0Assist N. Zalewski
    90+6’
  14. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Atalanta6 shots · 3 in box, 3 outside
Bologna16 shots · 10 in box, 6 outside
AtalantaBologna
42% Possession 58%
0.16 Expected goals (xG) 1.29
0.42 Expected points (xPts) 2.29
6 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 3
2 Shots off target 10
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Shots inside the box 10
3 Shots outside the box 6
478 Passes 680
86% Pass accuracy 91%
1 Corners 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 4
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.91 Team rating 6.89

Line-ups

Atalanta 4-3-3

298.2★ M. Carnesecchi(G)
236.9 S. Kolašinac ↓78’ 427.0 G. Scalvini 37.0 K. Kossounou 776.9 D. Zappacosta
136.9 Éderson ↓68’ 706.7 G. Gaetano 86.9 M. Pašalić
186.5 G. Raspadori ↓56’ 96.3 G. Scamacca ↓68’ 176.9 C. De Ketelaere ↓55’
  • 29M. Carnesecchi (G) ★8.2
  • 23S. Kolašinac↓78’6.9
  • 42G. Scalvini7.0
  • 3K. Kossounou7.0
  • 77D. Zappacosta6.9
  • 13Éderson↓68’6.9
  • 70G. Gaetano6.7
  • 8M. Pašalić6.9
  • 18G. Raspadori↓56’6.5
  • 9G. Scamacca↓68’6.3
  • 17C. De Ketelaere↓55’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 10L. Samardžić↑68’6.3
  • 99E. Elmas↑56’6.5
  • 16R. Bellanova↑78’6.9
  • 59N. ZalewskiA↑55’6.7
  • 90N. Krstović↑68’6.3

Unused: M. Sportiello, P. Vismara, Relja Obrić, I. Sulemana, F. Cassa, L. Bernasconi

Bologna 4-2-3-1

16.9 Ł. Skorupski(G)
236.9 Abdel Rahim 147.5 T. Heggem 57.2 E. Helland 26.9 E. Holm ↓72’
197.3 L. Ferguson 46.3 T. Pobega ↓72’
286.5 N. Cambiaghi 216.9 J. Odgaard ↓60’ 106.9 F. Bernardeschi
916.6 R. Piccoli ↓60’
  • 1Ł. Skorupski (G)6.9
  • 23Abdel Rahim6.9
  • 14T. Heggem7.5
  • 5E. Helland7.2
  • 2E. Holm↓72’6.9
  • 19L. Ferguson7.3
  • 4T. Pobega↓72’6.3
  • 28N. Cambiaghi6.5
  • 21J. Odgaard↓60’6.9
  • 10F. Bernardeschi6.9
  • 91R. Piccoli↓60’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 20N. Zortea↑72’6.6
  • 7R. Orsolini6.3
  • 6N. Moro↑80’6.7
  • 8M. Amondarain↑72’6.6
  • 9A. Dovbyk↑60’6.7

Unused: M. Pessina, Ukko Happonen, Juan Miranda, N. Casale, L. De Silvestri, A. Theate, M. Vitík, Marco Libra

Player stats

Top rated
M. CarnesecchiAtalanta8.2
2nd
T. HeggemBologna7.5
3rd
L. FergusonBologna7.3

Atalanta

Bologna

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.