Serie A Gameweek 17 Sun, Dec 28 2025 · 19:45 Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.80 – 1.12
  • 65’ L. Martínez
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Martínez goal decides it for Inter

Inter entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Martínez goal. Inter finished with the higher xG (1.12 vs 0.80). On the chances created, Atalanta deserved more: 1.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Atalanta29%
Draw27%
Inter ✓44%

Model vs reality

Atalanta goals
0
Model 1.16 · xG 0.80
Inter goals
1
Model 1.47 · xG 1.12
Total goals
1
Model 2.63 · xG 1.92
Score 0–1
10%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 49%
Both scored
No
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. CarnesecchiAtalanta
7.7
  • RefereeFederico La Penna
  • VenueGewiss Stadium
  • Table before kick-offAtalanta 9th · Inter 3rd

Timeline

  1. S. KolašinacYellow card · Tripping
    19’
  2. VAR M. ThuramGoal Disallowed - offside
    35’
  3. Half time · 0–0
  4. ⇄ Y. MusahFor D. Zappacosta
    46’
  5. ⇄ K. SulemanaFor M. Pašalić
    58’
  6. ⇄ F. EspositoFor M. Thuram
    64’
  7. ⇄ L. BernasconiFor N. Zalewski
    65’
  8. L. Martínez 0–1Assist F. Esposito
    65’
  9. ⇄ L. SamardžićFor S. Kolašinac
    75’
  10. ⇄ H. MkhitaryanFor N. Barella
    76’
  11. ⇄ Carlos AugustoFor F. Dimarco
    76’
  12. A. BastoniYellow card · Holding
    77’
  13. K. SulemanaYellow card · Tripping
    80’
  14. ⇄ A. DioufFor L. Martínez
    83’
  15. ⇄ D. FrattesiFor P. Zieliński
    84’
  16. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Atalanta7 shots · 3 in box, 4 outside
Inter15 shots · 11 in box, 4 outside
AtalantaInter
45% Possession 55%
0.80 Expected goals (xG) 1.12
1.09 Expected points (xPts) 1.60
7 Shots 15
0 Shots on target 4
4 Shots off target 7
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Shots inside the box 11
4 Shots outside the box 4
414 Passes 525
85% Pass accuracy 87%
4 Corners 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
8 Fouls 12
3 Offsides 2
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.74 Team rating 6.86

Line-ups

Atalanta 3-4-2-1

297.7★ M. Carnesecchi(G)
236.3 S. Kolašinac ↓75’ 46.9 I. Hien 196.2 B. Djimsiti
596.7 N. Zalewski ↓65’ 156.3 M. de Roon 137.2 Éderson 776.7 D. Zappacosta ↓46’
86.3 M. Pašalić ↓58’ 177.7 C. De Ketelaere
96.2 G. Scamacca
  • 29M. Carnesecchi (G) ★7.7
  • 23S. Kolašinac↓75’6.3
  • 4I. Hien6.9
  • 19B. Djimsiti6.2
  • 59N. Zalewski↓65’6.7
  • 15M. de Roon6.3
  • 13Éderson7.2
  • 77D. Zappacosta↓46’6.7
  • 8M. Pašalić↓58’6.3
  • 17C. De Ketelaere7.7
  • 9G. Scamacca6.2

Substitutes used

  • 6Y. Musah↑46’6.6
  • 7K. Sulemana↑58’6.2
  • 47L. Bernasconi↑65’6.7
  • 10L. Samardžić↑75’6.6

Unused: M. Sportiello, F. Rossi, G. Scalvini, P. Comi, H. Ahanor, M. Brescianini, D. Maldini, N. Krstović

Inter 3-5-2

16.6 Y. Sommer(G)
957.2 A. Bastoni 256.9 M. Akanji 316.9 Y. Bisseck
327.0 F. Dimarco ↓76’ 76.9 P. Zieliński ↓84’ 207.0 H. Çalhanoğlu 236.7 N. Barella ↓76’ 116.9 L. de Lima
96.2 M. Thuram ↓64’ 107.3 L. Martínez ↓83’
  • 1Y. Sommer (G)6.6
  • 95A. Bastoni7.2
  • 25M. Akanji6.9
  • 31Y. Bisseck6.9
  • 32F. Dimarco↓76’7.0
  • 7P. Zieliński↓84’6.9
  • 20H. Çalhanoğlu7.0
  • 23N. Barella↓76’6.7
  • 11L. de Lima6.9
  • 9M. Thuram↓64’6.2
  • 10L. Martínez↓83’7.3

Substitutes used

  • 30Carlos Augusto↑76’6.6
  • 22H. Mkhitaryan↑76’6.9
  • 17A. Diouf↑83’6.3
  • 16D. Frattesi↑84’6.3
  • 94F. EspositoA↑64’6.3

Unused: A. Taho, Josep Martínez, M. Cocchi, S. de Vrij, P. Sučić, Simone Cinquegrano, Matteo Spinaccè

Player stats

Top rated
M. CarnesecchiAtalanta7.7
2nd
C. De KetelaereAtalanta7.7
3rd
L. MartínezInter7.3

Atalanta

Inter

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.