Primeira Liga Gameweek 22 Sat, Feb 14 2026 · 15:30 Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior
3–2 Full time · HT 3–2 xG 2.07 – 1.08
  • Rafael Brito 21’
  • Cassiano 25’, 45’ (P)
  • 11’ Barbero
  • 37’ (OG) A. Conté
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Casa Pia come from behind to beat Arouca

Arouca led 1–0 after 11 minutes through a Barbero goal. But Brito and Cassiano scored to turn it around for Casa Pia, who won 3–2. Casa Pia finished with the higher xG (2.07 vs 1.08). On the chances created, Arouca deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Casa Pia ✓37%
Draw29%
Arouca35%

Model vs reality

Casa Pia goals
3
Model 1.26 · xG 2.07
Arouca goals
2
Model 1.22 · xG 1.08
Total goals
5
Model 2.47 · xG 3.15
Score 3–2
2%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 45%
Both scored
Yes
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchCassianoCasa Pia · 2 goals
8.3
  • RefereeDiogo Rosa
  • CoachesJardim Brandao Goncalo · —
  • VenueEstádio Municipal de Rio Maior
  • Table before kick-offCasa Pia 15th · Arouca 12th

Timeline

  1. Javi SánchezYellow card
    6’
  2. David SousaYellow card
    10’
  3. Barbero 0–1Assist Tiago Esgaio
    11’
  4. Rafael Brito 1–1Assist A. Conté
    21’
  5. Cassiano 2–1Assist J. Livolant
    25’
  6. Gaizka LarrazabalYellow card · misses next match
    37’
  7. A. Conté (own goal) 2–2
    37’
  8. Cassiano (pen) 3–2
    45’
  9. Half time · 3–2
  10. ⇄ João MarquesFor Oluwakorede Osundina
    53’
  11. KalyYellow card
    56’
  12. ⇄ Brian MansillaFor A. Trezza
    67’
  13. ⇄ D. NandinFor Barbero
    67’
  14. CassianoYellow card · misses next match
    73’
  15. I. de ArruabarrenaYellow card
    79’
  16. João MarquesYellow card
    83’
  17. ⇄ Dailon LivramentoFor Cassiano
    84’
  18. ⇄ I. MohamedFor Rafael Brito
    84’
  19. ⇄ Diogo MonteiroFor Tiago Esgaio
    84’
  20. ⇄ Pablo GozálbezFor E. van Ee
    84’
  21. ⇄ Miguel PucheFor B. Kuipers
    84’
  22. ⇄ ClaudioFor J. Livolant
    90+3’
  23. Full time · 3–2

Team stats

Casa Pia11 shots · 7 in box, 4 outside
Arouca7 shots · 3 in box, 4 outside
Casa PiaArouca
31% Possession 69%
2.07 Expected goals (xG) 1.08
2.01 Expected points (xPts) 0.78
11 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
4 Shots off target 1
3 Blocked shots 3
7 Shots inside the box 3
4 Shots outside the box 4
216 Passes 494
68% Pass accuracy 85%
2 Corners 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
14 Fouls 6
0 Offsides 1
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.76 Team rating 6.28

Line-ups

Casa Pia 3-4-3

16.5 P. Sequeira(G)
436.2 David Sousa 35.9 Kaly 47.2 João Goulart
56.3 A. Conté A 87.3 Rafael Brito ↓84’ 806.7 L. Ofori 726.7 Gaizka Larrazabal
136.3 Oluwakorede Osundina ↓53’ 908.3★ Cassiano ↓84’ 297.0 J. Livolant A↓90’
  • 1P. Sequeira (G)6.5
  • 43David Sousa6.2
  • 3Kaly5.9
  • 4João Goulart7.2
  • 5A. ContéA6.3
  • 8Rafael Brito↓84’7.3
  • 80L. Ofori6.7
  • 72Gaizka Larrazabal6.7
  • 13Oluwakorede Osundina↓53’6.3
  • 90Cassiano ★↓84’8.3
  • 29J. LivolantA↓90’7.0

Substitutes used

  • 11João Marques↑53’6.7
  • 24I. Mohamed↑84’6.2
  • 10Dailon Livramento↑84’6.3
  • 99Claudio↑90’

Unused: Ivan Mandić, André Geraldes, Pedro Rosas, Kaique Rocha, Tiago Morais

Coach: Jardim Brandao Goncalo

Arouca 4-2-3-1

125.2 I. de Arruabarrena(G)
256.2 B. Kuipers ↓84’ 35.7 José Fontán 155.9 Javi Sánchez 286.6 Tiago Esgaio A↓84’
217.0 T. Fukui 227.0 E. van Ee ↓84’
76.3 N. Djouahra 146.3 Lee Hyun-Ju 196.3 A. Trezza ↓67’
176.6 Barbero ↓67’
  • 12I. de Arruabarrena (G)5.2
  • 25B. Kuipers↓84’6.2
  • 3José Fontán5.7
  • 15Javi Sánchez5.9
  • 28Tiago EsgaioA↓84’6.6
  • 21T. Fukui7.0
  • 22E. van Ee↓84’7.0
  • 7N. Djouahra6.3
  • 14Lee Hyun-Ju6.3
  • 19A. Trezza↓67’6.3
  • 17Barbero↓67’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 24Brian Mansilla↑67’6.3
  • 23D. Nandin↑67’6.7
  • 6Diogo Monteiro↑84’6.3
  • 10Pablo Gozálbez↑84’6.9
  • 11Miguel Puche↑84’6.7

Unused: João Valido, A. Dante, B. Popović, Yellu Santiago

Player stats

Top rated
CassianoCasa Pia8.3
2nd
Rafael BritoCasa Pia7.3
3rd
João GoulartCasa Pia7.2

Casa Pia

Arouca

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.