Bundesliga Gameweek 7 Sat, Oct 18 2025 · 17:30 Allianz Arena, München
Bayern München
2–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.89 – 1.53
Borussia Dortmund
  • H. Kane 22’
  • M. Olise 79’
  • 84’ J. Brandt
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Bayern München beat Borussia Dortmund

Bayern München entered as clear favourites and won 2–1 through goals from Kane and Olise. Borussia Dortmund replied through a Brandt goal. Bayern München finished with the higher xG (1.89 vs 1.53). On the chances created, Borussia Dortmund deserved more: 1.2 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Bayern München ✓60%
Draw21%
Borussia Dortmund19%

Model vs reality

Bayern München goals
2
Model 2.17 · xG 1.89
Borussia Dortmund goals
1
Model 1.14 · xG 1.53
Total goals
3
Model 3.31 · xG 3.42
Score 2–1
10%
Most likely 2–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 64%
Both scored
Yes
Model 61%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchH. KaneBayern München · 1 goal
8.9
  • RefereeBastian Dankert
  • VenueAllianz Arena
  • Table before kick-offBayern München 1st · Borussia Dortmund 4th

Timeline

  1. J. RyersonYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    20’
  2. H. Kane 1–0Assist J. Kimmich
    22’
  3. W. AntonYellow card · Holding
    45’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. ⇄ A. BensebainiFor N. Süle
    46’
  6. K. LaimerYellow card · Roughing
    48’
  7. A. BensebainiYellow card · Tripping
    50’
  8. ⇄ L. GoretzkaFor N. Jackson
    61’
  9. ⇄ J. BellinghamFor M. Sabitzer
    73’
  10. ⇄ M. BeierFor K. Adeyemi
    74’
  11. N. KovacYellow card
    75’
  12. M. Olise 2–0
    79’
  13. ⇄ J. BrandtFor P. Groß
    83’
  14. ⇄ Fábio SilvaFor S. Guirassy
    84’
  15. ⇄ T. BischofFor S. Boey
    84’
  16. J. Brandt 2–1Assist J. Ryerson
    84’
  17. ⇄ M. KimFor A. Pavlović
    90+2’
  18. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Bayern München14 shots · 11 in box, 3 outside
Borussia Dortmund8 shots · 5 in box, 3 outside
Bayern MünchenBorussia Dortmund
61% Possession 39%
1.89 Expected goals (xG) 1.53
1.61 Expected points (xPts) 1.17
14 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 1
5 Shots off target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
11 Shots inside the box 5
3 Shots outside the box 3
579 Passes 359
88% Pass accuracy 78%
4 Corners 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
14 Fouls 8
2 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
7.01 Team rating 6.90

Line-ups

Bayern München 4-2-3-1

16.6 M. Neuer(G)
276.5 K. Laimer 46.6 J. Tah 26.3 D. Upamecano 236.3 S. Boey ↓84’
457.0 A. Pavlović ↓90’ 67.9 J. Kimmich A
146.3 L. Díaz 98.9★ H. Kane 178.3 M. Olise
116.3 N. Jackson ↓61’
  • 1M. Neuer (G)6.6
  • 27K. Laimer6.5
  • 4J. Tah6.6
  • 2D. Upamecano6.3
  • 23S. Boey↓84’6.3
  • 45A. Pavlović↓90’7.0
  • 6J. KimmichA7.9
  • 14L. Díaz6.3
  • 9H. Kane ★8.9
  • 17M. Olise8.3
  • 11N. Jackson↓61’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 3M. Kim↑90’
  • 8L. Goretzka↑61’6.5
  • 20T. Bischof↑84’6.5

Unused: S. Ulreich, J. Urbig, R. Guerreiro, Lennart Karl, David Michael Santos Daiber, Wisdom Mike

Borussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1

17.2 G. Kobel(G)
48.0 N. Schlotterbeck 37.0 W. Anton 256.2 N. Süle ↓46’
246.9 D. Svensson 206.3 M. Sabitzer ↓73’ 136.0 P. Groß ↓83’ 268.0 J. Ryerson A
86.9 F. Nmecha 276.2 K. Adeyemi ↓74’
96.9 S. Guirassy ↓84’
  • 1G. Kobel (G)7.2
  • 4N. Schlotterbeck8.0
  • 3W. Anton7.0
  • 25N. Süle↓46’6.2
  • 24D. Svensson6.9
  • 20M. Sabitzer↓73’6.3
  • 13P. Groß↓83’6.0
  • 26J. RyersonA8.0
  • 8F. Nmecha6.9
  • 27K. Adeyemi↓74’6.2
  • 9S. Guirassy↓84’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 5A. Bensebaini↑46’6.6
  • 10J. Brandt↑83’7.3
  • 7J. Bellingham↑73’6.3
  • 21Fábio Silva↑84’6.3
  • 14M. Beier↑74’6.3

Unused: A. Meyer, Yan Couto, C. Chukwuemeka, S. Özcan

Player stats

Top rated
H. KaneBayern München8.9
2nd
M. OliseBayern München8.3
3rd
N. SchlotterbeckBorussia Dortmund8.0

Bayern München

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Neuer G 90 0 0 0 sv 0 69% 42 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
K. Laimer M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 93% 54 2 0 0/0 3/1 6.5
J. Tah D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 97% 64 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.6
D. Upamecano D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 95% 61 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.3
S. Boey D 84 0 0 1 (0) 1 88% 52 0 1 0/1 2/0 6.3
A. Pavlović M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 93% 68 5 0 0/0 0/1 7.0
J. Kimmich M 90 0 1 2 (2) 2 91% 85 0 1 1/1 0/1 7.9
L. Díaz F 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 77% 31 1 1 1/4 2/0 6.3
H. Kane F 90 1 0 2 (1) 1 79% 47 1 0 0/0 1/6 8.9
M. Olise M 90 1 0 4 (2) 2 80% 51 0 2 1/2 0/5 8.3
N. Jackson F 61 0 0 0 (0) 3 87% 15 1 0 0/1 2/1 6.3
M. Kim D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
L. Goretzka M 29 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 7 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.5
T. Bischof M 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5

Borussia Dortmund

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
G. Kobel G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 60% 20 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
N. Schlotterbeck D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 80% 60 4 2 0/0 1/2 8.0
W. Anton D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 74% 47 2 0 1/4 1/2 7.0
N. Süle D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 17 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.2
D. Svensson D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 74% 27 3 3 0/0 3/0 6.9
M. Sabitzer M 73 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 23 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.3
P. Groß M 83 0 0 0 (0) 0 72% 29 0 0 1/1 2/0 6.0
J. Ryerson D 90 0 1 0 (0) 2 85% 26 4 0 3/3 1/2 8.0
F. Nmecha M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 76% 34 1 3 2/4 1/1 6.9
K. Adeyemi F 74 0 0 1 (0) 0 85% 20 0 0 0/0 2/2 6.2
S. Guirassy F 84 0 0 1 (0) 1 47% 17 0 0 0/0 0/3 6.9
A. Bensebaini D 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 17 3 0 0/0 2/0 6.6
J. Brandt M 7 1 0 1 (1) 1 100% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
J. Bellingham M 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 11 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.3
Fábio Silva F 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 6 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.3
M. Beier F 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.