Barcelona vs Levante – 22 Feb 2026

La Liga Gameweek 25 Sun, Feb 22 · 15:15 Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys, Barcelona

Barcelona 2nd · 58 pts · 24 played LWWWL

3–0Full time

Levante 19th · 18 pts · 24 played WDLLL

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Barcelona were clear favourites.

Barcelona were the stronger side on L90 Strength (90 vs 39). Recent goals, xG and shots on target add to that edge for Barcelona. Barcelona had 5.8 days of rest, Levante 3.8 and had to travel 302 km.

Away travel302 kmRest days5.8 · 3.8Matches / 14d1 · 3

Barcelona85%

Draw10%

Levante4%

Expected goals 3.12 – 0.64

Barcelona81%

Draw13%

Levante6%

Expected goals 2.76 – 0.65

Barcelona85%

Draw10%

Levante4%

Expected goals 3.12 – 0.63

Barcelona80%

Draw13%

Levante7%

Expected goals 2.78 – 0.72

Barcelona85%

Draw11%

Levante5%

Expected goals 3.12 – 0.68

Over 2.5 73% Both score 46% Likeliest score 3–0

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Barcelona)

No weather data yet

Referee · SpainJavier Alberola Rojas

Cards per match 3.5
Penalties per match 0.37
Matches 38

Team strength

Barcelona

Levante

90 L90 StrengthIn forecast 39

93 Current StrengthIn forecast 48

97 AttackIn forecast 55

92 DefenceIn forecast 41

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Barcelona

Attack—

Defense risk—

Levante

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Barcelona

Levante

2.67 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.08

1.04 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.71

2.51 xGVia Att/Def 1.14

1.29 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.55

+0.16 Goals minus xGContext -0.06

100% Scored inContext 63%

38% Clean sheetsContext 17%

20.29 ShotsContext 10.13

7.17 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.30

35% On target shareContext 31%

12.92 Shots in the boxContext 6.52

64% Box shareContext 63%

13% ConversionContext 11%

2.50 OffsidesContext 2.26

9.38 Shots allowedContext 15.96

4.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.29

2.52 BlocksContext 4.25

2.88 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.83

72% Save rateContext 70%

69% PossessionIn forecast 42%

638 PassesContext 355

571 Accurate passesContext 280

89% Pass accuracyContext 79%

7.09 Team ratingContext 6.75

9.63 FoulsContext 12.29

11.79 Fouls sufferedContext 12.21

1.25 Yellow cardsContext 2.17

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.08

This league season, per match · 24 and 24 games

2.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00

0.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.50

2.86 xGVia Att/Def 0.90

1.13 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.35

-0.36 Goals minus xGContext +0.10

100% Scored inContext 50%

50% Clean sheetsContext 20%

22.10 ShotsContext 10.70

7.70 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.33

35% On target shareContext 28%

14.30 Shots in the boxContext 6.10

65% Box shareContext 55%

11% ConversionContext 9%

2.00 OffsidesContext 1.75

9.40 Shots allowedContext 14.70

4.10 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.30

2.44 BlocksContext 3.90

3.56 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.11

80% Save rateContext 73%

72% PossessionIn forecast 46%

655 PassesContext 387

585 Accurate passesContext 311

89% Pass accuracyContext 80%

7.12 Team ratingContext 6.80

8.70 FoulsContext 11.30

10.90 Fouls sufferedContext 13.50

1.00 Yellow cardsContext 2.30

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Barcelona

Rest5.8 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km172 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Levante

Rest3.8 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d3all competitions

Travel302 km944 km in 14d

Schedule load21%Moderate

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Barcelona	Levante
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Moderate · 21
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	5.8La Liga 2025-2026, 16 Feb	3.8La Liga 2025-2026, 18 Feb
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	302 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	172 km	944 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 1 / 4	2 / 3 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	6	5.2

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Barcelona Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

13Joan García(G)

2João Cancelo 18Gerard Martín 24Eric García 23J. Koundé

21F. de Jong 22Marc Bernal

11Raphinha 20Dani Olmo 10Lamine Yamal

9R. Lewandowski

+4 more reported missing outside this XI

Levante Confirmed XI

4-1-4-1

13M. Ryan(G)

23Manu Sánchez 3A. Matturro 4Adrián de la Fuente 22J. Toljan

20Oriol Rey

26Kareem Tunde 24Carlos Álvarez 8Jon Ander Olasagasti 17Víctor García

9Iván Romero

+4 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Barcelona Scores -0.04 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Levante Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.05 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Barcelona-0.1 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Levante+0.1 pp

Home / Away this season

Barcelona · Home 3.00points per game · 11 home games

W-D-L: 11-0-0
Scored: 3.09
Conceded: 0.45

Levante · Away 0.92points per game · 12 away games

W-D-L: 3-2-7
Scored: 1.25
Conceded: 1.50

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 18 this season

Opponent	Barcelona	Levante
Girona	L 1–2 AW 2–1 H	W 4–0 A
Mallorca	W 3–0 HW 3–0 A	D 1–1 A
Elche	W 3–1 AW 3–1 H	W 3–2 HL 0–2 A
Oviedo	W 3–0 HW 3–1 A	W 2–0 A
Real Sociedad	L 1–2 AW 2–1 H	D 1–1 H
Espanyol	W 2–0 A	D 1–1 H
Villarreal	W 2–0 A	L 0–1 H
Osasuna	W 2–0 H	L 0–2 A
Real Betis	W 5–3 A	D 2–2 H
Atletico Madrid	W 3–1 H	D 0–0 HL 1–3 A
Alaves	W 3–1 H	L 1–2 A
Athletic Club	W 4–0 H	L 2–4 AL 0–2 H
Celta Vigo	W 4–2 A	L 1–2 H
Real Madrid	L 1–2 A	L 0–2 AL 1–4 H
Sevilla	L 1–4 A	W 3–0 A
Getafe	W 3–0 H	D 1–1 A
Valencia	W 6–0 H	L 0–2 HL 0–1 A
Rayo Vallecano	D 1–1 A	L 0–3 H
Points	55 of 69 · 2.39 per game	18 of 69 · 0.78 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 5 of 5 meetings

4 Barcelona wins1 draws0 Levante wins

Goals per game2.60 – 1.40 Over 2.580% Both scored60% Clean sheets40% · 0%

23 Aug 2025Levante2–3Barcelona
10 Apr 2022Levante2–3Barcelona
26 Sep 2021Barcelona3–0Levante
11 May 2021Levante3–3Barcelona
13 Dec 2020Barcelona1–0Levante

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Barcelona	Levante	Forecast
Scored per game	2.67	1.08
Conceded per game	1.04	1.71
Match goals	3.71	2.79	3.76
Over 1.5	100%	88%
Over 2.5	83%	46%	73%
Over 3.5	46%	29%
Both teams scored	63%	50%	46%
Clean sheets	38%	17%
Failed to score	0%	38%
Games	24	24

	Barcelona	Levante	Forecast
Scored per game	2.50	1.00
Conceded per game	0.90	1.50
Match goals	3.40	2.50	3.76
Over 1.5	100%	80%
Over 2.5	70%	30%	73%
Over 3.5	30%	20%
Both teams scored	50%	40%	46%
Clean sheets	50%	20%
Failed to score	0%	50%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Barcelona	Levante	League
Corners
Corners won	7.22	3.71
Corners conceded	4.35	5.76
Match total	11.57	9.47	9.49
Over 8.5	91% 21/23	48% 10/21
Over 9.5	70% 16/23	38% 8/21
Over 10.5	61% 14/23	29% 6/21
Cards
Cards	1.33	2.29
Opponent cards	2.54	2.21
Match total	3.87	4.50	4.42
Over 3.5	46% 11/24	71% 17/24
Over 4.5	38% 9/24	50% 12/24

	Barcelona	Levante	League
Corners
Corners won	8.60	3.89
Corners conceded	3.20	4.11
Match total	11.80	8.00	9.49
Over 8.5	100% 10/10	33% 3/9
Over 9.5	90% 9/10	33% 3/9
Over 10.5	60% 6/10	22% 2/9
Cards
Cards	1.00	2.50
Opponent cards	2.00	2.20
Match total	3.00	4.70	4.42
Over 3.5	30% 3/10	70% 7/10
Over 4.5	20% 2/10	50% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Javier Alberola Rojas Spain · 38 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.34league 4.16

Red cards0.18league 0.27

Cards 5+24%league 46%

Fouls24.2league 24.6

Penalties0.37league 0.38

Home wins47%league 47%

Barcelona4 with this referee

Record4-0-0 Cards · opp.2.5 · 1.5 Pens for · against2 · 0 Reds1

W21 Dec 25A · Villarreal2–01
W9 Nov 25A · Celta Vigo4–25
W16 May 24A · Almeria2–01
W4 Nov 23A · Real Sociedad1–03

Levante

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.