Premier League Gameweek 21 Wed, Jan 7 2026 · 20:15 Turf Moor, Burnley
Burnley
2–2 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.24 – 2.55
Manchester United
  • A. Heaven 13’ (OG)
  • J. Anthony 66’
  • 50’, 60’ B. Šeško
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Burnley and Manchester United share the points

Manchester United entered as narrow favourites and led 2–1 after 60 minutes through two Šeško goals. But Anthony scored to rescue a draw for Burnley. Manchester United finished with the higher xG (2.55 vs 0.24). On the chances created, Manchester United deserved more: 2.7 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Burnley30%
Draw ✓26%
Manchester United44%

Model vs reality

Burnley goals
2
Model 1.26 · xG 0.24
Manchester United goals
2
Model 1.59 · xG 2.55
Total goals
4
Model 2.85 · xG 2.79
Score 2–2
6%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 54%
Both scored
Yes
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchB. ŠeškoManchester United · 2 goals
8.7
  • RefereeStuart Attwell
  • VenueTurf Moor
  • Table before kick-offBurnley 19th · Manchester United 7th

Timeline

  1. A. Heaven (own goal) 1–0
    13’
  2. H. MejbriYellow card · Simulation
    41’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. B. Šeško 1–1Assist Bruno Fernandes
    50’
  5. ⇄ J. AnthonyFor H. Mejbri
    58’
  6. B. Šeško 1–2Assist P. Dorgu
    60’
  7. ⇄ Mason MountFor Bruno Fernandes
    61’
  8. ⇄ L. YoroFor A. Heaven
    61’
  9. J. Anthony 2–2Assist M. Edwards
    66’
  10. ⇄ J. ZirkzeeFor Matheus Cunha
    74’
  11. ⇄ K. MainooFor Casemiro
    74’
  12. ⇄ L. FosterFor A. Broja
    76’
  13. ⇄ Shea LaceyFor M. Ugarte
    84’
  14. ⇄ O. SonneFor M. Edwards
    90+2’
  15. L. FosterYellow card
    90+5’
  16. Full time · 2–2

Team stats

Burnley7 shots · 6 in box, 1 outside
Manchester United30 shots · 21 in box, 9 outside
BurnleyManchester United
35% Possession 65%
0.24 Expected goals (xG) 2.55
0.17 Expected points (xPts) 2.72
7 Shots 30
1 Shots on target 10
1 Shots off target 13
5 Blocked shots 7
6 Shots inside the box 21
1 Shots outside the box 9
315 Passes 593
76% Pass accuracy 88%
2 Corners 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 0
9 Fouls 8
3 Offsides 0
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.84 Team rating 7.00

Line-ups

Burnley 3-4-2-1

17.6 M. Dúbravka(G)
127.0 B. Humphreys 57.9 M. Estève 296.9 J. Laurent
236.3 Lucas Pires 166.0 Florentino 86.5 L. Ugochukwu 26.5 K. Walker
286.5 H. Mejbri ↓58’ 107.0 M. Edwards A↓90’
276.6 A. Broja ↓76’
  • 1M. Dúbravka (G)7.6
  • 12B. Humphreys7.0
  • 5M. Estève7.9
  • 29J. Laurent6.9
  • 23Lucas Pires6.3
  • 16Florentino6.0
  • 8L. Ugochukwu6.5
  • 2K. Walker6.5
  • 28H. Mejbri↓58’6.5
  • 10M. EdwardsA↓90’7.0
  • 27A. Broja↓76’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 11J. Anthony↑58’7.6
  • 22O. Sonne↑90’
  • 9L. Foster↑76’6.6

Unused: Max Weiss, L. Tchaouna, Q. Hartman, A. Barnes, J. Bruun Larsen, H. Ekdal

Manchester United 4-2-3-1

316.3 S. Lammens(G)
236.9 L. Shaw 67.6 L. Martínez 265.9 A. Heaven ↓61’ 26.6 Diogo Dalot
186.6 Casemiro ↓74’ 256.6 M. Ugarte ↓84’
137.6 P. Dorgu A 87.9 Bruno Fernandes A↓61’ 106.5 Matheus Cunha ↓74’
308.7★ B. Šeško
  • 31S. Lammens (G)6.3
  • 23L. Shaw6.9
  • 6L. Martínez7.6
  • 26A. Heaven↓61’5.9
  • 2Diogo Dalot6.6
  • 18Casemiro↓74’6.6
  • 25M. Ugarte↓84’6.6
  • 13P. DorguA7.6
  • 8Bruno FernandesA↓61’7.9
  • 10Matheus Cunha↓74’6.5
  • 30B. Šeško ★8.7

Substitutes used

  • 7Mason Mount↑61’6.7
  • 11J. Zirkzee↑74’6.2
  • 37K. Mainoo↑74’6.9
  • 15L. Yoro↑61’6.5
  • 61Shea Lacey↑84’6.7

Unused: A. Bayındır, J. Maguire, T. Malacia, J. Fletcher

Player stats

Top rated
B. ŠeškoManchester United8.7
2nd
M. EstèveBurnley7.9
3rd
Bruno FernandesManchester United7.9

Burnley

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Dúbravka G 90 0 0 6 sv 0 49% 37 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.6
B. Humphreys D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 34 1 0 1/1 1/0 7.0
M. Estève D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 21 3 1 0/0 0/0 7.9
J. Laurent M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 39 5 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
Lucas Pires D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 81% 26 1 0 2/3 1/0 6.3
Florentino M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 35 0 3 0/1 2/0 6.0
L. Ugochukwu M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 22 1 2 1/4 2/0 6.5
K. Walker D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 70% 23 0 1 0/0 1/1 6.5
H. Mejbri M 58 0 0 0 (0) 1 67% 18 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.5
M. Edwards F 90 0 1 0 (0) 3 87% 30 1 0 3/5 0/2 7.0
A. Broja F 76 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 8 1 0 2/3 0/1 6.6
J. Anthony F 32 1 0 1 (1) 1 88% 17 1 0 1/2 0/1 7.6
O. Sonne D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/1 1/0 —
L. Foster F 14 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 2 0 0/0 0/0 6.6

Manchester United

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
S. Lammens G 90 0 0 0 sv 0 75% 28 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
L. Shaw D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 97% 62 3 0 1/2 1/1 6.9
L. Martínez D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 95% 73 0 0 4/4 2/0 7.6
A. Heaven D 61 0 0 1 (0) 0 93% 55 2 0 1/1 0/1 5.9
Diogo Dalot D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 88% 50 1 1 2/2 0/0 6.6
Casemiro M 74 0 0 2 (0) 4 86% 58 2 0 0/1 2/0 6.6
M. Ugarte M 84 0 0 2 (0) 0 87% 55 4 2 2/2 1/1 6.6
P. Dorgu D 90 0 1 1 (1) 5 83% 47 4 1 1/1 0/3 7.6
Bruno Fernandes M 61 0 1 1 (0) 5 90% 50 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.9
Matheus Cunha F 74 0 0 3 (2) 1 77% 35 0 1 2/3 0/1 6.5
B. Šeško F 90 2 0 7 (7) 0 50% 20 0 0 1/3 0/0 8.7
Mason Mount M 29 0 0 0 (0) 1 92% 13 0 1 0/1 0/0 6.7
J. Zirkzee F 16 0 0 1 (0) 1 71% 7 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
K. Mainoo M 16 0 0 1 (0) 0 90% 21 0 0 2/2 1/1 6.9
L. Yoro D 29 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 16 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
Shea Lacey F 6 0 0 2 (0) 0 100% 3 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.