Bundesliga Gameweek 29 Sat, Apr 11 2026 · 14:30 SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, Dortmund
0–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.15 – 0.48
  • 42’ R. Andrich
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Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Andrich goal decides it for Bayer Leverkusen

Borussia Dortmund entered as favourites, but Bayer Leverkusen won 1–0 through a Andrich goal. Bayer Leverkusen won despite the lower xG; Borussia Dortmund created the better chances (1.15 vs 0.48). On the chances created, Borussia Dortmund deserved more: 1.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Borussia Dortmund52%
Draw23%
Bayer Leverkusen ✓26%

Model vs reality

Borussia Dortmund goals
0
Model 1.97 · xG 1.15
Bayer Leverkusen goals
1
Model 1.34 · xG 0.48
Total goals
1
Model 3.32 · xG 1.63
Score 0–1
4%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 64%
Both scored
No
Model 64%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchL. BadéBayer Leverkusen
7.9
  • RefereeDeniz Aytekin
  • VenueSIGNAL IDUNA PARK
  • Table before kick-offBorussia Dortmund 2nd · Bayer Leverkusen 6th

Timeline

  1. A. BensebainiYellow card · Holding
    5’
  2. R. Andrich 0–1
    42’
  3. S. GuirassyYellow card · Roughing
    45’
  4. Half time · 0–1
  5. ⇄ P. SchickFor Christian Kofane
    54’
  6. ⇄ M. BeierFor D. Svensson
    59’
  7. M. BeierYellow card · Tripping
    63’
  8. ⇄ C. ChukwuemekaFor M. Sabitzer
    64’
  9. ⇄ Samuele InacioFor Fábio Silva
    65’
  10. ⇄ E. PokuFor N. Tella
    73’
  11. ⇄ Lucas VázquezFor Montrell Amare Culbreath
    74’
  12. ⇄ S. ÖzcanFor J. Bellingham
    76’
  13. ⇄ A. KabarFor J. Ryerson
    76’
  14. ⇄ M. TillmanFor I. Maza
    90+2’
  15. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Borussia Dortmund13 shots · 7 in box, 6 outside
Bayer Leverkusen10 shots · 4 in box, 6 outside
Borussia DortmundBayer Leverkusen
51% Possession 49%
1.15 Expected goals (xG) 0.48
1.90 Expected points (xPts) 0.78
13 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 4
10 Shots off target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
7 Shots inside the box 4
6 Shots outside the box 6
518 Passes 513
91% Pass accuracy 90%
4 Corners 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Fouls 6
2 Offsides 1
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.81 Team rating 7.05

Line-ups

Borussia Dortmund 3-5-2

16.7 G. Kobel(G)
55.6 A. Bensebaini 47.6 N. Schlotterbeck 37.2 W. Anton
246.7 D. Svensson ↓59’ 107.2 J. Brandt 77.0 J. Bellingham ↓76’ 206.9 M. Sabitzer ↓64’ 267.3 J. Ryerson ↓76’
216.7 Fábio Silva ↓65’ 96.2 S. Guirassy
  • 1G. Kobel (G)6.7
  • 5A. Bensebaini5.6
  • 4N. Schlotterbeck7.6
  • 3W. Anton7.2
  • 24D. Svensson↓59’6.7
  • 10J. Brandt7.2
  • 7J. Bellingham↓76’7.0
  • 20M. Sabitzer↓64’6.9
  • 26J. Ryerson↓76’7.3
  • 21Fábio Silva↓65’6.7
  • 9S. Guirassy6.2

Substitutes used

  • 6S. Özcan↑76’6.6
  • 42A. Kabar↑76’6.7
  • 17C. Chukwuemeka↑64’6.9
  • 40Samuele Inacio↑65’6.7
  • 14M. Beier↑59’6.7

Unused: A. Meyer, Mathis Albert, Luca Reggiani, N. Süle

Bayer Leverkusen 3-4-2-1

16.9 M. Flekken(G)
127.2 E. Tapsoba 57.9★ L. Badé 87.9 R. Andrich
207.0 Álex Grimaldo 247.5 Aleix García 257.2 E. Palacios 426.7 Montrell Amare Culbreath ↓74’
236.5 N. Tella ↓73’ 306.7 I. Maza ↓90’
356.0 Christian Kofane ↓54’
  • 1M. Flekken (G)6.9
  • 12E. Tapsoba7.2
  • 5L. Badé ★7.9
  • 8R. Andrich7.9
  • 20Álex Grimaldo7.0
  • 24Aleix García7.5
  • 25E. Palacios7.2
  • 42Montrell Amare Culbreath↓74’6.7
  • 23N. Tella↓73’6.5
  • 30I. Maza↓90’6.7
  • 35Christian Kofane↓54’6.0

Substitutes used

  • 21Lucas Vázquez↑74’6.7
  • 19E. Poku↑73’6.3
  • 10M. Tillman↑90’
  • 14P. Schick↑54’6.2

Unused: E. Fernández, J. Hofmann, E. Ben Seghir, T. Oermann, J. Blaswich

Player stats

Top rated
L. BadéBayer Leverkusen7.9
2nd
R. AndrichBayer Leverkusen7.9
3rd
N. SchlotterbeckBorussia Dortmund7.6

Borussia Dortmund

Bayer Leverkusen

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.