Premier League Gameweek 15 Sun, Dec 7 2025 · 14:00 The American Express Community Stadium, Falmer, East Sussex
1–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.87 – 1.14
  • G. Rutter 90’
  • 73’ J. Bowen
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Brighton snatch a late draw

Brighton entered as favourites, yet West Ham led 1–0 after 73 minutes through a Bowen goal. But Rutter scored to rescue a draw for Brighton. Brighton finished with the higher xG (1.87 vs 1.14). On the chances created, Brighton deserved more: 1.9 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Brighton60%
Draw ✓22%
West Ham18%

Model vs reality

Brighton goals
1
Model 1.98 · xG 1.87
West Ham goals
1
Model 0.98 · xG 1.14
Total goals
2
Model 2.96 · xG 3.01
Score 1–1
11%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 57%
Both scored
Yes
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchMateus FernandesWest Ham
8.3
  • RefereeSimon Hooper
  • VenueThe American Express Community Stadium
  • Table before kick-offBrighton 10th · West Ham 18th

Timeline

  1. F. KadıoğluYellow card · Foul
    10’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. L. DunkYellow card · Foul
    52’
  4. G. RodríguezYellow card · Foul
    60’
  5. ⇄ J. HinshelwoodFor C. Baleba
    60’
  6. ⇄ F. PottsFor G. Rodríguez
    64’
  7. ⇄ B. GrudaFor Y. Minteh
    72’
  8. ⇄ C. KostoulasFor M. De Cuyper
    72’
  9. ⇄ C. WilsonFor C. Summerville
    72’
  10. J. Bowen 0–1Assist C. Wilson
    73’
  11. F. PottsYellow card · Foul
    77’
  12. ⇄ S. MagassaFor Mateus Fernandes
    82’
  13. ⇄ T. SoučekFor Lucas Paquetá
    82’
  14. ⇄ O. BoscagliFor F. Kadıoğlu
    83’
  15. ⇄ E. MayersFor E. Diouf
    83’
  16. G. Rutter 1–1Assist J. van Hecke
    90’
  17. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Brighton22 shots · 15 in box, 7 outside
West Ham14 shots · 12 in box, 2 outside
BrightonWest Ham
68% Possession 32%
1.87 Expected goals (xG) 1.14
1.86 Expected points (xPts) 0.92
22 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 5
8 Shots off target 6
10 Blocked shots 3
15 Shots inside the box 12
7 Shots outside the box 2
586 Passes 277
88% Pass accuracy 73%
10 Corners 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
12 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.99 Team rating 7.02

Line-ups

Brighton 4-2-3-1

17.9 B. Verbruggen(G)
297.5 M. De Cuyper ↓72’ 57.2 L. Dunk 68.2 J. van Hecke A 276.0 M. Wieffer
256.7 D. Gómez 176.3 C. Baleba ↓60’
246.6 F. Kadıoğlu ↓83’ 107.9 G. Rutter 116.3 Y. Minteh ↓72’
186.3 D. Welbeck
  • 1B. Verbruggen (G)7.9
  • 29M. De Cuyper↓72’7.5
  • 5L. Dunk7.2
  • 6J. van HeckeA8.2
  • 27M. Wieffer6.0
  • 25D. Gómez6.7
  • 17C. Baleba↓60’6.3
  • 24F. Kadıoğlu↓83’6.6
  • 10G. Rutter7.9
  • 11Y. Minteh↓72’6.3
  • 18D. Welbeck6.3

Substitutes used

  • 21O. Boscagli↑83’6.9
  • 13J. Hinshelwood↑60’6.6
  • 8B. Gruda↑72’6.7
  • 19C. Kostoulas↑72’6.7

Unused: J. Steele, J. Veltman, D. Coppola, Joe Knight, Nehemiah Oriola

West Ham 3-4-1-2

237.2 A. Areola(G)
256.9 J. Todibo 36.5 M. Kilman 157.2 K. Mavropanos
126.3 E. Diouf ↓83’ 246.6 G. Rodríguez ↓64’ 188.3★ Mateus Fernandes ↓82’ 297.0 A. Wan-Bissaka
106.6 Lucas Paquetá ↓82’
76.9 C. Summerville ↓72’ 207.9 J. Bowen
  • 23A. Areola (G)7.2
  • 25J. Todibo6.9
  • 3M. Kilman6.5
  • 15K. Mavropanos7.2
  • 12E. Diouf↓83’6.3
  • 24G. Rodríguez↓64’6.6
  • 18Mateus Fernandes ★↓82’8.3
  • 29A. Wan-Bissaka7.0
  • 10Lucas Paquetá↓82’6.6
  • 7C. Summerville↓72’6.9
  • 20J. Bowen7.9

Substitutes used

  • 27S. Magassa↑82’6.5
  • 63E. Mayers↑83’
  • 9C. WilsonA↑72’6.9
  • 28T. Souček↑82’6.5
  • 32F. Potts↑64’6.3

Unused: M. Hermansen, K. Walker-Peters, N. Füllkrug, A. Irving

Player stats

Top rated
Mateus FernandesWest Ham8.3
2nd
J. van HeckeBrighton8.2
3rd
B. VerbruggenBrighton7.9

Brighton

West Ham

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.