Bundesliga Gameweek 4 Sun, Sep 21 2025 · 18:30 SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, Dortmund
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.10 – 0.76
  • K. Adeyemi 20’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Adeyemi goal decides it for Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund entered as clear favourites and won 1–0 through a Adeyemi goal. Borussia Dortmund finished with the higher xG (1.10 vs 0.76). On the chances created, VfL Wolfsburg deserved more: 1.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Borussia Dortmund ✓68%
Draw19%
VfL Wolfsburg13%

Model vs reality

Borussia Dortmund goals
1
Model 2.31 · xG 1.10
VfL Wolfsburg goals
0
Model 0.94 · xG 0.76
Total goals
1
Model 3.25 · xG 1.86
Score 1–0
9%
Most likely 2–0 (10%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 63%
Both scored
No
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchK. GrabaraVfL Wolfsburg
8.2
  • RefereeDaniel Siebert
  • Coaches— · P. Simonis
  • VenueSIGNAL IDUNA PARK
  • Table before kick-offBorussia Dortmund 3rd · VfL Wolfsburg 11th

Timeline

  1. A. BensebainiYellow card · Roughing
    5’
  2. K. Adeyemi 1–0Assist J. Ryerson
    20’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. ⇄ A. DaghimFor A. Skov Olsen
    46’
  5. ⇄ M. SvanbergFor L. Majer
    60’
  6. ⇄ C. EriksenFor Vinicius Souza
    60’
  7. ⇄ C. ChukwuemekaFor M. Beier
    65’
  8. ⇄ J. WindFor P. Wimmer
    73’
  9. ⇄ J. BrandtFor K. Adeyemi
    77’
  10. ⇄ J. BellinghamFor F. Nmecha
    77’
  11. ⇄ D. PejčinovićFor J. Mæhle
    81’
  12. ⇄ S. ÖzcanFor M. Sabitzer
    90+2’
  13. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Borussia Dortmund12 shots · 7 in box, 5 outside
VfL Wolfsburg8 shots · 3 in box, 5 outside
Borussia DortmundVfL Wolfsburg
57% Possession 43%
1.10 Expected goals (xG) 0.76
1.62 Expected points (xPts) 1.07
12 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 1
6 Shots off target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
7 Shots inside the box 3
5 Shots outside the box 5
526 Passes 418
88% Pass accuracy 84%
9 Corners 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
7.02 Team rating 6.77

Line-ups

Borussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1

16.6 G. Kobel(G)
57.7 A. Bensebaini 47.5 N. Schlotterbeck 37.3 W. Anton
246.0 D. Svensson 87.2 F. Nmecha ↓77’ 207.2 M. Sabitzer ↓90’ 267.6 J. Ryerson A
146.3 M. Beier ↓65’ 277.9 K. Adeyemi ↓77’
96.2 S. Guirassy
  • 1G. Kobel (G)6.6
  • 5A. Bensebaini7.7
  • 4N. Schlotterbeck7.5
  • 3W. Anton7.3
  • 24D. Svensson6.0
  • 8F. Nmecha↓77’7.2
  • 20M. Sabitzer↓90’7.2
  • 26J. RyersonA7.6
  • 14M. Beier↓65’6.3
  • 27K. Adeyemi↓77’7.9
  • 9S. Guirassy6.2

Substitutes used

  • 7J. Bellingham↑77’6.3
  • 6S. Özcan↑90’
  • 17C. Chukwuemeka↑65’6.7
  • 10J. Brandt↑77’6.3

Unused: A. Meyer, Yan Couto, F. Mané, P. Groß, W. Campbell

VfL Wolfsburg 4-2-3-1

18.2★ K. Grabara(G)
216.2 J. Mæhle ↓81’ 47.2 K. Koulierakis 157.2 M. Jenz 26.3 K. Fischer
56.3 Vinicius Souza ↓60’ 276.6 M. Arnold
396.6 P. Wimmer ↓73’ 106.3 L. Majer ↓60’ 76.3 A. Skov Olsen ↓46’
96.9 M. Amoura
  • 1K. Grabara (G) ★8.2
  • 21J. Mæhle↓81’6.2
  • 4K. Koulierakis7.2
  • 15M. Jenz7.2
  • 2K. Fischer6.3
  • 5Vinicius Souza↓60’6.3
  • 27M. Arnold6.6
  • 39P. Wimmer↓73’6.6
  • 10L. Majer↓60’6.3
  • 7A. Skov Olsen↓46’6.3
  • 9M. Amoura6.9

Substitutes used

  • 11A. Daghim↑46’6.7
  • 24C. Eriksen↑60’6.3
  • 32M. Svanberg↑60’6.7
  • 23J. Wind↑73’6.7
  • 17D. Pejčinović↑81’6.3

Unused: M. Müller, S. Kumbedi, A. Zehnter, B. Dárdai

Coach: P. Simonis

Player stats

Top rated
K. GrabaraVfL Wolfsburg8.2
2nd
K. AdeyemiBorussia Dortmund7.9
3rd
A. BensebainiBorussia Dortmund7.7

Borussia Dortmund

VfL Wolfsburg

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.