Casa Pia

17th · Primeira Liga · 4 points · Matches played: 8

20 points behind FC Porto · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-0.9 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -0.6 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 18.3-0.9
World Rank 412th Global, by Elo
Primeira Liga Rank 16th L90 Strength
Last Santa ClaraH xG 0.5–0.7 0–1 Next EstrelaA 24%

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Our take

Up against it.

Casa Pia are short of quality at both ends, with one of the weaker attack in the league and one of the weaker defence in the league. Across the 8 league matches with forecasts, they have collected around 4 fewer points than our pre-match forecasts predicted. The squad is fully fit, and The toughest of the next 3 matches is the visit of Sporting CP.

They are comfortable without the ball, with only 44% possession, and look to hurt teams on the break. They are wasteful in front of goal (4% of shots scored), and give up a lot of shots (15 a game). Unusually, they travel better than they host: 1.0 points per game away against 0.0 at home.

  • Relegation 41%Likely 16th · 30 projected points
  • Next 3: about 2 of 9 points Toughest vs Sporting CP · , 10% to win
  • Full squadNobody reported missing
  • 4 pts vs 7.6 expected-3.6 vs pre-match expectations · 8 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Casa Pia. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
Primeira LigaView table →
Position
17th/ 18
Points
40.50 PPG
Played
8
League gap
20pts behind leader
12.5%Win %
Wins1
Draws1
Losses6

Expected metrics · 5 of 8 matches covered

Goals For
30.38 / game
xG 2.88 2.88 fewer goals than expected. vs 0 goals
Goals Against
172.13 / game
xGA 6.92 5.08 more conceded than expected. vs 12 conceded
Goal Difference
-14-1.75 / game
xGD -4.04 Goal difference is 7.96 lower than expected. vs -12 GD
Clean Sheets
113% of games

League standings

Primeira Liga · 2026-2027

Full standings →

Swipe to explore the league table →

Full Primeira Liga table, Casa Pia highlighted
#ClubRatingPWDLGDPtsForm
1– FC Porto 80 8800 +16 24
2– Benfica 82 8611 +17 19
3– Sporting CP 84 8530 +11 18
4– Santa Clara 34 8530 +8 18
5– Arouca 34 8422 +4 14
6▲ GIL Vicente 34 8422 +2 14
7– Academico Viseu 32 8422 +1 14
8▲ Alverca 30 8323 +1 11
9▼ SC Braga 56 8323 -1 11
10▼ Estrela 20 8242 -1 10
11– Maritimo 16 8224 -5 8
12– Moreirense 25 8224 -7 8
13– Famalicao 38 8143 -1 7
14▲ Rio Ave 21 8215 -9 7
15▼ Guimaraes 27 8125 -5 5
16▼ Nacional 17 8116 -9 4
17– Casa Pia 18 8116 -14 4
18– Estoril 22 8026 -8 2

18 clubs · ▲ Up · ▼ Down · – Unchanged · Since the start of the latest played matchweek.

League position over time

Position by matchweek

Higher is better. One point per matchweek; partial rounds are marked. Postponed games count when played. Hover, tap or focus a point for details.

View position history
Casa Pia league position by matchweek
MWResults through (UTC)PositionPtsP
110 Aug 20261501
2 · Partial17 Aug 20261802
3 · Partial24 Aug 20261803
431 Aug 20261804
510 Sep 20261815
614 Sep 20261816
720 Sep 20261747
819 Oct 20261748

Squad 34 players · this season, all competitions

Top scorer
Silvi1 goals
Most assists
L. Ofori1 assists
Best rated
Silvi6.87 avg rating
Most minutes
André Geraldes720 min
Key to the model
João RêgoStarter · weight 1.92
PlayerAgeAppsMinGARatingModel role
Goalkeepers
André Gomes 21 5 (5) 389 0 0 6.53 starter
Ivan Mandić 23 4 (3) 331 0 0 6.65 rotation
Daniel Azevedo 28 0 (0) 0 0 0 — depth
P. Sequeira 27 0 (0) 0 0 0 — starter
Defenders
André Geraldes 35 8 (8) 720 0 0 6.18 starter
David Sousa 25 8 (8) 720 0 0 6.26 starter
Pedro Rosas 25 8 (5) 484 0 0 6.62 rotation
João Goulart 26 6 (4) 387 0 0 6.42 starter
Kaly 22 6 (4) 364 0 0 6.57 starter
A. Conté 28 3 (3) 233 0 0 6.23 rotation
Felipe Silva 24 1 (0) 36 0 0 6.57 rotation
Kaique Rocha 25 0 (0) 0 0 0 — rotation
Midfielders
L. Ofori 28 8 (8) 702 0 1 6.43 starter
Silvi 21 8 (6) 549 1 0 6.87 starter
João Rêgo 21 5 (5) 433 0 0 6.36 starter
S. Pérez 33 5 (3) 241 0 1 6.46 rotation
Gabi Pereira 26 4 (2) 175 0 0 6.42 rotation
JP 21 2 (1) 81 0 0 6.17 rotation
Abdu Dafe 18 3 (0) 60 0 0 6.37 depth
?João Trevisol — 1 (0) 45 0 0 6.19 rotation
Raúl Blanco 25 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
J. Livolant 28 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Forwards
Henrique Araújo 24 8 (6) 444 1 0 6.34 starter
A. Jatta 27 6 (3) 292 0 0 6.39 rotation
Rochinha 31 4 (4) 289 0 0 6.60 rotation
M. El Boukammiri 22 4 (3) 251 0 0 6.41 starter
B. Pauwels 22 5 (3) 242 1 0 6.74 starter
Kevin Prieto 23 4 (3) 189 0 0 6.58 rotation
Oluwakorede Osundina 22 2 (1) 97 0 0 6.25 —
Cassiano 37 3 (0) 75 0 0 6.58 rotation
E. Maurin — 3 (0) 57 0 0 6.46 rotation
Claudio 25 1 (0) 21 0 0 6.50 rotation
A. Zouin — 2 (0) 13 0 0 6.23 depth
K. Nsona 24 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to Estrela: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Primeira Liga · 18 clubs

L90 Strength16th of 18
18 Elo 1421 · World #412
Current Strength
18 With absences before 24 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack18th of 18
13 Scores 0.98 per match against an average top-five side
Defence15th of 18
25 Concedes 1.98 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → FC Porto: attack 74, defence 79, L90 Strength 80 Benfica: attack 81, defence 81, L90 Strength 82 Sporting CP: attack 75, defence 81, L90 Strength 84 Santa Clara: attack 29, defence 53, L90 Strength 34 Arouca: attack 28, defence 37, L90 Strength 34 GIL Vicente: attack 32, defence 50, L90 Strength 34 Academico Viseu: attack 28, defence 31, L90 Strength 32 Alverca: attack 38, defence 42, L90 Strength 30 SC Braga: attack 41, defence 59, L90 Strength 56 Estrela: attack 24, defence 27, L90 Strength 20 Maritimo: attack 15, defence 20, L90 Strength 16 Moreirense: attack 17, defence 27, L90 Strength 25 Famalicao: attack 24, defence 36, L90 Strength 38 Rio Ave: attack 18, defence 21, L90 Strength 21 Guimaraes: attack 28, defence 39, L90 Strength 27 Nacional: attack 15, defence 13, L90 Strength 17 Casa Pia: attack 13, defence 25, L90 Strength 18 Estoril: attack 21, defence 29, L90 Strength 22
Every Primeira Liga club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 8 listed

19
Form index · 12th of 18 in league
Points, last 5
4
Median top-5 club
8.1
Own forecasts
4.8 -0.8
Table17th L90 Strength16th Form12th

Table position in line with their strength.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • L10 OctH · Santa Clara0–11.1 xPts
  • W20 SepA · Estoril2–11.0 xPts
  • L12 SepH · FC Porto1–40.5 xPts
  • D6 SepA · Guimaraes0–00.7 xPts
  • L30 AugH · Moreirense0–11.5 xPts
  • L24 AugA · GIL Vicente0–20.8 xPts
  • L17 AugH · Benfica0–70.5 xPts
  • L8 AugA · Maritimo0–11.4 xPts

Trends last 8, all competitions

Scored 2/8
Clean sheet 1/8
Conceded 2+ 3/8
Over 2.5 3/8
Both teams scored 2/8

Playing style vs Primeira Liga average

CASLeagueRank
Goals scored 0.38 1.37 18th
Goals conceded 2.13 1.37 16th
xG 0.58 1.26 17th
xG allowed 1.38 1.23 8th
Scored in 25% 73% 18th
Clean sheets 13% 28% 11th
CASLeagueRank
Shots 9.63 12.17 16th
Shots on target 3.00 4.15 17th
On target share 27% 33% 15th
Box share 59% 61% 14th
Conversion 4% 11% 16th
CASLeagueRank
Shots allowed 15.25 12.12 16th
On target allowed 5.00 4.11 13th
Blocks 5.71 3.19 1st
Save rate 67% 67% 9th
CASLeagueRank
Possession 44% 50% 16th
Passes 343 426 17th
Pass accuracy 78% 83% 17th
CASLeagueRank
Fouls 12.13 12.61 8th
Fouls suffered 13.00 12.59 7th
Yellow cards 2.13 2.13 7th
Red cards 0.13 0.05 12th
This league season, per match · 8 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
CASLeagueRank
Goals scored 0.50 1.31 17th
Goals conceded 1.70 1.35 13th
xG 0.58 1.15 17th
xG allowed 1.38 1.30 11th
Scored in 30% 71% 18th
Clean sheets 30% 28% 7th
CASLeagueRank
Shots 9.60 11.88 16th
Shots on target 3.44 3.99 12th
On target share 32% 33% 11th
Box share 60% 60% 10th
Conversion 5% 11% 16th
CASLeagueRank
Shots allowed 15.50 12.49 16th
On target allowed 4.40 4.13 12th
Blocks 5.67 3.33 1st
Save rate 70% 69% 8th
CASLeagueRank
Possession 43% 50% 17th
Passes 327 417 18th
Pass accuracy 77% 83% 18th
CASLeagueRank
Fouls 12.60 12.49 10th
Fouls suffered 12.60 12.54 8th
Yellow cards 2.50 2.18 13th
Red cards 0.20 0.06 18th
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home0.00pts per game0-0-4 · 0.2–3.2 goals · 4 games
Away1.00pts per game1-1-2 · 0.5–1.0 goals · 4 games

Goal timing this league season · 8 games

2 0-15
2 16-30
1 2 31-45
5 46-60
1 4 61-75
1 2 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Primeira Liga · 8 games · rank of 18

Attack

GF 3 18th / 18
GF/G 0.38 18th / 18
xG/G 0.58 17th / 18
G − xG -0.20 15th / 18

Defence

GA 17 16th / 18
GA/G 2.13 16th / 18
xGA/G 1.38 8th / 18
xGA − GA -0.75 17th / 18

Overall

Pts 4 16th / 18
xPts 7.6 17th / 18
PPG 0.50 16th / 18
TR 6.44 18th / 18
GD -14 18th / 18
xGD -6.4 16th / 18
W 1 14th / 18
L 6 16th / 18

Scorelines

  • 0–1×3
  • 0–7×1
  • 0–2×1
  • 0–0×1
  • 1–4×1
  • 2–1×1

Goals per game both teams

13% 0
38% 1
13% 2
13% 3
0% 4
25% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
50%75%
Over 2.5
38%56%
Over 3.5
25%36%
Both scored
25%51%
Clean sheet
13%27%
Failed to score
75%27%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.