Serie A Gameweek 32 Sat, Apr 11 2026 · 19:45 Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.82 – 0.63
  • 48’ J. Boga
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Boga goal decides it for Juventus

Atalanta entered as narrow favourites, but Juventus won 1–0 through a Boga goal. Juventus won despite the lower xG; Atalanta created the better chances (1.82 vs 0.63). On the chances created, Atalanta deserved more: 2.2 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Atalanta40%
Draw25%
Juventus ✓35%

Model vs reality

Atalanta goals
0
Model 1.55 · xG 1.82
Juventus goals
1
Model 1.44 · xG 0.63
Total goals
1
Model 2.99 · xG 2.45
Score 0–1
7%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 58%
Both scored
No
Model 61%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. LocatelliJuventus
8.3
  • RefereeFabio Maresca
  • VenueGewiss Stadium
  • Table before kick-offAtalanta 7th · Juventus 5th

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. J. Boga 0–1
    48’
  3. ⇄ G. RaspadoriFor N. Zalewski
    55’
  4. ⇄ J. DavidFor K. Yıldız
    58’
  5. C. De KetelaereYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    66’
  6. K. ThuramYellow card · Foul
    69’
  7. ⇄ F. GattiFor E. Holm
    71’
  8. ⇄ T. KoopmeinersFor K. Thuram
    71’
  9. ⇄ H. AhanorFor S. Kolašinac
    72’
  10. ⇄ M. PašalićFor M. de Roon
    72’
  11. ⇄ G. ScamaccaFor N. Krstović
    72’
  12. A. CambiasoYellow card · Foul
    73’
  13. ⇄ F. MirettiFor Francisco Conceição
    79’
  14. ⇄ F. KostićFor A. Cambiaso
    79’
  15. F. KostićYellow card · Tripping
    84’
  16. ⇄ R. BellanovaFor D. Zappacosta
    86’
  17. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Atalanta22 shots · 14 in box, 8 outside
Juventus7 shots · 5 in box, 2 outside
AtalantaJuventus
54% Possession 46%
1.82 Expected goals (xG) 0.63
2.20 Expected points (xPts) 0.58
22 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 2
11 Shots off target 3
8 Blocked shots 2
14 Shots inside the box 5
8 Shots outside the box 2
485 Passes 418
86% Pass accuracy 81%
13 Corners 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Fouls 10
3 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.85 Team rating 7.10

Line-ups

Atalanta 3-4-2-1

296.7 M. Carnesecchi(G)
236.5 S. Kolašinac ↓72’ 196.5 B. Djimsiti 427.0 G. Scalvini
477.2 L. Bernasconi 137.3 Éderson 156.9 M. de Roon ↓72’ 776.3 D. Zappacosta ↓86’
596.3 N. Zalewski ↓55’ 177.9 C. De Ketelaere
906.6 N. Krstović ↓72’
  • 29M. Carnesecchi (G)6.7
  • 23S. Kolašinac↓72’6.5
  • 19B. Djimsiti6.5
  • 42G. Scalvini7.0
  • 47L. Bernasconi7.2
  • 13Éderson7.3
  • 15M. de Roon↓72’6.9
  • 77D. Zappacosta↓86’6.3
  • 59N. Zalewski↓55’6.3
  • 17C. De Ketelaere7.9
  • 90N. Krstović↓72’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 9G. Scamacca↑72’6.3
  • 16R. Bellanova↑86’6.3
  • 69H. Ahanor↑72’7.2
  • 8M. Pašalić↑72’6.3
  • 18G. Raspadori↑55’6.7

Unused: M. Bakker, Relja Obrić, K. Kossounou, Y. Musah, Piotr Pardel, M. Sportiello, S. Levak, L. Samardžić

Juventus 3-4-2-1

167.3 M. Di Gregorio(G)
67.3 L. Kelly 37.2 Bremer 156.9 P. Kalulu
276.9 A. Cambiaso ↓79’ 196.7 K. Thuram ↓71’ 58.3★ M. Locatelli 27.2 E. Holm ↓71’
106.7 K. Yıldız ↓58’ 76.7 Francisco Conceição ↓79’
137.2 J. Boga
  • 16M. Di Gregorio (G)7.3
  • 6L. Kelly7.3
  • 3Bremer7.2
  • 15P. Kalulu6.9
  • 27A. Cambiaso↓79’6.9
  • 19K. Thuram↓71’6.7
  • 5M. Locatelli ★8.3
  • 2E. Holm↓71’7.2
  • 10K. Yıldız↓58’6.7
  • 7Francisco Conceição↓79’6.7
  • 13J. Boga7.2

Substitutes used

  • 8T. Koopmeiners↑71’6.2
  • 21F. Miretti↑79’6.5
  • 4F. Gatti↑71’6.9
  • 18F. Kostić↑79’6.2
  • 30J. David↑58’6.7

Unused: A. Milik, C. Pinsoglio, E. Zhegrova, Riccardo Radu, I. Openda

Player stats

Top rated
M. LocatelliJuventus8.3
2nd
C. De KetelaereAtalanta7.9
3rd
ÉdersonAtalanta7.3

Atalanta

Juventus

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.