Primeira Liga Gameweek 16 Sun, Dec 28 2025 · 15:30 Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior
0–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.34 – 1.16
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

No way through for Casa Pia or Guimaraes

Guimaraes entered as narrow favourites, but neither side found a way through. Guimaraes finished with the higher xG (1.16 vs 0.34). On the chances created, Guimaraes deserved more: 2.0 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Casa Pia31%
Draw ✓28%
Guimaraes41%

Model vs reality

Casa Pia goals
0
Model 1.15 · xG 0.34
Guimaraes goals
0
Model 1.37 · xG 1.16
Total goals
0
Model 2.53 · xG 1.50
Score 0–0
9%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 46%
Both scored
No
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJosé FonteCasa Pia
7.3
  • RefereeLuis Carlos Mateus Filipe
  • VenueEstádio Municipal de Rio Maior
  • Table before kick-offCasa Pia 15th · Guimaraes 8th

Timeline

  1. Matija MitrovićYellow card
    9’
  2. Y. OukiliYellow card
    30’
  3. Miguel MagaYellow card
    41’
  4. Dailon LivramentoYellow card
    41’
  5. Half time · 0–0
  6. ⇄ Diogo SousaFor Miguel Maga
    46’
  7. ⇄ T. StrataFor Matija Mitrović
    46’
  8. ⇄ A. NdoyeFor O. Camara
    57’
  9. ⇄ Miguel SousaFor Y. Oukili
    62’
  10. ⇄ CassianoFor Dailon Livramento
    62’
  11. David SousaYellow card
    63’
  12. ⇄ S. PérezFor Rafael Brito
    74’
  13. Miguel SousaYellow card
    79’
  14. ⇄ X. SeverinaFor Gaizka Larrazabal
    84’
  15. ⇄ K. NsonaFor J. Livolant
    84’
  16. ⇄ Fabio BlancoFor Samu
    84’
  17. ⇄ M. NogueiraFor Telmo Arcanjo
    90+2’
  18. Full time · 0–0

Team stats

Casa Pia4 shots · 2 in box, 2 outside
Guimaraes13 shots · 8 in box, 5 outside
Casa PiaGuimaraes
43% Possession 57%
0.34 Expected goals (xG) 1.16
0.65 Expected points (xPts) 2.03
4 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 2
3 Shots off target 7
0 Blocked shots 4
2 Shots inside the box 8
2 Shots outside the box 5
274 Passes 359
73% Pass accuracy 77%
2 Corners 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
23 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 2
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.71 Team rating 6.78

Line-ups

Casa Pia 4-2-3-1

16.9 P. Sequeira(G)
56.6 A. Conté 437.2 David Sousa 67.3★ José Fonte 186.6 André Geraldes
746.7 Renato Nhaga 86.9 Rafael Brito ↓74’
296.6 J. Livolant ↓84’ 206.0 Y. Oukili ↓62’ 726.6 Gaizka Larrazabal ↓84’
106.3 Dailon Livramento ↓62’
  • 1P. Sequeira (G)6.9
  • 5A. Conté6.6
  • 43David Sousa7.2
  • 6José Fonte ★7.3
  • 18André Geraldes6.6
  • 74Renato Nhaga6.7
  • 8Rafael Brito↓74’6.9
  • 29J. Livolant↓84’6.6
  • 20Y. Oukili↓62’6.0
  • 72Gaizka Larrazabal↓84’6.6
  • 10Dailon Livramento↓62’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 14Miguel Sousa↑62’6.5
  • 90Cassiano↑62’6.5
  • 7K. Nsona↑84’
  • 42S. Pérez↑74’6.3
  • 17X. Severina↑84’

Unused: Ricardo Batista, Kevin Prieto, João Goulart, Claudio

Guimaraes 4-2-3-1

256.6 Juan Castillo(G)
177.0 O. Lebedenko 266.9 R. Abascal 37.2 M. Nóbrega 26.7 Miguel Maga ↓46’
306.5 Gonçalo Nogueira 66.5 Matija Mitrović ↓46’
486.9 N. Saviolo 206.2 Samu ↓84’ 187.2 Telmo Arcanjo ↓90’
196.6 O. Camara ↓57’
  • 25Juan Castillo (G)6.6
  • 17O. Lebedenko7.0
  • 26R. Abascal6.9
  • 3M. Nóbrega7.2
  • 2Miguel Maga↓46’6.7
  • 30Gonçalo Nogueira6.5
  • 6Matija Mitrović↓46’6.5
  • 48N. Saviolo6.9
  • 20Samu↓84’6.2
  • 18Telmo Arcanjo↓90’7.2
  • 19O. Camara↓57’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 66T. Strata↑46’6.9
  • 23Diogo Sousa↑46’6.9
  • 90A. Ndoye↑57’6.5
  • 88M. Nogueira↑90’
  • 22Fabio Blanco↑84’

Unused: Charles, André Oliveira, Rica Rocha, Vando Felix

Player stats

Top rated
José FonteCasa Pia7.3
2nd
David SousaCasa Pia7.2
3rd
M. NóbregaGuimaraes7.2

Casa Pia

Guimaraes

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.