Primeira Liga Gameweek 26 Thu, Apr 23 2026 · 19:00 Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior
Casa Pia
0–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 0.34 – 0.47
SC Braga
  • 37’ Pau Víctor
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Víctor goal decides it for SC Braga

SC Braga entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a Víctor goal. The chances were even, with xG of 0.34 and 0.47. On the chances created, Casa Pia deserved more: 1.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Casa Pia17%
Draw25%
SC Braga ✓57%

Model vs reality

Casa Pia goals
0
Model 0.81 · xG 0.34
SC Braga goals
1
Model 1.67 · xG 0.47
Total goals
1
Model 2.47 · xG 0.81
Score 0–1
13%
Most likely 0–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 45%
Both scored
No
Model 45%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchG. LagerbielkeSC Braga
7.3
  • RefereeFabio Jose Costa Verissimo
  • VenueEstádio Municipal de Rio Maior
  • Table before kick-offCasa Pia 16th · SC Braga 4th

Timeline

  1. David SousaYellow card · Delay of game
    18’
  2. Pau Víctor 0–1Assist D. Tıknaz
    37’
  3. Pau VíctorYellow card
    45’
  4. André GeraldesYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    45’
  5. Half time · 0–1
  6. ⇄ CassianoFor Claudio
    46’
  7. João MoutinhoYellow card
    47’
  8. ⇄ Oluwakorede OsundinaFor Dailon Livramento
    61’
  9. L. HorníčekYellow card · Delay of game
    62’
  10. ⇄ R. ZalazarFor Pau Víctor
    63’
  11. ⇄ Leonardo LeloFor Gabri Martínez
    63’
  12. ⇄ Rafael BritoFor I. Mohamed
    71’
  13. ⇄ S. PérezFor L. Ofori
    71’
  14. ⇄ M. DorgelesFor João Moutinho
    71’
  15. VAR Fran NavarroGoal Disallowed - offside
    88’
  16. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Casa Pia7 shots · 2 in box, 5 outside
SC Braga8 shots · 2 in box, 6 outside
Casa PiaSC Braga
30% Possession 70%
0.34 Expected goals (xG) 0.47
1.10 Expected points (xPts) 1.38
7 Shots 8
1 Shots on target 2
4 Shots off target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Shots inside the box 2
5 Shots outside the box 6
305 Passes 731
70% Pass accuracy 88%
4 Corners 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Fouls 9
3 Offsides 2
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.51 Team rating 6.85

Line-ups

Casa Pia 3-4-2-1

16.7 P. Sequeira(G)
436.3 David Sousa 186.5 André Geraldes 46.9 João Goulart
756.3 Pedro Rosas 806.6 L. Ofori ↓71’ 246.2 I. Mohamed ↓71’ 727.2 Gaizka Larrazabal
106.2 Dailon Livramento ↓61’ 296.3 J. Livolant
996.2 Claudio ↓46’
  • 1P. Sequeira (G)6.7
  • 43David Sousa6.3
  • 18André Geraldes6.5
  • 4João Goulart6.9
  • 75Pedro Rosas6.3
  • 80L. Ofori↓71’6.6
  • 24I. Mohamed↓71’6.2
  • 72Gaizka Larrazabal7.2
  • 10Dailon Livramento↓61’6.2
  • 29J. Livolant6.3
  • 99Claudio↓46’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 90Cassiano↑46’6.2
  • 13Oluwakorede Osundina↑61’6.5
  • 42S. Pérez↑71’6.5
  • 8Rafael Brito↑71’6.6

Unused: Ivan Mandić, Kaly, Kevin Prieto, Kiki, Tiago Morais

SC Braga 3-4-1-2

16.6 L. Horníček(G)
177.2 Gabriel Moscardo 156.9 Paulo Oliveira 147.3★ G. Lagerbielke
776.5 Gabri Martínez ↓63’ 87.0 João Moutinho ↓71’ 296.6 Jean-Baptiste Gorby 26.3 Víctor Gómez
347.2 D. Tıknaz A
216.9 Ricardo Horta 187.0 Pau Víctor ↓63’
  • 1L. Horníček (G)6.6
  • 17Gabriel Moscardo7.2
  • 15Paulo Oliveira6.9
  • 14G. Lagerbielke ★7.3
  • 77Gabri Martínez↓63’6.5
  • 8João Moutinho↓71’7.0
  • 29Jean-Baptiste Gorby6.6
  • 2Víctor Gómez6.3
  • 34D. TıknazA7.2
  • 21Ricardo Horta6.9
  • 18Pau Víctor↓63’7.0

Substitutes used

  • 10R. Zalazar↑63’6.9
  • 5Leonardo Lelo↑63’6.3
  • 20M. Dorgeles↑71’

Unused: Fran Navarro, Tiago Sá, Vitor Carvalho, Yanis da Rocha, Luisinho, A. El Ouazzani

Player stats

Top rated
G. LagerbielkeSC Braga7.3
2nd
Gaizka LarrazabalCasa Pia7.2
3rd
Gabriel MoscardoSC Braga7.2

Casa Pia

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
P. Sequeira G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 49% 35 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
David Sousa D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 55% 38 4 1 0/0 2/1 6.3
André Geraldes D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 37 0 0 0/0 0/2 6.5
João Goulart D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 77% 39 2 2 0/0 0/0 6.9
Pedro Rosas D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 63% 16 0 3 1/2 0/0 6.3
L. Ofori M 71 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 29 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.6
I. Mohamed M 71 0 0 1 (0) 0 95% 19 0 1 0/1 2/0 6.2
Gaizka Larrazabal D 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 62% 29 1 2 1/2 0/0 7.2
Dailon Livramento F 61 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.2
J. Livolant M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 64% 25 2 0 0/2 0/2 6.3
Claudio F 46 0 0 1 (0) 0 50% 4 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.2
Cassiano F 44 0 0 0 (0) 1 80% 5 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.2
Oluwakorede Osundina F 29 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
S. Pérez M 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 70% 10 1 0 0/0 2/0 6.5
Rafael Brito M 19 0 0 0 (0) 1 50% 4 2 2 0/0 1/0 6.6

SC Braga

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
L. Horníček G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 58% 26 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
Gabriel Moscardo M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 66 2 1 0/0 2/0 7.2
Paulo Oliveira D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 66 0 1 0/0 2/1 6.9
G. Lagerbielke D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 85 0 2 0/0 2/0 7.3
Gabri Martínez F 63 0 0 1 (0) 1 81% 26 1 0 0/2 0/0 6.5
João Moutinho M 71 0 0 0 (0) 1 95% 94 3 0 0/0 1/0 7.0
Jean-Baptiste Gorby M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 93% 69 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
Víctor Gómez D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 88% 65 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
D. Tıknaz M 90 0 1 1 (1) 1 86% 69 2 0 1/1 0/1 7.2
Ricardo Horta F 90 0 0 2 (0) 2 90% 71 1 0 1/2 0/1 6.9
Pau Víctor F 63 1 0 1 (1) 0 80% 25 0 0 0/1 2/1 7.0
R. Zalazar M 27 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 22 0 0 2/3 0/2 6.9
Leonardo Lelo D 27 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 13 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.3
M. Dorgeles M 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.