Serie A Gameweek 19 Wed, Jan 7 2026 · 17:30 Stadio Renato Dall’Ara, Bologna
0–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.05 – 1.29
  • 37’, 60’ N. Krstović
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Atalanta beat Bologna

Atalanta won 2–0 through two Krstović goals. The chances were even, with xG of 1.05 and 1.29. On the chances created, Bologna deserved more: 1.2 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Bologna38%
Draw28%
Atalanta ✓34%

Model vs reality

Bologna goals
0
Model 1.30 · xG 1.05
Atalanta goals
2
Model 1.23 · xG 1.29
Total goals
2
Model 2.53 · xG 2.34
Score 0–2
6%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 46%
Both scored
No
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchN. KrstovićAtalanta · 2 goals
8.3
  • RefereeMarco Di Bello
  • VenueStadio Renato Dall’Ara
  • Table before kick-offBologna 7th · Atalanta 8th

Timeline

  1. N. Krstović 0–1Assist C. De Ketelaere
    37’
  2. Half time · 0–1
  3. ⇄ J. RoweFor R. Orsolini
    46’
  4. ⇄ C. ImmobileFor T. Dallinga
    60’
  5. N. Krstović 0–2Assist M. de Roon
    60’
  6. ⇄ I. HienFor G. Scalvini
    68’
  7. ⇄ Y. MusahFor N. Zalewski
    68’
  8. ⇄ S. CastroFor G. Fabbian
    72’
  9. ⇄ N. MoroFor R. Freuler
    72’
  10. ⇄ M. BrescianiniFor Éderson
    77’
  11. ⇄ L. SamardžićFor N. Krstović
    77’
  12. ⇄ B. DomínguezFor N. Cambiaghi
    80’
  13. ⇄ K. SulemanaFor C. De Ketelaere
    84’
  14. R. PalladinoYellow card
    88’
  15. Full time · 0–2

Team stats

Bologna11 shots · 9 in box, 2 outside
Atalanta10 shots · 7 in box, 3 outside
BolognaAtalanta
53% Possession 47%
1.05 Expected goals (xG) 1.29
1.18 Expected points (xPts) 1.54
11 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 4
5 Shots off target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
9 Shots inside the box 7
2 Shots outside the box 3
407 Passes 370
77% Pass accuracy 75%
6 Corners 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
13 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 4
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.56 Team rating 7.16

Line-ups

Bologna 4-2-3-1

136.7 F. Ravaglia(G)
336.7 Juan Miranda 146.3 T. Heggem 415.7 M. Vitík 206.3 N. Zortea
197.3 L. Ferguson 86.9 R. Freuler ↓72’
287.3 N. Cambiaghi ↓80’ 806.2 G. Fabbian ↓72’ 76.3 R. Orsolini ↓46’
246.0 T. Dallinga ↓60’
  • 13F. Ravaglia (G)6.7
  • 33Juan Miranda6.7
  • 14T. Heggem6.3
  • 41M. Vitík5.7
  • 20N. Zortea6.3
  • 19L. Ferguson7.3
  • 8R. Freuler↓72’6.9
  • 28N. Cambiaghi↓80’7.3
  • 80G. Fabbian↓72’6.2
  • 7R. Orsolini↓46’6.3
  • 24T. Dallinga↓60’6.0

Substitutes used

  • 11J. Rowe↑46’7.0
  • 17C. Immobile↑60’6.5
  • 6N. Moro↑72’6.9
  • 9S. Castro↑72’6.3
  • 30B. Domínguez↑80’6.5

Unused: M. Pessina, Matteo Franceschelli, E. Holm, J. Lucumí, L. De Silvestri, C. Lykogiannis, N. Casale, J. Odgaard, T. Pobega, I. Sulemana

Atalanta 3-4-2-1

297.2 M. Carnesecchi(G)
696.9 H. Ahanor 197.6 B. Djimsiti 427.3 G. Scalvini ↓68’
477.6 L. Bernasconi 136.5 Éderson ↓77’ 156.7 M. de Roon A 777.0 D. Zappacosta
596.9 N. Zalewski ↓68’ 177.3 C. De Ketelaere A↓84’
908.3★ N. Krstović ↓77’
  • 29M. Carnesecchi (G)7.2
  • 69H. Ahanor6.9
  • 19B. Djimsiti7.6
  • 42G. Scalvini↓68’7.3
  • 47L. Bernasconi7.6
  • 13Éderson↓77’6.5
  • 15M. de RoonA6.7
  • 77D. Zappacosta7.0
  • 59N. Zalewski↓68’6.9
  • 17C. De KetelaereA↓84’7.3
  • 90N. Krstović ★↓77’8.3

Substitutes used

  • 4I. Hien↑68’6.5
  • 6Y. Musah↑68’6.9
  • 10L. Samardžić↑77’6.5
  • 44M. Brescianini↑77’6.7
  • 7K. Sulemana↑84’6.3

Unused: M. Sportiello, F. Rossi, M. Pašalić, D. Maldini

Player stats

Top rated
N. KrstovićAtalanta8.3
2nd
B. DjimsitiAtalanta7.6
3rd
L. BernasconiAtalanta7.6

Bologna

Atalanta

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.