Primeira Liga Gameweek 10 Sat, Nov 1 2025 · 18:00 Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior
Casa Pia
3–5 Full time · HT 1–2 xG 1.05 – 2.08
Estrela
  • Cassiano 34’, 90+7’
  • I. Mohamed 48’
  • José Fonte 85’
  • 36’ Kikas
  • 45+1’ (P), 65’ (P), 82’ Sidny Lopes Cabral
  • 67’ Paulo Moreira
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Estrela beat Casa Pia

Casa Pia entered as favourites, but Estrela won 5–3. Estrela finished with the higher xG (2.08 vs 1.05). On the chances created, Casa Pia deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Casa Pia52%
Draw26%
Estrela ✓22%

Model vs reality

Casa Pia goals
3
Model 1.61 · xG 1.05
Estrela goals
5
Model 0.98 · xG 2.08
Total goals
8
Model 2.59 · xG 3.13
Score 3–5
<1%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 48%
Both scored
Yes
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchSidny Lopes CabralEstrela · 3 goals
10.0
  • RefereeHelder Malheiro
  • VenueEstádio Municipal de Rio Maior
  • Table before kick-offCasa Pia 14th · Estrela 16th

Timeline

  1. VAR KikasGoal Disallowed - offside
    23’
  2. Cassiano 1–0Assist K. Nsona
    34’
  3. Kikas 1–1Assist A. Marcus
    36’
  4. Sidny Lopes Cabral (pen) 1–2
    45+1’
  5. Half time · 1–2
  6. I. Mohamed 2–2
    48’
  7. OtávioYellow card
    53’
  8. ⇄ Jovane CabralFor Jorge Meireles
    55’
  9. ⇄ Guilherme MontóiaFor Otávio
    55’
  10. P. SequeiraYellow card
    61’
  11. Sidny Lopes Cabral (pen) 2–3
    65’
  12. Paulo Moreira 2–4Assist Kikas
    67’
  13. ⇄ Rodrigo PinhoFor Kikas
    71’
  14. ⇄ Dailon LivramentoFor Gaizka Larrazabal
    73’
  15. ⇄ X. SeverinaFor Kaique Rocha
    73’
  16. Paulo MoreiraYellow card
    74’
  17. José FonteYellow card
    75’
  18. ⇄ Miguel SousaFor I. Mohamed
    78’
  19. ⇄ S. PérezFor Renato Nhaga
    79’
  20. Sidny Lopes Cabral 2–5
    82’
  21. José Fonte 3–5
    85’
  22. ⇄ A. SolaFor Jefferson Encada
    89’
  23. ⇄ RobinhoFor A. Marcus
    89’
  24. ⇄ F. Benaissa-YahiaFor José Fonte
    90+1’
  25. A. SolaYellow card
    90+6’
  26. Cassiano 4–5
    90+7’
  27. Full time · 3–5

Team stats

Casa Pia10 shots · 5 in box, 5 outside
Estrela12 shots · 7 in box, 5 outside
Casa PiaEstrela
56% Possession 44%
1.05 Expected goals (xG) 2.08
0.76 Expected points (xPts) 2.04
10 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 6
2 Shots off target 2
3 Blocked shots 4
5 Shots inside the box 7
5 Shots outside the box 5
364 Passes 300
81% Pass accuracy 79%
4 Corners 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
19 Fouls 20
0 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.51 Team rating 6.94

Line-ups

Casa Pia 3-4-3

15.7 P. Sequeira(G)
435.9 David Sousa 66.2 José Fonte ↓90’ 275.7 Kaique Rocha ↓73’
186.6 André Geraldes 746.3 Renato Nhaga ↓79’ 246.3 I. Mohamed ↓78’ 726.5 Gaizka Larrazabal ↓73’
76.9 K. Nsona A 907.9 Cassiano 297.3 J. Livolant
  • 1P. Sequeira (G)5.7
  • 43David Sousa5.9
  • 6José Fonte↓90’6.2
  • 27Kaique Rocha↓73’5.7
  • 18André Geraldes6.6
  • 74Renato Nhaga↓79’6.3
  • 24I. Mohamed↓78’6.3
  • 72Gaizka Larrazabal↓73’6.5
  • 7K. NsonaA6.9
  • 90Cassiano7.9
  • 29J. Livolant7.3

Substitutes used

  • 17X. Severina↑73’6.5
  • 14Miguel Sousa↑78’7.2
  • 12F. Benaissa-Yahia↑90’
  • 42S. Pérez↑79’6.6
  • 10Dailon Livramento↑73’6.3

Unused: Daniel Azevedo, João Goulart, Rafael Brito, Oluwakorede Osundina

Estrela 3-4-3

405.9 Renan Ribeiro(G)
835.7 Otávio ↓55’ 796.2 A. Chernev 306.2 Luan Patrick
5510.0★ Sidny Lopes Cabral 67.2 Oumar Ngom 197.2 Paulo Moreira 176.3 Jefferson Encada ↓89’
186.6 Jorge Meireles ↓55’ 987.6 Kikas A↓71’ 997.2 A. Marcus A↓89’
  • 40Renan Ribeiro (G)5.9
  • 83Otávio↓55’5.7
  • 79A. Chernev6.2
  • 30Luan Patrick6.2
  • 55Sidny Lopes Cabral ★10.0
  • 6Oumar Ngom7.2
  • 19Paulo Moreira7.2
  • 17Jefferson Encada↓89’6.3
  • 18Jorge Meireles↓55’6.6
  • 98KikasA↓71’7.6
  • 99A. MarcusA↓89’7.2

Substitutes used

  • 21Guilherme Montóia↑55’6.5
  • 11Jovane Cabral↑55’6.9
  • 9Rodrigo Pinho↑71’6.5
  • 63A. Sola↑89’
  • 8Robinho↑89’

Unused: David Grilo, S. Commey, I. Stoica

Player stats

Top rated
Sidny Lopes CabralEstrela10.0
2nd
CassianoCasa Pia7.9
3rd
KikasEstrela7.6

Casa Pia

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
P. Sequeira G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 88% 17 0 0 0/0 1/0 5.7
David Sousa D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 79% 42 1 1 0/0 0/0 5.9
José Fonte D 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 83% 53 0 0 0/0 2/1 6.2
Kaique Rocha D 73 0 0 1 (0) 0 79% 39 0 3 0/0 0/1 5.7
André Geraldes D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 25 0 0 0/1 0/2 6.6
Renato Nhaga M 79 0 0 0 (0) 0 79% 29 1 0 1/1 3/3 6.3
I. Mohamed M 78 1 0 1 (1) 0 85% 39 1 1 2/2 6/0 6.3
Gaizka Larrazabal D 73 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 31 2 0 0/1 0/1 6.5
K. Nsona F 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 69% 26 2 1 2/3 2/1 6.9
Cassiano F 90 2 0 1 (1) 0 77% 13 0 0 1/1 2/2 7.9
J. Livolant M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 73% 26 2 0 1/2 0/4 7.3
X. Severina M 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
Miguel Sousa M 12 0 0 0 (0) 1 80% 5 0 1 0/1 2/1 7.2
F. Benaissa-Yahia D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
S. Pérez M 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 9 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
Dailon Livramento F 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3

Estrela

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Renan Ribeiro G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 65% 20 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.9
Otávio D 55 0 0 0 (0) 1 59% 29 0 1 0/0 2/0 5.7
A. Chernev D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 80% 41 1 0 0/0 1/1 6.2
Luan Patrick D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 50 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.2
Sidny Lopes Cabral M 90 3 0 4 (3) 2 81% 16 0 2 3/4 2/3 10.0
Oumar Ngom M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 89% 46 3 1 0/0 0/3 7.2
Paulo Moreira M 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 72% 18 1 0 0/0 2/1 7.2
Jefferson Encada M 89 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 22 2 0 1/2 2/0 6.3
Jorge Meireles M 55 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 7 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
Kikas F 71 1 1 1 (1) 1 63% 8 1 0 0/0 2/1 7.6
A. Marcus F 89 0 1 1 (0) 3 86% 21 3 0 0/0 0/2 7.2
Guilherme Montóia D 35 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 7 1 0 0/0 2/1 6.5
Jovane Cabral F 35 0 0 0 (0) 0 79% 14 2 1 1/1 2/3 6.9
Rodrigo Pinho F 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 3/2 6.5
A. Sola M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Robinho M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 1 0/0 0/0 —

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.