La Liga Gameweek 25 Sat, Feb 21 2026 · 15:15 Estadio Benito Villamarín, Sevilla
1–1 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 1.83 – 0.84
  • C. Bakambu 16’
  • 42’ Isi Palazón
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Real Betis and Rayo Vallecano share the points

Real Betis entered as favourites and led 1–0 after 16 minutes through a Bakambu goal. But Palazón scored to rescue a draw for Rayo Vallecano. Real Betis finished with the higher xG (1.83 vs 0.84). On the chances created, Real Betis deserved more: 2.0 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Real Betis53%
Draw ✓25%
Rayo Vallecano22%

Model vs reality

Real Betis goals
1
Model 1.72 · xG 1.83
Rayo Vallecano goals
1
Model 1.01 · xG 0.84
Total goals
2
Model 2.73 · xG 2.67
Score 1–1
12%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 51%
Both scored
Yes
Model 53%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchC. BakambuReal Betis · 1 goal
7.9
  • RefereeJuan Martinez Munuera
  • VenueEstadio Benito Villamarín
  • Table before kick-offReal Betis 5th · Rayo Vallecano 17th

Timeline

  1. C. Bakambu 1–0
    16’
  2. N. MendyYellow card · Holding
    27’
  3. Pablo FornalsYellow card · Tripping
    29’
  4. Gerard GumbauYellow card · Roughing
    36’
  5. Isi Palazón 1–1Assist A. Rațiu
    42’
  6. Diego LlorenteYellow card · Foul
    45+2’
  7. Half time · 1–1
  8. ⇄ C. HernándezFor C. Bakambu
    46’
  9. ⇄ Álvaro GarcíaFor Fran Pérez
    61’
  10. ⇄ P. CissFor Gerard Gumbau
    61’
  11. ⇄ Rodrigo RiquelmeFor Pablo Fornals
    61’
  12. A. EspinoYellow card · Tripping
    63’
  13. ⇄ Ángel OrtizFor Aitor Ruibal
    69’
  14. ⇄ Valentín GómezFor R. Rodríguez
    70’
  15. ⇄ Nelson Alexander Deossa SuarezFor Álvaro Fidalgo
    75’
  16. ⇄ Pep ChavarríaFor Jorge de Frutos
    77’
  17. Nelson Alexander Deossa SuarezYellow card · Foul
    84’
  18. Valentín GómezYellow card
    85’
  19. ⇄ Pedro DíazFor A. Espino
    90+6’
  20. ⇄ R. NtekaFor I. Akhomach
    90+6’
  21. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Real Betis14 shots · 9 in box, 5 outside
Rayo Vallecano12 shots · 7 in box, 5 outside
Real BetisRayo Vallecano
46% Possession 54%
1.83 Expected goals (xG) 0.84
2.05 Expected points (xPts) 0.73
14 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 3
6 Shots off target 4
5 Blocked shots 5
9 Shots inside the box 7
5 Shots outside the box 5
392 Passes 462
85% Pass accuracy 86%
3 Corners 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
14 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 3
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.71 Team rating 6.84

Line-ups

Real Betis 4-3-3

16.9 Álvaro Vallés(G)
126.5 R. Rodríguez ↓70’ 46.3 Natan 36.0 Diego Llorente 246.6 Aitor Ruibal ↓69’
156.9 Álvaro Fidalgo ↓75’ 216.6 Marc Roca 86.3 Pablo Fornals ↓61’
106.9 A. Ezzalzouli 117.9★ C. Bakambu ↓46’ 77.2 Antony
  • 1Álvaro Vallés (G)6.9
  • 12R. Rodríguez↓70’6.5
  • 4Natan6.3
  • 3Diego Llorente6.0
  • 24Aitor Ruibal↓69’6.6
  • 15Álvaro Fidalgo↓75’6.9
  • 21Marc Roca6.6
  • 8Pablo Fornals↓61’6.3
  • 10A. Ezzalzouli6.9
  • 11C. Bakambu ★↓46’7.9
  • 7Antony7.2

Substitutes used

  • 19C. Hernández↑46’6.9
  • 40Ángel Ortiz↑69’6.6
  • 16Valentín Gómez↑70’6.7
  • 17Rodrigo Riquelme↑61’6.7
  • 18Nelson Alexander Deossa Suarez↑75’6.9

Unused: Adrián, Pau López, J. Firpo, Marc Bartra, Héctor Bellerín, Sergi Altimira, L. Ávila

Rayo Vallecano 4-2-3-1

136.9 A. Batalla(G)
226.9 A. Espino ↓90’ 326.7 N. Mendy 247.0 F. Lejeune 27.5 A. Rațiu A
156.6 Gerard Gumbau ↓61’ 236.5 Óscar Valentín
216.2 Fran Pérez ↓61’ 77.3 Isi Palazón 127.0 I. Akhomach ↓90’
196.7 Jorge de Frutos ↓77’
  • 13A. Batalla (G)6.9
  • 22A. Espino↓90’6.9
  • 32N. Mendy6.7
  • 24F. Lejeune7.0
  • 2A. RațiuA7.5
  • 15Gerard Gumbau↓61’6.6
  • 23Óscar Valentín6.5
  • 21Fran Pérez↓61’6.2
  • 7Isi Palazón7.3
  • 12I. Akhomach↓90’7.0
  • 19Jorge de Frutos↓77’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 3Pep Chavarría↑77’6.3
  • 6P. Ciss↑61’6.3
  • 4Pedro Díaz↑90’
  • 18Álvaro García↑61’6.5
  • 11R. Nteka↑90’

Unused: Juanpe, Luiz Felipe, I. Balliu, Ó. Trejo, Unai López, Carlos Martín, Alemão

Player stats

Top rated
C. BakambuReal Betis7.9
2nd
A. RațiuRayo Vallecano7.5
3rd
Isi PalazónRayo Vallecano7.3

Real Betis

Rayo Vallecano

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.