Primeira Liga Gameweek 19 Fri, Jan 23 2026 · 20:15 Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior
3–3 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.57 – 2.44
  • David Sousa 5’
  • Gaizka Larrazabal 50’
  • Oluwakorede Osundina 65’
  • 75’ (P), 90’ (P) Nenê
  • 90+9’ G. Neiva
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

AVS fight back from three goals down

Casa Pia entered as favourites and led 3–0 after 65 minutes through goals from Sousa, Larrazabal and Osundina. But Nenê and Neiva scored to rescue a draw for AVS. AVS finished with the higher xG (2.44 vs 1.57). On the chances created, AVS deserved more: 1.9 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Casa Pia56%
Draw ✓25%
AVS19%

Model vs reality

Casa Pia goals
3
Model 1.70 · xG 1.57
AVS goals
3
Model 0.88 · xG 2.44
Total goals
6
Model 2.57 · xG 4.01
Score 3–3
1%
Most likely 1–0 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 47%
Both scored
Yes
Model 48%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchNenêAVS · 2 goals
8.0
  • RefereeRicardo Baixinho
  • CoachesJardim Brandao Goncalo · Joao Henriques
  • VenueEstádio Municipal de Rio Maior
  • Table before kick-offCasa Pia 16th · AVS 18th

Timeline

  1. David Sousa 1–0Assist Rafael Brito
    5’
  2. RoniYellow card
    13’
  3. Rúben SemedoYellow card
    30’
  4. Pedro LimaYellow card
    44’
  5. Half time · 1–0
  6. Gaizka Larrazabal 2–0
    50’
  7. ⇄ Diego DuarteFor Roni
    60’
  8. ⇄ L. RivasFor Ó. Perea
    60’
  9. CassianoYellow card
    63’
  10. ⇄ Oluwakorede OsundinaFor Tiago Morais
    64’
  11. Oluwakorede Osundina 3–0Assist J. Livolant
    65’
  12. ⇄ NenêFor Tómané
    67’
  13. ⇄ G. NeivaFor B. Akinsola
    67’
  14. L. RivasYellow card
    69’
  15. A. ContéYellow card
    74’
  16. Nenê (pen) 3–1
    75’
  17. ⇄ L. OforiFor Rafael Brito
    80’
  18. ⇄ Kevin PrietoFor A. Conté
    80’
  19. KikiYellow card
    81’
  20. João GoulartYellow card
    88’
  21. Nenê (pen) 3–2
    90’
  22. ⇄ I. MohamedFor J. Livolant
    90+3’
  23. G. Neiva 3–3Assist Pedro Lima
    90+9’
  24. Full time · 3–3

Team stats

Casa Pia9 shots · 7 in box, 2 outside
AVS24 shots · 11 in box, 13 outside
Casa PiaAVS
43% Possession 57%
1.57 Expected goals (xG) 2.44
0.91 Expected points (xPts) 1.90
9 Shots 24
4 Shots on target 5
2 Shots off target 6
3 Blocked shots 13
7 Shots inside the box 11
2 Shots outside the box 13
208 Passes 268
47% Pass accuracy 49%
2 Corners 9
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
15 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 0
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
6.77 Team rating 6.38

Line-ups

Casa Pia 3-4-3

16.3 P. Sequeira(G)
437.5 David Sousa 36.6 Kaly 45.6 João Goulart
57.0 A. Conté ↓80’ 746.3 Renato Nhaga 87.2 Rafael Brito A↓80’ 727.9 Gaizka Larrazabal
297.9 J. Livolant A↓90’ 905.5 Cassiano 216.6 Tiago Morais ↓64’
  • 1P. Sequeira (G)6.3
  • 43David Sousa7.5
  • 3Kaly6.6
  • 4João Goulart5.6
  • 5A. Conté↓80’7.0
  • 74Renato Nhaga6.3
  • 8Rafael BritoA↓80’7.2
  • 72Gaizka Larrazabal7.9
  • 29J. LivolantA↓90’7.9
  • 90Cassiano5.5
  • 21Tiago Morais↓64’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 13Oluwakorede Osundina↑64’7.6
  • 19Kevin Prieto↑80’6.3
  • 80L. Ofori↑80’6.3
  • 24I. Mohamed↑90’

Unused: Ricardo Batista, André Geraldes, K. Nsona, Miguel Sousa, Dailon Livramento

Coach: Jardim Brandao Goncalo

AVS 4-2-3-1

16.6 Adriel
246.3 Kiki 356.2 Rúben Semedo 266.2 Carlos Ponck 236.3 Gustavo Mendonça
276.3 Ángel Algobia 706.3 Roni ↓60’
146.5 Ó. Perea ↓60’ 86.3 Pedro Lima A 116.0 B. Akinsola ↓67’
76.5 Tómané ↓67’
  • 1Adriel6.6
  • 24Kiki6.3
  • 35Rúben Semedo6.2
  • 26Carlos Ponck6.2
  • 23Gustavo Mendonça6.3
  • 27Ángel Algobia6.3
  • 70Roni↓60’6.3
  • 14Ó. Perea↓60’6.5
  • 8Pedro LimaA6.3
  • 11B. Akinsola↓67’6.0
  • 7Tómané↓67’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 20Diego Duarte↑60’6.3
  • 21G. Neiva↑67’7.3
  • 18Nenê ★↑67’8.0

Unused: Leonardo Rivas, Simão, Paulo Vitor, Aderllan Santos, Diogo Spencer, Tiago Galletto

Coach: Joao Henriques

Player stats

Top rated
NenêAVS8.0
2nd
Gaizka LarrazabalCasa Pia7.9
3rd
J. LivolantCasa Pia7.9

Casa Pia

AVS

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.