Premier League Gameweek 4 Sun, Sep 14 2025 · 14:00 Turf Moor, Burnley
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.13 – 2.65
  • L. Ugochukwu 84’
  • 90’ (P) Mohamed Salah
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Salah’s late goal settles it for Liverpool

Liverpool entered as clear favourites and won 1–0 through a Salah goal. Burnley played with ten men from the 84th minute after Ugochukwu was sent off. Liverpool finished with the higher xG (2.65 vs 0.13).

Burnley18%
Draw22%
Liverpool ✓61%

Model vs reality

Burnley goals
0
Model 1.03 · xG 0.13
Liverpool goals
1
Model 2.06 · xG 2.65
Total goals
1
Model 3.09 · xG 2.78
Score 0–1
9%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 60%
Both scored
No
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchV. van DijkLiverpool
8.2
  • RefereeMichael Oliver
  • VenueTurf Moor
  • Table before kick-offBurnley 17th · Liverpool 3rd

Timeline

  1. L. UgochukwuYellow card · Foul
    16’
  2. M. KerkezYellow card · Simulation
    22’
  3. ⇄ A. RobertsonFor M. Kerkez
    38’
  4. Half time · 0–0
  5. ⇄ C. BradleyFor A. Mac Allister
    46’
  6. ⇄ H. MejbriFor L. Tchaouna
    63’
  7. ⇄ FlorentinoFor J. Cullen
    63’
  8. ⇄ F. ChiesaFor H. Ekitiké
    72’
  9. C. BradleyYellow card · Foul
    75’
  10. L. UgochukwuSecond yellow · Foul
    84’
  11. ⇄ J. WorrallFor L. Foster
    86’
  12. ⇄ J. FrimpongFor I. Konaté
    87’
  13. ⇄ R. NgumohaFor F. Wirtz
    87’
  14. ⇄ A. BrojaFor J. Anthony
    89’
  15. Mohamed Salah (pen) 0–1
    90’
  16. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Burnley3 shots · 1 in box, 2 outside
Liverpool27 shots · 14 in box, 13 outside
BurnleyLiverpool
19% Possession 81%
0.13 Expected goals (xG) 2.65
0.12 Expected points (xPts) 2.80
3 Shots 27
0 Shots on target 4
3 Shots off target 11
0 Blocked shots 12
1 Shots inside the box 14
2 Shots outside the box 13
168 Passes 697
48% Pass accuracy 88%
1 Corners 13
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
9 Fouls 9
3 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
6.54 Team rating 6.96

Line-ups

Burnley 5-4-1

16.0 M. Dúbravka(G)
36.9 Q. Hartman 57.0 M. Estève 187.3 H. Ekdal 295.9 J. Laurent 26.3 K. Walker
116.2 J. Anthony ↓89’ 86.3 L. Ugochukwu 247.2 J. Cullen ↓63’ 176.7 L. Tchaouna ↓63’
96.3 L. Foster ↓86’
  • 1M. Dúbravka (G)6.0
  • 3Q. Hartman6.9
  • 5M. Estève7.0
  • 18H. Ekdal7.3
  • 29J. Laurent5.9
  • 2K. Walker6.3
  • 11J. Anthony↓89’6.2
  • 8L. Ugochukwu6.3
  • 24J. Cullen↓63’7.2
  • 17L. Tchaouna↓63’6.7
  • 9L. Foster↓86’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 4J. Worrall↑86’6.2
  • 27A. Broja↑89’6.7
  • 28H. Mejbri↑63’6.3
  • 16Florentino↑63’6.9

Unused: Max Weiss, Z. Flemming, Lucas Pires, M. Edwards, B. Humphreys

Liverpool 4-2-3-1

16.6 A. Becker(G)
66.3 M. Kerkez ↓38’ 48.2★ V. van Dijk 57.6 I. Konaté ↓87’ 87.2 D. Szoboszlai
106.6 A. Mac Allister ↓46’ 387.2 R. Gravenberch
187.2 C. Gakpo 75.9 F. Wirtz ↓87’ 116.7 Mohamed Salah
226.7 H. Ekitiké ↓72’
  • 1A. Becker (G)6.6
  • 6M. Kerkez↓38’6.3
  • 4V. van Dijk ★8.2
  • 5I. Konaté↓87’7.6
  • 8D. Szoboszlai7.2
  • 10A. Mac Allister↓46’6.6
  • 38R. Gravenberch7.2
  • 18C. Gakpo7.2
  • 7F. Wirtz↓87’5.9
  • 11Mohamed Salah6.7
  • 22H. Ekitiké↓72’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 14F. Chiesa↑72’6.2
  • 30J. Frimpong↑87’6.6
  • 26A. Robertson↑38’6.9
  • 12C. Bradley↑46’6.9
  • 73R. Ngumoha↑87’6.6

Unused: G. Mamardashvili, W. Endō, J. Gomez, T. Nyoni

Player stats

Top rated
V. van DijkLiverpool8.2
2nd
I. KonatéLiverpool7.6
3rd
H. EkdalBurnley7.3

Burnley

Liverpool

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.