Primeira Liga Gameweek 12 Sat, Nov 29 2025 · 15:30 Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior
0–2 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.18 – 0.87
  • P. Sequeira 45+3’
  • 76’ Lincoln
  • 90+9’ M. Milovanović
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Alverca beat Casa Pia

Casa Pia entered as narrow favourites, but Alverca won 2–0 through goals from Lincoln and Milovanović. Casa Pia played with ten men from the 45th minute after Sequeira was sent off. Alverca finished with the higher xG (0.87 vs 0.18).

Casa Pia42%
Draw28%
Alverca ✓30%

Model vs reality

Casa Pia goals
0
Model 1.38 · xG 0.18
Alverca goals
2
Model 1.11 · xG 0.87
Total goals
2
Model 2.50 · xG 1.05
Score 0–2
5%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 46%
Both scored
No
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchLincolnAlverca · 1 goal
7.9
  • RefereeRicardo Baixinho
  • VenueEstádio Municipal de Rio Maior
  • Table before kick-offCasa Pia 15th · Alverca 14th

Timeline

  1. CassianoYellow card
    43’
  2. P. SequeiraRed card
    45+3’
  3. José FonteYellow card
    45+3’
  4. ⇄ Ricardo BatistaFor Cassiano
    45+7’
  5. André GeraldesYellow card
    45+8’
  6. Half time · 0–0
  7. B. MeupiyouYellow card
    50’
  8. ⇄ Renato NhagaFor Rafael Brito
    62’
  9. ⇄ F. Benaissa-YahiaFor A. Conté
    62’
  10. ⇄ Dailon LivramentoFor K. Nsona
    62’
  11. ⇄ Julián Jose MartinezFor B. Meupiyou
    62’
  12. ⇄ M. MilovanovićFor Cedric Nuozzi
    62’
  13. Gaizka LarrazabalYellow card
    72’
  14. Lincoln 0–1Assist Sandro Lima
    76’
  15. ⇄ Tiago MoraisFor Kaique Rocha
    80’
  16. ⇄ FigueiredoFor S. Abdulai
    81’
  17. ⇄ D. GuiFor Sandro Lima
    82’
  18. D. GuiYellow card
    90+1’
  19. Alexsandro AmorimYellow card
    90+4’
  20. M. MilovanovićYellow card
    90+6’
  21. ⇄ Isaac JamesFor Lincoln
    90+7’
  22. M. Milovanović 0–2Assist Zoubdi
    90+9’
  23. Full time · 0–2

Team stats

Casa Pia5 shots · 3 in box, 2 outside
Alverca10 shots · 6 in box, 4 outside
Casa PiaAlverca
52% Possession 48%
0.18 Expected goals (xG) 0.87
0.63 Expected points (xPts) 1.96
5 Shots 10
0 Shots on target 5
2 Shots off target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Shots inside the box 6
2 Shots outside the box 4
445 Passes 417
81% Pass accuracy 82%
6 Corners 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
8 Fouls 17
0 Offsides 4
4 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
6.55 Team rating 6.91

Line-ups

Casa Pia 3-4-3

15.3 P. Sequeira(G)
186.3 André Geraldes 66.7 José Fonte 276.9 Kaique Rocha ↓80’
56.9 A. Conté ↓62’ 86.3 Rafael Brito ↓62’ 426.5 S. Pérez 726.5 Gaizka Larrazabal
76.7 K. Nsona ↓62’ 906.3 Cassiano ↓45’ 296.9 J. Livolant
  • 1P. Sequeira (G)5.3
  • 18André Geraldes6.3
  • 6José Fonte6.7
  • 27Kaique Rocha↓80’6.9
  • 5A. Conté↓62’6.9
  • 8Rafael Brito↓62’6.3
  • 42S. Pérez6.5
  • 72Gaizka Larrazabal6.5
  • 7K. Nsona↓62’6.7
  • 90Cassiano↓45’6.3
  • 29J. Livolant6.9

Substitutes used

  • 33Ricardo Batista (G)↑45’7.3
  • 12F. Benaissa-Yahia↑62’6.0
  • 74Renato Nhaga↑62’6.3
  • 10Dailon Livramento↑62’6.5
  • 21Tiago Morais↑80’6.3

Unused: João Goulart, Y. Oukili, Miguel Sousa, X. Severina

Alverca 3-4-3

136.5 André Gomes(G)
336.9 B. Meupiyou ↓62’ 57.2 Sergi Gómez 47.3 Kaiky Naves
556.7 Francisco Chissumba 86.3 Alexsandro Amorim 216.6 S. Abdulai ↓81’ 27.3 Zoubdi A
116.7 Cedric Nuozzi ↓62’ 916.7 Sandro Lima A↓82’ 187.9★ Lincoln ↓90’
  • 13André Gomes (G)6.5
  • 33B. Meupiyou↓62’6.9
  • 5Sergi Gómez7.2
  • 4Kaiky Naves7.3
  • 55Francisco Chissumba6.7
  • 8Alexsandro Amorim6.3
  • 21S. Abdulai↓81’6.6
  • 2ZoubdiA7.3
  • 11Cedric Nuozzi↓62’6.7
  • 91Sandro LimaA↓82’6.7
  • 18Lincoln ★↓90’7.9

Substitutes used

  • 3Julián Jose Martinez↑62’6.9
  • 9M. Milovanović↑62’6.3
  • 20Figueiredo↑81’6.5
  • 6D. Gui↑82’6.7
  • 12Isaac James↑90’

Unused: Matheus Mendes, Kauan Gomes, Diogo Martins, T. Leite

Player stats

Top rated
LincolnAlverca7.9
2nd
Ricardo BatistaCasa Pia7.3
3rd
Kaiky NavesAlverca7.3

Casa Pia

Alverca

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.