Premier League Gameweek 10 Sat, Nov 1 2025 · 15:00 Turf Moor, Burnley
Burnley
0–2 Full time · HT 0–2 xG 0.42 – 2.42
Arsenal
  • 14’ V. Gyökeres
  • 35’ D. Rice
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Arsenal beat Burnley

Arsenal entered as clear favourites and won 2–0 through goals from Gyökeres and Rice. Arsenal finished with the higher xG (2.42 vs 0.42).

Burnley17%
Draw21%
Arsenal ✓62%

Model vs reality

Burnley goals
0
Model 0.99 · xG 0.42
Arsenal goals
2
Model 2.07 · xG 2.42
Total goals
2
Model 3.07 · xG 2.84
Score 0–2
10%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 59%
Both scored
No
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchD. RiceArsenal · 1 goal
8.9
  • RefereeChris Kavanagh
  • VenueTurf Moor
  • Table before kick-offBurnley 16th · Arsenal 1st

Timeline

  1. V. Gyökeres 0–1Assist Gabriel Magalhães
    14’
  2. J. CullenYellow card · Foul
    27’
  3. D. Rice 0–2Assist L. Trossard
    35’
  4. Half time · 0–2
  5. ⇄ Mikel MerinoFor V. Gyökeres
    46’
  6. Z. FlemmingYellow card · Foul
    55’
  7. ⇄ L. TchaounaFor J. Anthony
    62’
  8. ⇄ J. Bruun LarsenFor L. Ugochukwu
    62’
  9. ⇄ P. HincapiéFor R. Calafiori
    72’
  10. ⇄ E. NwaneriFor E. Eze
    72’
  11. ⇄ A. BrojaFor Z. Flemming
    76’
  12. ⇄ H. MejbriFor J. Laurent
    76’
  13. ⇄ C. NørgaardFor Martín Zubimendi
    77’
  14. ⇄ M. EdwardsFor J. Cullen
    82’
  15. ⇄ M. Lewis-SkellyFor L. Trossard
    90+1’
  16. Gabriel MagalhãesYellow card · Foul
    90+5’
  17. Full time · 0–2

Team stats

Burnley3 shots · 2 in box, 1 outside
Arsenal12 shots · 9 in box, 3 outside
BurnleyArsenal
46% Possession 54%
0.42 Expected goals (xG) 2.42
0.28 Expected points (xPts) 2.59
3 Shots 12
0 Shots on target 8
3 Shots off target 3
0 Blocked shots 1
2 Shots inside the box 9
1 Shots outside the box 3
427 Passes 494
81% Pass accuracy 86%
1 Corners 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
10 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.68 Team rating 7.11

Line-ups

Burnley 5-4-1

17.9 M. Dúbravka(G)
36.2 Q. Hartman 56.9 M. Estève 67.6 A. Tuanzebe 296.2 J. Laurent ↓76’ 26.5 K. Walker
116.3 J. Anthony ↓62’ 166.3 Florentino 246.6 J. Cullen ↓82’ 86.3 L. Ugochukwu ↓62’
196.3 Z. Flemming ↓76’
  • 1M. Dúbravka (G)7.9
  • 3Q. Hartman6.2
  • 5M. Estève6.9
  • 6A. Tuanzebe7.6
  • 29J. Laurent↓76’6.2
  • 2K. Walker6.5
  • 11J. Anthony↓62’6.3
  • 16Florentino6.3
  • 24J. Cullen↓82’6.6
  • 8L. Ugochukwu↓62’6.3
  • 19Z. Flemming↓76’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 27A. Broja↑76’6.3
  • 28H. Mejbri↑76’6.9
  • 17L. Tchaouna↑62’6.9
  • 7J. Bruun Larsen↑62’6.5
  • 10M. Edwards↑82’6.5

Unused: Max Weiss, Lucas Pires, A. Barnes, H. Ekdal

Arsenal 4-3-3

16.7 David Raya(G)
337.3 R. Calafiori ↓72’ 68.0 Gabriel Magalhães A 27.5 W. Saliba 126.3 J. Timber
418.9★ D. Rice 366.9 Martín Zubimendi ↓77’ 106.9 E. Eze ↓72’
196.5 L. Trossard A↓90’ 147.3 V. Gyökeres ↓46’ 76.6 B. Saka
  • 1David Raya (G)6.7
  • 33R. Calafiori↓72’7.3
  • 6Gabriel MagalhãesA8.0
  • 2W. Saliba7.5
  • 12J. Timber6.3
  • 41D. Rice ★8.9
  • 36Martín Zubimendi↓77’6.9
  • 10E. Eze↓72’6.9
  • 19L. TrossardA↓90’6.5
  • 14V. Gyökeres↓46’7.3
  • 7B. Saka6.6

Substitutes used

  • 5P. Hincapié↑72’6.7
  • 22E. Nwaneri↑72’6.7
  • 49M. Lewis-Skelly↑90’
  • 16C. Nørgaard↑77’6.9
  • 23Mikel Merino↑46’6.3

Unused: Kepa, B. White, Cristhian Mosquera, M. Dowman

Player stats

Top rated
D. RiceArsenal8.9
2nd
Gabriel MagalhãesArsenal8.0
3rd
M. DúbravkaBurnley7.9

Burnley

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Dúbravka G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 57% 35 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.9
Q. Hartman D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 38 2 1 0/0 0/0 6.2
M. Estève D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 91% 47 0 1 0/0 1/2 6.9
A. Tuanzebe D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 53 0 1 0/0 1/1 7.6
J. Laurent M 76 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 36 0 2 0/1 2/0 6.2
K. Walker D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 32 4 1 0/1 1/2 6.5
J. Anthony F 62 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 21 0 0 0/2 0/1 6.3
Florentino M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 93% 46 3 0 1/2 1/0 6.3
J. Cullen M 82 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 36 2 1 1/1 1/0 6.6
L. Ugochukwu M 62 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 15 1 0 0/1 1/1 6.3
Z. Flemming M 76 0 0 1 (0) 0 56% 18 0 0 0/0 1/2 6.3
A. Broja F 14 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
H. Mejbri M 14 0 0 0 (0) 0 65% 17 0 0 3/3 0/2 6.9
L. Tchaouna F 28 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 14 1 0 1/1 0/1 6.9
J. Bruun Larsen F 28 0 0 0 (0) 0 79% 14 1 0 0/2 0/0 6.5
M. Edwards F 8 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5

Arsenal

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
David Raya G 90 0 0 0 sv 0 52% 27 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
R. Calafiori D 72 0 0 1 (1) 0 91% 32 1 0 0/0 1/2 7.3
Gabriel Magalhães D 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 93% 59 1 1 0/0 1/1 8.0
W. Saliba D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 85 2 0 0/0 1/0 7.5
J. Timber D 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 87% 31 2 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
D. Rice M 90 1 0 1 (1) 2 91% 69 5 3 1/2 2/0 8.9
Martín Zubimendi M 77 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 75 1 2 0/0 1/0 6.9
E. Eze M 72 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 21 1 0 1/2 0/4 6.9
L. Trossard F 90 0 1 2 (2) 2 67% 30 1 0 2/4 1/2 6.5
V. Gyökeres F 46 1 0 1 (1) 3 77% 13 0 0 0/0 2/0 7.3
B. Saka F 90 0 0 2 (2) 2 79% 24 1 0 0/1 1/0 6.6
P. Hincapié D 18 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
E. Nwaneri M 18 0 0 1 (0) 0 86% 7 1 0 1/2 1/0 6.7
M. Lewis-Skelly M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
C. Nørgaard M 13 0 0 1 (1) 0 75% 4 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.9
Mikel Merino M 44 0 0 0 (0) 1 91% 11 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.