Eredivisie Knockout phase Sun, May 17 2026 · 13:30 AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
First leg1–0 3–3 Full time · HT 2–0 xG 1.25 – 2.05
NAC Breda
  • S. Mijnans 8’
  • Mateo Chávez 12’
  • M. Meerdink 90’
  • 61’, 71’ M. Soumano
  • 89’ J. Talvitie
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

NAC Breda fight back from two goals down

AZ Alkmaar entered as clear favourites and led 2–0 at half-time through goals from Mijnans and Chávez. But Soumano and Talvitie scored to rescue a draw for NAC Breda. NAC Breda finished with the higher xG (2.05 vs 1.25). On the chances created, NAC Breda deserved more: 1.9 expected points against the 1 point they took.

AZ Alkmaar70%
Draw ✓19%
NAC Breda11%

Model vs reality

AZ Alkmaar goals
3
Model 2.30 · xG 1.25
NAC Breda goals
3
Model 0.83 · xG 2.05
Total goals
6
Model 3.13 · xG 3.30
Score 3–3
1%
Most likely 2–0 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 60%
Both scored
Yes
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchR. Owusu-OduroAZ Alkmaar
9.2
  • RefereeEdwin Van de Graaf
  • Coaches— · C. Hoefkens
  • VenueAFAS Stadion
  • Table before kick-offAZ Alkmaar 6th · NAC Breda 17th

Timeline

  1. S. Mijnans 1–0Assist T. Parrott
    8’
  2. Mateo Chávez 2–0Assist S. Mijnans
    12’
  3. ⇄ M. MeerdinkFor T. Parrott
    37’
  4. Half time · 2–0
  5. ⇄ J. CandelariaFor K. Sowah
    54’
  6. ⇄ C. BrymFor P. Reulen
    55’
  7. ⇄ J. TalvitieFor E. Mahmutović
    55’
  8. ⇄ Weslley PatatiFor I. Jensen
    57’
  9. ⇄ D. KasiusFor Mateo Chávez
    57’
  10. R. HillenYellow card
    59’
  11. M. Soumano 2–1Assist C. Valerius
    61’
  12. ⇄ L. HoltbyFor B. Ghalidi
    68’
  13. ⇄ A. AyewFor C. Leemans
    68’
  14. ⇄ Kasper BoogaardFor J. Clasie
    70’
  15. ⇄ A. OufkirFor Ro-Zangelo Daal
    70’
  16. M. Soumano 2–2Assist F. Oldrup Jensen
    71’
  17. M. MeerdinkYellow card · Roughing
    86’
  18. J. Talvitie 2–3Assist C. Valerius
    89’
  19. M. Meerdink 3–3Assist Weslley Patati
    90’
  20. Full time · 3–3

Team stats

AZ Alkmaar14 shots · 11 in box, 3 outside
NAC Breda16 shots · 8 in box, 8 outside
AZ AlkmaarNAC Breda
54% Possession 46%
1.25 Expected goals (xG) 2.05
0.90 Expected points (xPts) 1.89
14 Shots 16
10 Shots on target 11
2 Shots off target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
11 Shots inside the box 8
3 Shots outside the box 8
413 Passes 345
86% Pass accuracy 85%
5 Corners 6
7 Goalkeeper saves 7
10 Fouls 6
1 Offsides 3
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.18 Team rating 7.00

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar 4-2-3-1

19.2★ R. Owusu-Oduro(G)
157.7 Mateo Chávez ↓57’ 57.2 Alexandre Penetra 36.3 W. Goes 226.9 Elijah Dijkstra
66.3 P. Koopmeiners 87.2 J. Clasie ↓70’
277.2 Ro-Zangelo Daal ↓70’ 108.7 S. Mijnans A 176.6 I. Jensen ↓57’
97.0 T. Parrott A↓37’
  • 1R. Owusu-Oduro (G) ★9.2
  • 15Mateo Chávez↓57’7.7
  • 5Alexandre Penetra7.2
  • 3W. Goes6.3
  • 22Elijah Dijkstra6.9
  • 6P. Koopmeiners6.3
  • 8J. Clasie↓70’7.2
  • 27Ro-Zangelo Daal↓70’7.2
  • 10S. MijnansA8.7
  • 17I. Jensen↓57’6.6
  • 9T. ParrottA↓37’7.0

Substitutes used

  • 35M. Meerdink↑37’6.3
  • 30D. Kasius↑57’5.9
  • 20Kasper Boogaard↑70’6.2
  • 7Weslley PatatiA↑57’7.0
  • 24A. Oufkir↑70’6.3

Unused: J. Zoet, B. van Duijl, Rion Ichihara, S. Maikuma, M. Šín, Bendegúz Kovács, I. Sadiq

NAC Breda 4-4-2

997.3 D. Bielica(G)
226.9 R. Hillen 206.6 F. Oldrup Jensen A 156.0 E. Mahmutović ↓55’ 257.6 C. Valerius AA
146.9 K. Sowah ↓54’ 87.3 C. Leemans ↓68’ 166.9 M. Balard 556.7 B. Ghalidi ↓68’
98.3 M. Soumano 266.5 P. Reulen ↓55’
  • 99D. Bielica (G)7.3
  • 22R. Hillen6.9
  • 20F. Oldrup JensenA6.6
  • 15E. Mahmutović↓55’6.0
  • 25C. ValeriusA×27.6
  • 14K. Sowah↓54’6.9
  • 8C. Leemans↓68’7.3
  • 16M. Balard6.9
  • 55B. Ghalidi↓68’6.7
  • 9M. Soumano8.3
  • 26P. Reulen↓55’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 21J. Candelaria↑54’6.7
  • 90L. Holtby↑68’6.3
  • 32J. Talvitie↑55’7.2
  • 24A. Ayew↑68’6.3
  • 7C. Brym↑55’6.3

Unused: Thomas Goos, R. Kortsmit, K. Lamprou, B. Kemper, L. Brouwers

Coach: C. Hoefkens

Player stats

Top rated
R. Owusu-OduroAZ Alkmaar9.2
2nd
S. MijnansAZ Alkmaar8.7
3rd
M. SoumanoNAC Breda8.3

AZ Alkmaar

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
R. Owusu-Oduro G 90 0 0 7 sv 0 65% 26 0 0 0/0 0/0 9.2
Mateo Chávez D 57 1 0 1 (1) 1 77% 26 3 0 0/2 1/0 7.7
Alexandre Penetra D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 38 1 1 0/0 1/0 7.2
W. Goes D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 91% 46 1 0 0/0 2/0 6.3
Elijah Dijkstra D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 89% 37 4 1 1/1 0/1 6.9
P. Koopmeiners M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 86% 42 2 0 0/0 2/0 6.3
J. Clasie M 70 0 0 1 (0) 0 93% 40 1 0 0/1 0/1 7.2
Ro-Zangelo Daal F 70 0 0 1 (1) 1 83% 24 1 0 1/5 1/1 7.2
S. Mijnans M 90 1 1 3 (2) 2 87% 45 2 0 0/1 0/0 8.7
I. Jensen F 57 0 0 0 (0) 2 95% 20 0 0 1/5 0/0 6.6
T. Parrott F 37 0 1 0 (0) 2 80% 15 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.0
M. Meerdink F 53 1 0 2 (2) 0 67% 12 0 0 0/1 1/1 6.3
D. Kasius D 33 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 13 1 0 0/1 0/0 5.9
Kasper Boogaard M 20 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 10 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
Weslley Patati F 33 0 1 1 (1) 1 86% 14 0 0 1/1 2/1 7.0
A. Oufkir F 20 0 0 1 (1) 0 80% 5 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.3

NAC Breda

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Bielica G 90 0 0 7 sv 0 53% 19 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
R. Hillen D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 79% 33 4 1 0/1 2/0 6.9
F. Oldrup Jensen M 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 94% 48 3 1 0/0 0/1 6.6
E. Mahmutović D 55 0 0 1 (0) 0 95% 19 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.0
C. Valerius D 90 0 2 0 (0) 2 75% 32 4 3 0/0 0/1 7.6
K. Sowah M 54 0 0 1 (1) 0 75% 24 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.9
C. Leemans M 68 0 0 3 (2) 2 95% 40 0 0 1/1 0/0 7.3
M. Balard M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 94% 33 2 1 1/3 1/2 6.9
B. Ghalidi F 68 0 0 0 (0) 1 90% 20 0 2 2/4 0/0 6.7
M. Soumano F 90 2 0 5 (5) 1 81% 26 1 0 1/3 2/3 8.3
P. Reulen F 55 0 0 1 (1) 2 100% 9 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.5
J. Candelaria D 36 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 4 0 0 1/1 0/2 6.7
L. Holtby M 22 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
J. Talvitie F 35 1 0 1 (1) 1 71% 14 3 0 2/3 0/0 7.2
A. Ayew F 22 0 0 1 (1) 0 100% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
C. Brym F 35 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 13 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.