Premier League Gameweek 14 Wed, Dec 3 2025 · 19:30 Turf Moor, Burnley
Burnley
0–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 0.95 – 0.59
Crystal Palace
  • 44’ D. Muñoz
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Muñoz goal decides it for Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Muñoz goal. Crystal Palace won despite the lower xG; Burnley created the better chances (0.95 vs 0.59). On the chances created, Burnley deserved more: 1.6 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Burnley33%
Draw27%
Crystal Palace ✓41%

Model vs reality

Burnley goals
0
Model 1.29 · xG 0.95
Crystal Palace goals
1
Model 1.48 · xG 0.59
Total goals
1
Model 2.77 · xG 1.54
Score 0–1
9%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 52%
Both scored
No
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchA. GuéhiCrystal Palace · 1 assist
8.9
  • RefereeThomas Kirk
  • VenueTurf Moor
  • Table before kick-offBurnley 19th · Crystal Palace 10th

Timeline

  1. D. Muñoz 0–1Assist A. Guéhi
    44’
  2. Half time · 0–1
  3. ⇄ J. Bruun LarsenFor L. Tchaouna
    46’
  4. ⇄ M. EdwardsFor J. Anthony
    58’
  5. ⇄ H. MejbriFor Z. Flemming
    59’
  6. ⇄ E. NketiahFor J. Mateta
    64’
  7. ⇄ J. DevennyFor Yeremy Pino
    64’
  8. ⇄ L. UgochukwuFor Florentino
    71’
  9. ⇄ W. HughesFor A. Wharton
    76’
  10. ⇄ A. BrojaFor J. Cullen
    81’
  11. ⇄ J. CanvotFor Daichi Kamada
    88’
  12. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Burnley11 shots · 8 in box, 3 outside
Crystal Palace3 shots · 3 in box
BurnleyCrystal Palace
58% Possession 42%
0.95 Expected goals (xG) 0.59
1.64 Expected points (xPts) 1.01
11 Shots 3
4 Shots on target 3
1 Shots off target 0
6 Blocked shots 0
8 Shots inside the box 3
3 Shots outside the box 0
567 Passes 417
84% Pass accuracy 74%
3 Corners 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 3
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.65 Team rating 7.16

Line-ups

Burnley 4-4-2

17.3 M. Dúbravka(G)
36.2 Q. Hartman 57.3 M. Estève 187.0 H. Ekdal 26.2 K. Walker
116.2 J. Anthony ↓58’ 166.6 Florentino ↓71’ 246.9 J. Cullen ↓81’ 176.2 L. Tchaouna ↓46’
96.0 L. Foster 196.3 Z. Flemming ↓59’
  • 1M. Dúbravka (G)7.3
  • 3Q. Hartman6.2
  • 5M. Estève7.3
  • 18H. Ekdal7.0
  • 2K. Walker6.2
  • 11J. Anthony↓58’6.2
  • 16Florentino↓71’6.6
  • 24J. Cullen↓81’6.9
  • 17L. Tchaouna↓46’6.2
  • 9L. Foster6.0
  • 19Z. Flemming↓59’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 27A. Broja↑81’6.5
  • 28H. Mejbri↑59’7.2
  • 8L. Ugochukwu↑71’7.3
  • 7J. Bruun Larsen↑46’6.9
  • 10M. Edwards↑58’6.7

Unused: Max Weiss, J. Worrall, Lucas Pires, J. Laurent

Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1

17.2 D. Henderson(G)
68.9★ A. Guéhi A 57.5 M. Lacroix 267.6 Chris Richards
36.9 T. Mitchell 86.3 J. Lerma 207.6 A. Wharton ↓76’ 27.3 D. Muñoz
107.2 Yeremy Pino ↓64’ 187.0 Daichi Kamada ↓88’
145.6 J. Mateta ↓64’
  • 1D. Henderson (G)7.2
  • 6A. Guéhi ★A8.9
  • 5M. Lacroix7.5
  • 26Chris Richards7.6
  • 3T. Mitchell6.9
  • 8J. Lerma6.3
  • 20A. Wharton↓76’7.6
  • 2D. Muñoz7.3
  • 10Yeremy Pino↓64’7.2
  • 18Daichi Kamada↓88’7.0
  • 14J. Mateta↓64’5.6

Substitutes used

  • 19W. Hughes↑76’6.3
  • 23J. Canvot↑88’6.6
  • 9E. Nketiah↑64’6.2
  • 55J. Devenny↑64’6.3

Unused: W. Benítez, R. Matthews, N. Clyne, R. Esse, C. Uche

Player stats

Top rated
A. GuéhiCrystal Palace8.9
2nd
Chris RichardsCrystal Palace7.6
3rd
A. WhartonCrystal Palace7.6

Burnley

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Dúbravka G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 82% 38 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
Q. Hartman D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 82% 67 1 0 0/0 1/1 6.2
M. Estève D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 94% 87 0 5 0/0 0/1 7.3
H. Ekdal D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 70 4 1 0/0 0/0 7.0
K. Walker D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 72% 65 1 4 0/0 2/0 6.2
J. Anthony F 58 0 0 1 (1) 0 73% 15 0 0 0/2 2/0 6.2
Florentino M 71 0 0 0 (0) 1 86% 49 1 1 1/2 1/0 6.6
J. Cullen M 81 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 57 4 4 0/0 1/1 6.9
L. Tchaouna F 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 8 1 0 0/1 1/0 6.2
L. Foster F 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 77% 26 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.0
Z. Flemming M 59 0 0 1 (1) 0 50% 12 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.3
A. Broja F 9 0 0 1 (1) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
H. Mejbri M 31 0 0 0 (0) 2 81% 27 0 0 1/1 0/2 7.2
L. Ugochukwu M 19 0 0 0 (0) 1 85% 13 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.3
J. Bruun Larsen F 44 0 0 1 (1) 1 94% 17 1 0 1/1 0/0 6.9
M. Edwards F 32 0 0 0 (0) 1 85% 13 0 0 0/1 0/1 6.7

Crystal Palace

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Henderson G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 62% 29 0 1 0/0 0/0 7.2
A. Guéhi D 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 82% 66 1 1 0/0 0/0 8.9
M. Lacroix D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 36 1 1 0/1 1/1 7.5
Chris Richards D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 42 0 3 0/0 1/0 7.6
T. Mitchell D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 65% 37 3 0 0/2 0/0 6.9
J. Lerma M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 69% 58 2 3 0/0 1/3 6.3
A. Wharton M 76 0 0 0 (0) 0 76% 41 1 0 0/0 1/2 7.6
D. Muñoz D 90 1 0 1 (1) 1 75% 28 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
Yeremy Pino M 64 0 0 0 (0) 0 44% 18 2 0 0/0 0/2 7.2
Daichi Kamada M 88 0 0 0 (0) 1 76% 25 4 1 0/0 2/1 7.0
J. Mateta F 64 0 0 2 (2) 0 77% 13 0 0 1/1 0/0 5.6
W. Hughes M 14 0 0 0 (0) 0 60% 5 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.3
J. Canvot M 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
E. Nketiah F 26 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 9 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
J. Devenny M 26 0 0 0 (0) 0 60% 10 1 0 0/1 1/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.