Primeira Liga Gameweek 32 Sun, May 3 2026 · 15:30 Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.45 – 1.11
  • Cassiano 55’
  • 68’ Bebeto
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Bebeto goal decides it for Tondela

Casa Pia entered as narrow favourites, but Tondela won 1–0 through a Bebeto goal. Casa Pia played with ten men from the 55th minute after Cassiano was sent off. Tondela finished with the higher xG (1.11 vs 0.45). On the chances created, Casa Pia deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Casa Pia44%
Draw29%
Tondela ✓27%

Model vs reality

Casa Pia goals
0
Model 1.31 · xG 0.45
Tondela goals
1
Model 0.96 · xG 1.11
Total goals
1
Model 2.27 · xG 1.56
Score 0–1
9%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 40%
Both scored
No
Model 46%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchHugo FélixTondela
7.9
  • RefereeAndre Filipe Domingues Narciso
  • VenueEstádio Municipal de Rio Maior
  • Table before kick-offCasa Pia 16th · Tondela 17th

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. J. LivolantYellow card
    49’
  3. Rafael BritoYellow card · misses next match
    51’
  4. CassianoRed card
    55’
  5. ⇄ Dailon LivramentoFor João Marques
    57’
  6. ⇄ L. OforiFor Rafael Brito
    58’
  7. ⇄ BebetoFor Cicero
    63’
  8. ⇄ Hélder TavaresFor Tiago Manso
    64’
  9. André GeraldesYellow card · misses next match
    65’
  10. Bebeto 0–1
    68’
  11. Pedro HenryqueYellow card
    70’
  12. ⇄ Tiago MoraisFor André Geraldes
    72’
  13. Christian MarquesYellow card
    75’
  14. Tiago MoraisYellow card
    85’
  15. ⇄ S. SitholeFor Pedro Henryque
    86’
  16. ⇄ KikiFor A. Conté
    86’
  17. ⇄ Kevin PrietoFor Gaizka Larrazabal
    86’
  18. ⇄ A. van der HeideFor Rony Lopes
    87’
  19. I. MohamedYellow card · misses next match
    90’
  20. ⇄ B. Mbunga KimpiokaFor M. Aïko
    90+5’
  21. João GoulartYellow card
    90+8’
  22. B. Mbunga KimpiokaYellow card
    90+9’
  23. Kevin PrietoYellow card
    90+9’
  24. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Casa Pia4 shots · 3 in box, 1 outside
Tondela8 shots · 4 in box, 4 outside
Casa PiaTondela
48% Possession 52%
0.45 Expected goals (xG) 1.11
0.78 Expected points (xPts) 1.89
4 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 5
0 Shots off target 3
1 Blocked shots 0
3 Shots inside the box 4
1 Shots outside the box 4
352 Passes 402
74% Pass accuracy 82%
7 Corners 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
21 Fouls 19
1 Offsides 2
7 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
6.66 Team rating 6.88

Line-ups

Casa Pia 3-4-3

17.5 P. Sequeira(G)
436.3 David Sousa 186.0 André Geraldes ↓72’ 46.6 João Goulart
57.2 A. Conté ↓86’ 86.5 Rafael Brito ↓58’ 246.5 I. Mohamed 726.3 Gaizka Larrazabal ↓86’
116.9 João Marques ↓57’ 905.9 Cassiano 297.2 J. Livolant
  • 1P. Sequeira (G)7.5
  • 43David Sousa6.3
  • 18André Geraldes↓72’6.0
  • 4João Goulart6.6
  • 5A. Conté↓86’7.2
  • 8Rafael Brito↓58’6.5
  • 24I. Mohamed6.5
  • 72Gaizka Larrazabal↓86’6.3
  • 11João Marques↓57’6.9
  • 90Cassiano5.9
  • 29J. Livolant7.2

Substitutes used

  • 80L. Ofori↑58’6.7
  • 19Kevin Prieto↑86’6.7
  • 21Tiago Morais↑72’6.2
  • 10Dailon Livramento↑57’6.9
  • 32Kiki↑86’6.9

Unused: Ivan Mandić, Kaly, S. Pérez, Claudio

Tondela 4-2-3-1

317.7 Bernardo Fontes(G)
276.3 Rodrigo Conceição 46.3 Christian Marques 447.2 João Silva 487.2 Tiago Manso ↓64’
327.0 Juan Rodríguez 976.9 Cicero ↓63’
906.7 M. Aïko ↓90’ 797.9★ Hugo Félix 76.2 Pedro Henryque ↓86’
166.7 Rony Lopes ↓87’
  • 31Bernardo Fontes (G)7.7
  • 27Rodrigo Conceição6.3
  • 4Christian Marques6.3
  • 44João Silva7.2
  • 48Tiago Manso↓64’7.2
  • 32Juan Rodríguez7.0
  • 97Cicero↓63’6.9
  • 90M. Aïko↓90’6.7
  • 79Hugo Félix ★7.9
  • 7Pedro Henryque↓86’6.2
  • 16Rony Lopes↓87’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 2Bebeto↑63’6.3
  • 15S. Sithole↑86’6.5
  • 8Hélder Tavares↑64’6.3
  • 23B. Mbunga Kimpioka↑90’
  • 26A. van der Heide↑87’6.2

Unused: Gabriel Souza, João Afonso, J. Hodge, J. Siebatcheu

Player stats

Top rated
Hugo FélixTondela7.9
2nd
Bernardo FontesTondela7.7
3rd
P. SequeiraCasa Pia7.5

Casa Pia

Tondela

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.