Premier League Gameweek 20 Sat, Jan 3 2026 · 15:00 The American Express Community Stadium, Falmer, East Sussex
Brighton
2–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.45 – 0.30
Burnley
  • G. Rutter 29’
  • Y. Ayari 47’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Brighton beat Burnley

Brighton entered as clear favourites and won 2–0 through goals from Rutter and Ayari. Brighton finished with the higher xG (1.45 vs 0.30).

Brighton ✓61%
Draw22%
Burnley17%

Model vs reality

Brighton goals
2
Model 2.03 · xG 1.45
Burnley goals
0
Model 1.00 · xG 0.30
Total goals
2
Model 3.03 · xG 1.75
Score 2–0
10%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 58%
Both scored
No
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchF. KadıoğluBrighton
8.6
  • RefereeTim Robinson
  • VenueThe American Express Community Stadium
  • Table before kick-offBrighton 14th · Burnley 19th

Timeline

  1. J. LaurentYellow card · Foul
    22’
  2. G. Rutter 1–0Assist C. Kostoulas
    29’
  3. FlorentinoYellow card · Foul
    39’
  4. B. HumphreysYellow card · Foul
    44’
  5. Half time · 1–0
  6. Y. Ayari 2–0
    47’
  7. ⇄ O. SonneFor L. Ugochukwu
    55’
  8. ⇄ M. EdwardsFor J. Bruun Larsen
    55’
  9. ⇄ L. TchaounaFor A. Broja
    64’
  10. ⇄ M. De CuyperFor K. Mitoma
    70’
  11. ⇄ D. WelbeckFor G. Rutter
    71’
  12. ⇄ P. GroßFor C. Kostoulas
    71’
  13. ⇄ J. MilnerFor D. Gómez
    80’
  14. ⇄ J. BanelFor J. Anthony
    81’
  15. ⇄ T. WatsonFor B. Gruda
    87’
  16. K. WalkerYellow card · Foul
    90+3’
  17. Full time · 2–0

Team stats

Brighton15 shots · 9 in box, 6 outside
Burnley5 shots · 4 in box, 1 outside
BrightonBurnley
60% Possession 40%
1.45 Expected goals (xG) 0.30
2.26 Expected points (xPts) 0.48
15 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 3
7 Shots off target 2
4 Blocked shots 0
9 Shots inside the box 4
6 Shots outside the box 1
608 Passes 396
90% Pass accuracy 82%
4 Corners 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Fouls 17
3 Offsides 1
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
7.33 Team rating 6.41

Line-ups

Brighton 4-2-3-1

17.5 B. Verbruggen(G)
248.6★ F. Kadıoğlu 57.9 L. Dunk 67.6 J. van Hecke 347.0 J. Veltman
256.5 D. Gómez ↓80’ 268.3 Y. Ayari
226.6 K. Mitoma ↓70’ 106.9 G. Rutter ↓71’ 86.6 B. Gruda ↓87’
197.3 C. Kostoulas A↓71’
  • 1B. Verbruggen (G)7.5
  • 24F. Kadıoğlu ★8.6
  • 5L. Dunk7.9
  • 6J. van Hecke7.6
  • 34J. Veltman7.0
  • 25D. Gómez↓80’6.5
  • 26Y. Ayari8.3
  • 22K. Mitoma↓70’6.6
  • 10G. Rutter↓71’6.9
  • 8B. Gruda↓87’6.6
  • 19C. KostoulasA↓71’7.3

Substitutes used

  • 20J. Milner↑80’6.6
  • 18D. Welbeck↑71’6.5
  • 30P. Groß↑71’6.5
  • 29M. De Cuyper↑70’6.9
  • 14T. Watson↑87’

Unused: J. Steele, O. Boscagli, D. Coppola, J. Hinshelwood

Burnley 5-4-1

16.6 M. Dúbravka(G)
236.2 Lucas Pires 126.2 B. Humphreys 186.3 H. Ekdal 296.3 J. Laurent 25.9 K. Walker
116.9 J. Anthony ↓81’ 167.0 Florentino 85.9 L. Ugochukwu ↓55’ 76.2 J. Bruun Larsen ↓55’
276.3 A. Broja ↓64’
  • 1M. Dúbravka (G)6.6
  • 23Lucas Pires6.2
  • 12B. Humphreys6.2
  • 18H. Ekdal6.3
  • 29J. Laurent6.3
  • 2K. Walker5.9
  • 11J. Anthony↓81’6.9
  • 16Florentino7.0
  • 8L. Ugochukwu↓55’5.9
  • 7J. Bruun Larsen↓55’6.2
  • 27A. Broja↓64’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 22O. Sonne↑55’6.9
  • 17L. Tchaouna↑64’6.7
  • 34J. Banel↑81’6.5
  • 10M. Edwards↑55’6.7

Unused: Max Weiss, E. Agyei, A. Barnes, O. Pimlott, George Brierley

Player stats

Top rated
F. KadıoğluBrighton8.6
2nd
Y. AyariBrighton8.3
3rd
L. DunkBrighton7.9

Brighton

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
B. Verbruggen G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 96% 45 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.5
F. Kadıoğlu M 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 92% 63 1 2 1/1 0/2 8.6
L. Dunk D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 96% 128 2 0 1/1 0/0 7.9
J. van Hecke D 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 96% 91 1 0 2/2 0/0 7.6
J. Veltman D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 87% 53 2 2 0/1 0/1 7.0
D. Gómez M 80 0 0 1 (0) 0 97% 34 3 0 0/3 0/0 6.5
Y. Ayari M 90 1 0 2 (1) 1 84% 50 4 1 0/1 1/2 8.3
K. Mitoma M 70 0 0 0 (0) 1 78% 37 1 0 1/2 0/1 6.6
G. Rutter F 71 1 0 1 (1) 0 100% 8 1 0 0/4 1/2 6.9
B. Gruda M 87 0 0 0 (0) 2 69% 32 0 1 2/3 1/2 6.6
C. Kostoulas F 71 0 1 2 (1) 1 62% 13 2 0 1/4 0/2 7.3
J. Milner M 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 8 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
D. Welbeck F 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 70% 10 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
P. Groß M 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 17 0 0 0/0 3/1 6.5
M. De Cuyper D 20 0 0 1 (0) 0 94% 18 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
T. Watson F 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 1/0 —

Burnley

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Dúbravka G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 82% 33 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
Lucas Pires D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 85% 41 2 1 0/0 1/1 6.2
B. Humphreys D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 46 2 0 0/0 2/0 6.2
H. Ekdal D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 35 2 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
J. Laurent M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 36 4 0 0/0 2/0 6.3
K. Walker D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 51 0 0 0/1 2/0 5.9
J. Anthony F 81 0 0 1 (0) 0 72% 32 4 0 3/4 1/3 6.9
Florentino M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 50 7 2 2/2 3/0 7.0
L. Ugochukwu M 55 0 0 0 (0) 0 64% 14 3 0 0/1 2/0 5.9
J. Bruun Larsen F 55 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 16 0 0 2/4 0/0 6.2
A. Broja F 64 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 8 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
O. Sonne D 35 0 0 1 (0) 0 71% 14 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.9
L. Tchaouna F 26 0 0 2 (2) 0 100% 6 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
J. Banel F 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 4 0 0 0/1 1/1 6.5
M. Edwards F 35 0 0 0 (0) 1 70% 10 0 0 1/3 1/0 6.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.