Premier League Gameweek 14 Wed, Dec 3 2025 · 19:30 The American Express Community Stadium, Falmer, East Sussex
Brighton
3–4 Full time · HT 2–2 xG 2.21 – 2.41
Aston Villa
  • J. van Hecke 9’, 83’
  • Pau Torres 29’ (OG)
  • 37’, 45’ O. Watkins
  • 60’ A. Onana
  • 78’ D. Malen
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Aston Villa come from two goals down to win

Brighton entered as narrow favourites and led 2–0 after 29 minutes through goals from van Hecke and an own goal. But Watkins, Onana and Malen scored to turn it around for Aston Villa, who won 4–3. The chances were even, with xG of 2.21 and 2.41. On the chances created, Brighton deserved more: 1.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Brighton40%
Draw26%
Aston Villa ✓35%

Model vs reality

Brighton goals
3
Model 1.50 · xG 2.21
Aston Villa goals
4
Model 1.39 · xG 2.41
Total goals
7
Model 2.90 · xG 4.62
Score 3–4
<1%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 55%
Both scored
Yes
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchO. WatkinsAston Villa · 2 goals
8.6
  • RefereeAndy Madley
  • VenueThe American Express Community Stadium
  • Table before kick-offBrighton 5th · Aston Villa 4th

Timeline

  1. J. van Hecke 1–0Assist M. Wieffer
    9’
  2. ⇄ J. HinshelwoodFor S. Tzimas
    24’
  3. Pau Torres (own goal) 2–0
    29’
  4. O. Watkins 2–1Assist E. Guessand
    37’
  5. O. Watkins 2–2Assist M. Rogers
    45’
  6. B. VerbruggenYellow card · Argument
    45+8’
  7. Half time · 2–2
  8. A. Onana 2–3Assist M. Cash
    60’
  9. ⇄ D. WelbeckFor F. Kadıoğlu
    67’
  10. ⇄ Y. TielemansFor B. Kamara
    70’
  11. ⇄ L. DigneFor I. Maatsen
    70’
  12. J. McGinnYellow card · Time wasting
    75’
  13. ⇄ C. KostoulasFor B. Gruda
    77’
  14. ⇄ D. MalenFor J. McGinn
    77’
  15. ⇄ J. VeltmanFor C. Baleba
    78’
  16. D. Malen 2–4
    78’
  17. J. van Hecke 3–4Assist J. Hinshelwood
    83’
  18. D. GómezYellow card · Argument
    85’
  19. ⇄ L. BogardeFor E. Guessand
    86’
  20. ⇄ E. BuendíaFor O. Watkins
    86’
  21. M. BizotYellow card · Time wasting
    90+5’
  22. Full time · 3–4

Team stats

Brighton16 shots · 12 in box, 4 outside
Aston Villa14 shots · 12 in box, 2 outside
BrightonAston Villa
56% Possession 44%
2.21 Expected goals (xG) 2.41
1.30 Expected points (xPts) 1.51
16 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 10
6 Shots off target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
12 Shots inside the box 12
4 Shots outside the box 2
473 Passes 362
85% Pass accuracy 83%
5 Corners 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Fouls 9
4 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.76 Team rating 6.72

Line-ups

Brighton 4-2-3-1

18.3 B. Verbruggen(G)
245.9 F. Kadıoğlu ↓67’ 56.2 L. Dunk 67.6 J. van Hecke 276.5 M. Wieffer A
256.7 D. Gómez 177.3 C. Baleba ↓78’
296.9 M. De Cuyper 86.2 B. Gruda ↓77’ 116.3 Y. Minteh
96.5 S. Tzimas ↓24’
  • 1B. Verbruggen (G)8.3
  • 24F. Kadıoğlu↓67’5.9
  • 5L. Dunk6.2
  • 6J. van Hecke7.6
  • 27M. WiefferA6.5
  • 25D. Gómez6.7
  • 17C. Baleba↓78’7.3
  • 29M. De Cuyper6.9
  • 8B. Gruda↓77’6.2
  • 11Y. Minteh6.3
  • 9S. Tzimas↓24’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 18D. Welbeck↑67’6.5
  • 34J. Veltman↑78’6.2
  • 13J. HinshelwoodA↑24’6.3
  • 19C. Kostoulas↑77’6.9

Unused: J. Steele, O. Boscagli, D. Coppola, Joe Knight, Nehemiah Oriola

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

405.9 M. Bizot(G)
226.9 I. Maatsen ↓70’ 145.9 Pau Torres 46.9 E. Konsa 27.3 M. Cash A
247.2 A. Onana 446.5 B. Kamara ↓70’
277.2 M. Rogers A 76.3 J. McGinn ↓77’ 295.2 E. Guessand A↓86’
118.6★ O. Watkins ↓86’
  • 40M. Bizot (G)5.9
  • 22I. Maatsen↓70’6.9
  • 14Pau Torres5.9
  • 4E. Konsa6.9
  • 2M. CashA7.3
  • 24A. Onana7.2
  • 44B. Kamara↓70’6.5
  • 27M. RogersA7.2
  • 7J. McGinn↓77’6.3
  • 29E. GuessandA↓86’5.2
  • 11O. Watkins ★↓86’8.6

Substitutes used

  • 8Y. Tielemans↑70’6.9
  • 17D. Malen↑77’6.9
  • 26L. Bogarde↑86’6.6
  • 12L. Digne↑70’6.2
  • 10E. Buendía↑86’6.7

Unused: Ronnie Hollingshead, V. Lindelöf, J. Sancho, Andrés García

Player stats

Top rated
O. WatkinsAston Villa8.6
2nd
B. VerbruggenBrighton8.3
3rd
J. van HeckeBrighton7.6

Brighton

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
B. Verbruggen G 90 0 0 6 sv 0 89% 56 0 0 0/0 0/0 8.3
F. Kadıoğlu M 67 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 22 1 0 0/0 0/0 5.9
L. Dunk D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 101 0 1 1/1 0/0 6.2
J. van Hecke D 90 2 0 3 (3) 0 80% 50 2 3 0/0 2/0 7.6
M. Wieffer M 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 80% 49 6 2 0/1 2/2 6.5
D. Gómez M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 72% 29 4 0 1/1 1/0 6.7
C. Baleba M 78 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 34 2 3 2/3 0/1 7.3
M. De Cuyper D 90 0 0 1 (1) 2 88% 33 0 0 3/3 0/2 6.9
B. Gruda M 77 0 0 1 (1) 0 81% 16 1 0 0/3 2/2 6.2
Y. Minteh F 90 0 0 1 (0) 3 79% 24 4 0 5/9 2/1 6.3
S. Tzimas F 24 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
D. Welbeck F 23 0 0 3 (1) 0 80% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
J. Veltman D 12 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 14 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
J. Hinshelwood M 66 0 1 2 (0) 1 90% 29 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.3
C. Kostoulas F 13 0 0 2 (1) 2 83% 6 2 0 0/0 0/1 6.9

Aston Villa

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Bizot G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 83% 46 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.9
I. Maatsen D 70 0 0 1 (1) 2 84% 25 4 0 5/6 0/0 6.9
Pau Torres D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 69 3 0 1/1 1/1 5.9
E. Konsa D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 90% 49 1 1 1/1 0/2 6.9
M. Cash D 90 0 1 0 (0) 2 79% 33 2 0 1/1 1/0 7.3
A. Onana M 90 1 0 2 (1) 0 81% 37 4 2 0/0 0/0 7.2
B. Kamara M 70 0 0 0 (0) 1 84% 19 1 2 1/2 0/2 6.5
M. Rogers F 90 0 1 0 (0) 3 73% 33 1 1 2/6 2/1 7.2
J. McGinn M 77 0 0 1 (0) 0 93% 14 2 0 0/1 1/0 6.3
E. Guessand F 86 0 1 2 (2) 1 64% 11 1 0 1/1 2/0 5.2
O. Watkins F 86 2 0 3 (3) 2 77% 13 1 1 0/0 1/3 8.6
Y. Tielemans M 20 0 0 0 (0) 1 83% 6 2 1 1/1 1/0 6.9
D. Malen F 13 1 0 2 (2) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
L. Bogarde M 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
L. Digne D 20 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.2
E. Buendía M 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.