Bundesliga Gameweek 8 Sat, Oct 25 2025 · 17:30 SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, Dortmund
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.55 – 0.39
  • M. Beier 90+6’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Beier’s late goal settles it for Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund entered as clear favourites and won 1–0 through a Beier goal. Borussia Dortmund finished with the higher xG (1.55 vs 0.39).

Borussia Dortmund ✓74%
Draw16%
1.FC Köln10%

Model vs reality

Borussia Dortmund goals
1
Model 2.55 · xG 1.55
1.FC Köln goals
0
Model 0.85 · xG 0.39
Total goals
1
Model 3.40 · xG 1.94
Score 1–0
8%
Most likely 2–0 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 66%
Both scored
No
Model 53%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. Schwäbe1.FC Köln
9.2
  • RefereeBenjamin Brand
  • VenueSIGNAL IDUNA PARK
  • Table before kick-offBorussia Dortmund 4th · 1.FC Köln 8th

Timeline

  1. Í. JóhannessonYellow card · Holding
    44’
  2. S. SebulonsenYellow card · Tripping
    45’
  3. Half time · 0–0
  4. ⇄ T. KraußFor M. Bülter
    46’
  5. ⇄ D. HeintzFor C. Özkacar
    56’
  6. S. GuirassyYellow card · Roughing
    63’
  7. ⇄ M. SabitzerFor P. Groß
    68’
  8. ⇄ M. BeierFor C. Chukwuemeka
    68’
  9. ⇄ Joel SchmiedFor Í. Jóhannesson
    71’
  10. ⇄ R. AcheFor D. Huseinbašić
    71’
  11. ⇄ L. MainaFor S. El Mala
    72’
  12. ⇄ Fábio SilvaFor K. Adeyemi
    79’
  13. ⇄ J. BellinghamFor F. Nmecha
    85’
  14. ⇄ J. BrandtFor D. Svensson
    85’
  15. M. BeierYellow card · Tripping
    90+1’
  16. M. Beier 1–0
    90+6’
  17. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Borussia Dortmund27 shots · 17 in box, 10 outside
1.FC Köln5 shots · 5 in box
Borussia Dortmund1.FC Köln
70% Possession 30%
1.55 Expected goals (xG) 0.39
2.24 Expected points (xPts) 0.51
27 Shots 5
9 Shots on target 0
10 Shots off target 5
8 Blocked shots 0
17 Shots inside the box 5
10 Shots outside the box 0
603 Passes 262
89% Pass accuracy 76%
16 Corners 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 8
10 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 2
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.99 Team rating 7.06

Line-ups

Borussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1

16.6 G. Kobel(G)
58.0 A. Bensebaini 47.5 N. Schlotterbeck 37.5 W. Anton
247.2 D. Svensson ↓85’ 87.5 F. Nmecha ↓85’ 137.2 P. Groß ↓68’ 266.3 J. Ryerson
176.3 C. Chukwuemeka ↓68’ 277.2 K. Adeyemi ↓79’
95.9 S. Guirassy
  • 1G. Kobel (G)6.6
  • 5A. Bensebaini8.0
  • 4N. Schlotterbeck7.5
  • 3W. Anton7.5
  • 24D. Svensson↓85’7.2
  • 8F. Nmecha↓85’7.5
  • 13P. Groß↓68’7.2
  • 26J. Ryerson6.3
  • 17C. Chukwuemeka↓68’6.3
  • 27K. Adeyemi↓79’7.2
  • 9S. Guirassy5.9

Substitutes used

  • 20M. Sabitzer↑68’6.3
  • 7J. Bellingham↑85’6.7
  • 10J. Brandt↑85’6.3
  • 21Fábio Silva↑79’6.5
  • 14M. Beier↑68’6.5

Unused: A. Meyer, N. Süle, Yan Couto, A. Anselmino

1.FC Köln 3-4-2-1

19.2★ M. Schwäbe(G)
396.6 C. Özkacar ↓56’ 67.2 E. Martel 47.5 T. Hübers
327.0 K. Lund 86.9 D. Huseinbašić ↓71’ 186.5 Í. Jóhannesson ↓71’ 286.9 S. Sebulonsen
166.9 J. Kamiński 306.6 M. Bülter ↓46’
136.3 S. El Mala ↓72’
  • 1M. Schwäbe (G) ★9.2
  • 39C. Özkacar↓56’6.6
  • 6E. Martel7.2
  • 4T. Hübers7.5
  • 32K. Lund7.0
  • 8D. Huseinbašić↓71’6.9
  • 18Í. Jóhannesson↓71’6.5
  • 28S. Sebulonsen6.9
  • 16J. Kamiński6.9
  • 30M. Bülter↓46’6.6
  • 13S. El Mala↓72’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 3D. Heintz↑56’6.6
  • 2Joel Schmied↑71’6.7
  • 5T. Krauß↑46’6.7
  • 37L. Maina↑72’6.5
  • 9R. Ache↑71’6.6

Unused: R. Zieler, F. Kainz, A. Castro-Montes, G. Waldschmidt

Player stats

Top rated
M. Schwäbe1.FC Köln9.2
2nd
A. BensebainiBorussia Dortmund8.0
3rd
N. SchlotterbeckBorussia Dortmund7.5

Borussia Dortmund

1.FC Köln

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.