Premier League Gameweek 2 Sat, Aug 23 2025 · 15:00 Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford, Middlesex
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.21 – 1.19
  • D. Ouattara 12’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Ouattara goal decides it for Brentford

Aston Villa entered as narrow favourites, but Brentford won 1–0 through a Ouattara goal. The chances were even, with xG of 1.21 and 1.19. On the chances created, Aston Villa deserved more: 1.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Brentford ✓34%
Draw26%
Aston Villa39%

Model vs reality

Brentford goals
1
Model 1.36 · xG 1.21
Aston Villa goals
0
Model 1.47 · xG 1.19
Total goals
1
Model 2.84 · xG 2.40
Score 1–0
7%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 54%
Both scored
No
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. KayodeBrentford
8.0
  • RefereeTony Harrington
  • VenueGtech Community Stadium
  • Table before kick-offBrentford 17th · Aston Villa 13th

Timeline

  1. D. Ouattara 1–0
    12’
  2. ⇄ E. BuendíaFor B. Kamara
    16’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. C. KelleherYellow card · Time wasting
    55’
  5. A. OnanaYellow card · Foul
    57’
  6. ⇄ D. MalenFor A. Onana
    64’
  7. ⇄ I. MaatsenFor L. Digne
    64’
  8. ⇄ O. OnyekaFor J. Henderson
    69’
  9. ⇄ L. BogardeFor J. McGinn
    74’
  10. ⇄ M. JensenFor Y. Yarmoliuk
    79’
  11. ⇄ A. HickeyFor K. Schade
    79’
  12. L. BogardeYellow card · Foul
    84’
  13. ⇄ R. HenryFor D. Ouattara
    84’
  14. ⇄ K. AjerFor M. Kayode
    85’
  15. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Brentford9 shots · 8 in box, 1 outside
Aston Villa17 shots · 12 in box, 5 outside
BrentfordAston Villa
24% Possession 76%
1.21 Expected goals (xG) 1.19
1.38 Expected points (xPts) 1.35
9 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 2
4 Shots off target 7
3 Blocked shots 8
8 Shots inside the box 12
1 Shots outside the box 5
178 Passes 587
72% Pass accuracy 88%
2 Corners 9
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
11 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.17 Team rating 6.71

Line-ups

Brentford 4-2-3-1

17.2 C. Kelleher(G)
237.0 K. Lewis-Potter 47.3 S. van den Berg 227.2 N. Collins 338.0★ M. Kayode ↓85’
66.6 J. Henderson ↓69’ 187.3 Y. Yarmoliuk ↓79’
76.9 K. Schade ↓79’ 247.3 M. Damsgaard 197.7 D. Ouattara ↓84’
96.6 Thiago
  • 1C. Kelleher (G)7.2
  • 23K. Lewis-Potter7.0
  • 4S. van den Berg7.3
  • 22N. Collins7.2
  • 33M. Kayode ★↓85’8.0
  • 6J. Henderson↓69’6.6
  • 18Y. Yarmoliuk↓79’7.3
  • 7K. Schade↓79’6.9
  • 24M. Damsgaard7.3
  • 19D. Ouattara↓84’7.7
  • 9Thiago6.6

Substitutes used

  • 20K. Ajer↑85’6.9
  • 3R. Henry↑84’6.6
  • 8M. Jensen↑79’6.9
  • 15O. Onyeka↑69’6.6
  • 2A. Hickey↑79’6.9

Unused: H. Valdimarsson, Fábio Carvalho, M. Peart-Harris, A. Milambo

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

237.5 E. Martínez(G)
126.3 L. Digne ↓64’ 146.9 Pau Torres 57.3 T. Mings 26.9 M. Cash
246.6 A. Onana ↓64’ 446.3 B. Kamara ↓16’
275.9 M. Rogers 86.9 Y. Tielemans 76.9 J. McGinn ↓74’
116.3 O. Watkins
  • 23E. Martínez (G)7.5
  • 12L. Digne↓64’6.3
  • 14Pau Torres6.9
  • 5T. Mings7.3
  • 2M. Cash6.9
  • 24A. Onana↓64’6.6
  • 44B. Kamara↓16’6.3
  • 27M. Rogers5.9
  • 8Y. Tielemans6.9
  • 7J. McGinn↓74’6.9
  • 11O. Watkins6.3

Substitutes used

  • 17D. Malen↑64’6.3
  • 22I. Maatsen↑64’6.9
  • 26L. Bogarde↑74’6.3
  • 10E. Buendía↑16’6.3

Unused: S. Proctor, M. Bizot, T. Rowe, B. Burrows, E. Guessand

Player stats

Top rated
M. KayodeBrentford8.0
2nd
D. OuattaraBrentford7.7
3rd
E. MartínezAston Villa7.5

Brentford

Aston Villa

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.