Primeira Liga Gameweek 15 Sun, Dec 21 2025 · 15:30 Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves, Vila das Aves
2–2 Full time · HT 2–0 xG 1.21 – 1.15
  • Tómané 35’
  • B. Akinsola 44’
  • Rúben Semedo 70’
  • 51’ Zé Vitor
  • 61’ J. Ramírez
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Nacional fight back from two goals down

Nacional entered as narrow favourites, yet AVS led 2–0 at half-time through goals from Tómané and Akinsola. But Vitor and Ramírez scored to rescue a draw for Nacional. AVS played with ten men from the 70th minute after Semedo was sent off. The chances were even, with xG of 1.21 and 1.15.

AVS31%
Draw ✓28%
Nacional41%

Model vs reality

AVS goals
2
Model 1.12 · xG 1.21
Nacional goals
2
Model 1.33 · xG 1.15
Total goals
4
Model 2.45 · xG 2.36
Score 2–2
5%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 44%
Both scored
Yes
Model 50%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchTómanéAVS · 1 goal
7.9
  • RefereeJoao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves
  • CoachesRamos Borges Sousa Joao Pedro · —
  • VenueEstádio Clube Desportivo das Aves
  • Table before kick-offAVS 18th · Nacional 12th

Timeline

  1. Tómané 1–0
    35’
  2. B. Akinsola 2–0Assist Diogo Spencer
    44’
  3. Half time · 2–0
  4. ⇄ José GomesFor Matheus Dias
    46’
  5. ⇄ C. LabidiFor Lenny Vallier
    46’
  6. Zé Vitor 2–1Assist C. Labidi
    51’
  7. TómanéYellow card
    57’
  8. J. Ramírez 2–2
    61’
  9. ⇄ L. RivasFor Kiki
    68’
  10. ⇄ Rafael BarbosaFor Ó. Perea
    68’
  11. Rúben SemedoRed card
    70’
  12. ⇄ Aderllan SantosFor Jaume Grau
    81’
  13. ⇄ Gustavo AssunçãoFor Pedro Lima
    81’
  14. ⇄ M. NouraniFor Pablo Ruan
    83’
  15. ⇄ Lucas JoãoFor Miguel Baeza
    83’
  16. ⇄ Jordi EscobarFor Tómané
    85’
  17. ⇄ André SousaFor Liziero
    90+3’
  18. Full time · 2–2

Team stats

AVS15 shots · 9 in box, 6 outside
Nacional19 shots · 12 in box, 7 outside
AVSNacional
37% Possession 63%
1.21 Expected goals (xG) 1.15
1.40 Expected points (xPts) 1.32
15 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 6
7 Shots off target 10
5 Blocked shots 3
9 Shots inside the box 12
6 Shots outside the box 7
248 Passes 454
71% Pass accuracy 83%
9 Corners 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
6.91 Team rating 6.73

Line-ups

AVS 3-4-3

937.3 Simão(G)
36.2 Paulo Vitor 356.0 Rúben Semedo 426.0 C. Devenish
247.3 Kiki ↓68’ 86.7 Pedro Lima ↓81’ 156.3 Jaume Grau ↓81’ 27.5 Diogo Spencer A
147.2 Ó. Perea ↓68’ 77.9★ Tómané ↓85’ 117.5 B. Akinsola
  • 93Simão (G)7.3
  • 3Paulo Vitor6.2
  • 35Rúben Semedo6.0
  • 42C. Devenish6.0
  • 24Kiki↓68’7.3
  • 8Pedro Lima↓81’6.7
  • 15Jaume Grau↓81’6.3
  • 2Diogo SpencerA7.5
  • 14Ó. Perea↓68’7.2
  • 7Tómané ★↓85’7.9
  • 11B. Akinsola7.5

Substitutes used

  • 10Rafael Barbosa↑68’7.2
  • 33Aderllan Santos↑81’6.7
  • 6Gustavo Assunção↑81’6.7
  • 9Jordi Escobar↑85’6.3

Unused: Leonardo Rivas, João Gonçalves, Ángel Algobia, G. Neiva, Nenê

Coach: Ramos Borges Sousa Joao Pedro

Nacional 4-2-3-1

16.0 Kaique(G)
246.0 Lenny Vallier ↓46’ 387.7 Zé Vitor 336.9 Francisco Gonçalves 26.2 João Aurélio
86.5 Miguel Baeza ↓83’ 66.9 Matheus Dias ↓46’
116.6 Paulinho Bóia 286.7 Liziero ↓90’ 996.3 Pablo Ruan ↓83’
97.7 J. Ramírez
  • 1Kaique (G)6.0
  • 24Lenny Vallier↓46’6.0
  • 38Zé Vitor7.7
  • 33Francisco Gonçalves6.9
  • 2João Aurélio6.2
  • 8Miguel Baeza↓83’6.5
  • 6Matheus Dias↓46’6.9
  • 11Paulinho Bóia6.6
  • 28Liziero↓90’6.7
  • 99Pablo Ruan↓83’6.3
  • 9J. Ramírez7.7

Substitutes used

  • 5José Gomes↑46’7.0
  • 15C. LabidiA↑46’6.9
  • 18André Sousa↑90’
  • 19Lucas João↑83’6.3
  • 17M. Nourani↑83’6.5

Unused: Lucas França, Alan Nuñez, Daniel Júnior, Martim Watts

Player stats

Top rated
TómanéAVS7.9
2nd
Zé VitorNacional7.7
3rd
J. RamírezNacional7.7

AVS

Nacional

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.