AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag – 8 Aug 2026

Eredivisie Gameweek 1 Sat, Aug 8 · 20:00 AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar

2–0Full time

ADO Den Haag

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

AZ Alkmaar were clear favourites.

AZ Alkmaar were the stronger side on L90 Strength (42 vs 15). AZ Alkmaar had 83.3 days of rest, ADO Den Haag ? and had to travel.

Rest days83.3 · ?Matches / 14d0 · 0

AZ Alkmaar65%

Draw20%

ADO Den Haag15%

Expected goals 2.14 – 0.92

AZ Alkmaar64%

Draw20%

ADO Den Haag15%

Expected goals 2.04 – 0.88

AZ Alkmaar65%

Draw20%

ADO Den Haag15%

Expected goals 2.14 – 0.92

AZ Alkmaar58%

Draw22%

ADO Den Haag20%

Expected goals 1.91 – 1.03

AZ Alkmaar65%

Draw20%

ADO Den Haag15%

Expected goals 2.10 – 0.91

Over 2.5 59% Both score 53% Likeliest score 2–0

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Alkmaar)

No weather data yet

Referee · NetherlandsErwin Blank

Cards per match 3.1
Penalties per match 0.10
Matches 30

Team strength

AZ Alkmaar

ADO Den Haag

42 L90 StrengthIn forecast 15

47 Current StrengthIn forecast 15

52 AttackIn forecast 15

49 DefenceIn forecast 18

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

AZ Alkmaar

Attack—

Defense risk—

ADO Den Haag

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

AZ Alkmaar

ADO Den Haag

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

1.70 Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

1.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def —

1.37 xGVia Att/Def —

1.10 xG allowedVia Att/Def —

+0.33 Goals minus xGContext —

70% Scored inContext —

40% Clean sheetsContext —

14.60 ShotsContext —

5.10 Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

35% On target shareContext —

8.90 Shots in the boxContext —

61% Box shareContext —

12% ConversionContext —

1.44 OffsidesContext —

11.00 Shots allowedContext —

4.30 On target allowedVia Att/Def —

3.33 BlocksContext —

2.90 Goalkeeper savesContext —

67% Save rateContext —

55% PossessionIn forecast —

454 PassesContext —

381 Accurate passesContext —

84% Pass accuracyContext —

6.90 Team ratingContext —

10.00 FoulsContext —

11.00 Fouls sufferedContext —

1.20 Yellow cardsContext —

0.00 Red cardsContext —

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 0 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

AZ Alkmaar

Rest83.3 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

ADO Den Haag

Rest—since last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel—0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	AZ Alkmaar	ADO Den Haag
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	83.3Eredivisie 2025-2026, 17 May	—
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	—
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 0 / 0	0 / 0 / 0
Next matchdays after this one	6.9	7.6

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context. Some venues have no coordinates yet.

Squad & lineups

AZ Alkmaar Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

28J. De Busser(G)

15Mateo Chávez 16L. Schouten 3W. Goes 22Elijah Dijkstra

6P. Koopmeiners 21D. Kwakman

11Ro-Zangelo Daal 10K. Smit 7Weslley Patati

35M. Meerdink

ADO Den Haag Confirmed XI

4-4-2

1K. Nikiéma(G)

18S. Sylla 4M. Waem 3P. Mulder 15M. Hokke

17J. Hawkins 25J. Kilo 16F. de Bruin 7D. van Mieghem

46Y. Eduardo 11E. Rottier

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

AZ Alkmaar Absences are shown before kick-off

ADO Den Haag Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

AZ Alkmaar+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
ADO Den Haag+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

AZ Alkmaar · Home No home games yet this season.

ADO Den Haag · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	AZ Alkmaar	ADO Den Haag	Forecast
Scored per game	—	—
Conceded per game	—	—
Match goals	—	—	3.06
Over 1.5	—	—
Over 2.5	—	—	59%
Over 3.5	—	—
Both teams scored	—	—	53%
Clean sheets	—	—
Failed to score	—	—
Games	0	0

	AZ Alkmaar	ADO Den Haag	Forecast
Scored per game	1.60	—
Conceded per game	1.30	—
Match goals	2.90	—	3.06
Over 1.5	90%	—
Over 2.5	60%	—	59%
Over 3.5	30%	—
Both teams scored	40%	—	53%
Clean sheets	40%	—
Failed to score	30%	—
Games	10	0

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	AZ Alkmaar	ADO Den Haag	League
Corners
Corners won	—	—
Corners conceded	—	—
Match total	—	—	12.33
Over 8.5	—	—
Over 9.5	—	—
Over 10.5	—	—
Cards
Cards	—	—
Opponent cards	—	—
Match total	—	—	2.33
Over 3.5	—	—
Over 4.5	—	—

	AZ Alkmaar	ADO Den Haag	League
Corners
Corners won	6.10	4.00
Corners conceded	4.60	3.50
Match total	10.70	7.50	12.33
Over 8.5	80% 8/10	0% 0/2
Over 9.5	70% 7/10	0% 0/2
Over 10.5	60% 6/10	0% 0/2
Cards
Cards	1.20	1.50
Opponent cards	1.50	2.50
Match total	2.70	4.00	2.33
Over 3.5	20% 2/10	50% 1/2
Over 4.5	10% 1/10	50% 1/2

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Erwin Blank Netherlands · 30 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.03league 2.25

Red cards0.03league 0.00

Cards 5+10%league 0%

Fouls22.5league 19.5

Penalties0.10league 0.00

Home wins40%league 25%

AZ Alkmaar5 with this referee

Record2-3-0 Cards · opp.1.6 · 1.6 Pens for · against0 · 0

W14 Feb 26A · Excelsior2–12
D7 Dec 25H · GO Ahead Eagles2–22
D29 Mar 25A · NEC Nijmegen3–33
W1 Dec 24H · Heracles1–00
D3 Dec 23A · Utrecht1–11

ADO Den Haag

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.