Bundesliga Gameweek 19 Sat, Jan 24 2026 · 14:30 Allianz Arena, München
1–2 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.45 – 0.94
  • H. Ito 23’
  • 75’ Arthur Chaves
  • 81’ H. Massengo
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

FC Augsburg come from behind to beat Bayern München

Bayern München entered as clear favourites and led 1–0 at half-time through a Ito goal. But Chaves and Massengo scored to turn it around for FC Augsburg, who won 2–1. FC Augsburg won despite the lower xG; Bayern München created the better chances (1.45 vs 0.94). On the chances created, Bayern München deserved more: 1.7 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Bayern München90%
Draw7%
FC Augsburg ✓3%

Model vs reality

Bayern München goals
1
Model 3.68 · xG 1.45
FC Augsburg goals
2
Model 0.65 · xG 0.94
Total goals
3
Model 4.33 · xG 2.39
Score 1–2
1%
Most likely 3–0 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 81%
Both scored
Yes
Model 47%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchArthur ChavesFC Augsburg · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeFlorian Exner
  • VenueAllianz Arena
  • Table before kick-offBayern München 1st · FC Augsburg 15th

Timeline

  1. H. Ito 1–0Assist M. Olise
    23’
  2. Half time · 1–0
  3. ⇄ J. KimmichFor A. Davies
    61’
  4. ⇄ J. MusialaFor Lennart Karl
    61’
  5. ⇄ S. EssendeFor A. Kade
    63’
  6. J. TahYellow card · Handling
    74’
  7. ⇄ Y. KeitelFor E. Rexhbeçaj
    75’
  8. ⇄ M. KömürFor F. Rieder
    75’
  9. Arthur Chaves 1–1Assist M. Kömür
    75’
  10. ⇄ N. JacksonFor L. Goretzka
    79’
  11. ⇄ T. BischofFor H. Ito
    79’
  12. H. Massengo 1–2Assist D. Giannoulis
    81’
  13. ⇄ M. WolfFor Arthur Chaves
    85’
  14. ⇄ Felipe Marlon ChávezFor M. Kim
    85’
  15. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

Bayern München14 shots · 8 in box, 6 outside
FC Augsburg16 shots · 6 in box, 10 outside
Bayern MünchenFC Augsburg
70% Possession 30%
1.45 Expected goals (xG) 0.94
1.73 Expected points (xPts) 1.00
14 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 6
3 Shots off target 7
5 Blocked shots 3
8 Shots inside the box 6
6 Shots outside the box 10
822 Passes 338
92% Pass accuracy 78%
8 Corners 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Fouls 5
3 Offsides 3
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.95 Team rating 7.13

Line-ups

Bayern München 4-2-3-1

406.9 J. Urbig(G)
217.7 H. Ito ↓79’ 36.6 M. Kim ↓85’ 46.9 J. Tah 196.6 A. Davies ↓61’
86.6 L. Goretzka ↓79’ 458.0 A. Pavlović
146.7 L. Díaz 425.9 Lennart Karl ↓61’ 178.0 M. Olise A
96.5 H. Kane
  • 40J. Urbig (G)6.9
  • 21H. Ito↓79’7.7
  • 3M. Kim↓85’6.6
  • 4J. Tah6.9
  • 19A. Davies↓61’6.6
  • 8L. Goretzka↓79’6.6
  • 45A. Pavlović8.0
  • 14L. Díaz6.7
  • 42Lennart Karl↓61’5.9
  • 17M. OliseA8.0
  • 9H. Kane6.5

Substitutes used

  • 20T. Bischof↑79’6.3
  • 38Felipe Marlon Chávez↑85’6.7
  • 10J. Musiala↑61’6.5
  • 6J. Kimmich↑61’6.5
  • 11N. Jackson↑79’6.7

Unused: M. Neuer, Cassiano Kiala, David Michael Santos Daiber, Wisdom Mike

FC Augsburg 3-4-2-1

18.0 F. Dahmen(G)
167.5 C. Zesiger 316.9 K. Schlotterbeck 348.2★ Arthur Chaves ↓85’
136.9 D. Giannoulis A 86.9 E. Rexhbeçaj ↓75’ 48.0 H. Massengo 196.3 Robin Fellhauer
207.2 A. Claude-Maurice 326.3 F. Rieder ↓75’
306.3 A. Kade ↓63’
  • 1F. Dahmen (G)8.0
  • 16C. Zesiger7.5
  • 31K. Schlotterbeck6.9
  • 34Arthur Chaves ★↓85’8.2
  • 13D. GiannoulisA6.9
  • 8E. Rexhbeçaj↓75’6.9
  • 4H. Massengo8.0
  • 19Robin Fellhauer6.3
  • 20A. Claude-Maurice7.2
  • 32F. Rieder↓75’6.3
  • 30A. Kade↓63’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 14Y. Keitel↑75’6.3
  • 36M. KömürA↑75’6.6
  • 27M. Wolf↑85’6.7
  • 9S. Essende↑63’6.6

Unused: N. Labrović, M. Pedersen, I. Gharbi, M. Gregoritsch, Rodrigo Ribeiro

Player stats

Top rated
Arthur ChavesFC Augsburg8.2
2nd
A. PavlovićBayern München8.0
3rd
M. OliseBayern München8.0

Bayern München

FC Augsburg

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.