Serie A Gameweek 28 Sat, Mar 7 2026 · 17:00 Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo
2–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.89 – 0.76
  • G. Scamacca 75’, 79’
  • 40’ T. Kristensen
  • 55’ K. Davis
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Atalanta fight back from two goals down

Atalanta entered as clear favourites, yet Udinese led 2–0 after 55 minutes through goals from Kristensen and Davis. But Scamacca struck twice to rescue a draw for Atalanta. Atalanta finished with the higher xG (1.89 vs 0.76). On the chances created, Atalanta deserved more: 2.1 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Atalanta66%
Draw ✓21%
Udinese13%

Model vs reality

Atalanta goals
2
Model 2.04 · xG 1.89
Udinese goals
2
Model 0.79 · xG 0.76
Total goals
4
Model 2.83 · xG 2.65
Score 2–2
4%
Most likely 2–0 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 54%
Both scored
Yes
Model 48%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchG. ScamaccaAtalanta · 2 goals
8.2
  • RefereeAntonio Rapuano
  • VenueGewiss Stadium
  • Table before kick-offAtalanta 7th · Udinese 10th

Timeline

  1. B. MlacicYellow card · Tripping
    20’
  2. T. Kristensen 0–1Assist N. Zaniolo
    40’
  3. Half time · 0–1
  4. ⇄ Oier ZarragaFor B. Mlacic
    46’
  5. ⇄ M. de RoonFor Y. Musah
    46’
  6. M. de RoonYellow card · Roughing
    52’
  7. K. Davis 0–2
    55’
  8. ⇄ D. ZappacostaFor R. Bellanova
    57’
  9. ⇄ N. KrstovićFor L. Samardžić
    57’
  10. ⇄ N. ZalewskiFor K. Kossounou
    57’
  11. ⇄ A. AttaFor N. Zaniolo
    62’
  12. ⇄ L. MillerFor J. Piotrowski
    62’
  13. M. OkoyeYellow card · Delay of game
    66’
  14. G. Scamacca 1–2Assist N. Zalewski
    75’
  15. ⇄ A. BuksaFor K. Davis
    76’
  16. G. Scamacca 2–2
    79’
  17. ⇄ Juan ArizalaFor H. Kamara
    80’
  18. ⇄ B. DjimsitiFor S. Kolašinac
    87’
  19. Full time · 2–2

Team stats

Atalanta22 shots · 14 in box, 8 outside
Udinese8 shots · 5 in box, 3 outside
AtalantaUdinese
68% Possession 32%
1.89 Expected goals (xG) 0.76
2.14 Expected points (xPts) 0.65
22 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
13 Shots off target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
14 Shots inside the box 5
8 Shots outside the box 3
581 Passes 284
85% Pass accuracy 75%
11 Corners 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Fouls 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.87 Team rating 6.77

Line-ups

Atalanta 3-4-2-1

295.9 M. Carnesecchi(G)
236.9 S. Kolašinac ↓87’ 46.9 I. Hien 36.0 K. Kossounou ↓57’
476.9 L. Bernasconi 87.2 M. Pašalić 66.7 Y. Musah ↓46’ 166.0 R. Bellanova ↓57’
76.9 K. Sulemana 107.5 L. Samardžić ↓57’
98.2★ G. Scamacca
  • 29M. Carnesecchi (G)5.9
  • 23S. Kolašinac↓87’6.9
  • 4I. Hien6.9
  • 3K. Kossounou↓57’6.0
  • 47L. Bernasconi6.9
  • 8M. Pašalić7.2
  • 6Y. Musah↓46’6.7
  • 16R. Bellanova↓57’6.0
  • 7K. Sulemana6.9
  • 10L. Samardžić↓57’7.5
  • 9G. Scamacca ★8.2

Substitutes used

  • 15M. de Roon↑46’6.9
  • 59N. ZalewskiA↑57’7.7
  • 77D. Zappacosta↑57’7.3
  • 90N. Krstović↑57’5.7
  • 19B. Djimsiti↑87’6.3

Unused: M. Sportiello, F. Rossi, H. Ahanor, M. Bakker, S. Levak, D. Vavassori

Udinese 3-5-2

405.9 M. Okoye(G)
317.9 T. Kristensen 276.6 C. Kabasele 226.7 B. Mlacic ↓46’
116.3 H. Kamara ↓80’ 326.6 J. Ekkelenkamp 87.2 J. Karlström 246.3 J. Piotrowski ↓62’ 196.7 K. Ehizibue
106.6 N. Zaniolo A↓62’ 97.9 K. Davis ↓76’
  • 40M. Okoye (G)5.9
  • 31T. Kristensen7.9
  • 27C. Kabasele6.6
  • 22B. Mlacic↓46’6.7
  • 11H. Kamara↓80’6.3
  • 32J. Ekkelenkamp6.6
  • 8J. Karlström7.2
  • 24J. Piotrowski↓62’6.3
  • 19K. Ehizibue6.7
  • 10N. ZanioloA↓62’6.6
  • 9K. Davis↓76’7.9

Substitutes used

  • 6Oier Zarraga↑46’6.7
  • 38L. Miller↑62’6.6
  • 14A. Atta↑62’6.3
  • 20Juan Arizala↑80’6.3
  • 18A. Buksa↑76’6.3

Unused: R. Sava, D. Padelli, Alessandro Nunziante, A. Camara, Idrissa Gueye, V. Bayo

Player stats

Top rated
G. ScamaccaAtalanta8.2
2nd
T. KristensenUdinese7.9
3rd
K. DavisUdinese7.9

Atalanta

Udinese

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.