UEFA Europa League Knockout round play-offs Thu, Feb 26 2026 · 20:00 Abanca-Balaídos, Vigo
Celta Vigo
First leg2–1 1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.84 – 0.35
PAOK
  • W. Swedberg 63’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Swedberg goal decides it for Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a Swedberg goal. Celta Vigo finished with the higher xG (0.84 vs 0.35). On the chances created, PAOK deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Celta Vigo ✓60%
Draw24%
PAOK16%

Model vs reality

Celta Vigo goals
1
Model 1.82 · xG 0.84
PAOK goals
0
Model 0.84 · xG 0.35
Total goals
1
Model 2.66 · xG 1.19
Score 1–0
12%
Most likely 1–0 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 50%
Both scored
No
Model 48%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchW. SwedbergCelta Vigo · 1 goal
7.9
  • RefereeMarco Guida
  • Coaches— · R. Lucescu
  • VenueAbanca-Balaídos
  • Table before kick-offCelta Vigo 6th · PAOK 13th

Timeline

  1. I. MoribaYellow card · Delay of game
    40’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. ⇄ Miguel RománFor I. Moriba
    46’
  4. W. Swedberg 1–0Assist Iago Aspas
    63’
  5. ⇄ M. CamaraFor A. Bianco
    64’
  6. ⇄ Ferran JutglàFor Iago Aspas
    67’
  7. ⇄ G. TaylorFor D. Chatsidis
    74’
  8. ⇄ Fer LópezFor Borja Iglesias
    77’
  9. ⇄ Jones El-AbdellaouiFor W. Swedberg
    77’
  10. ⇄ A. JeremejeffFor G. Giakoumakis
    80’
  11. ⇄ Carlos DomínguezFor Marcos Alonso
    89’
  12. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Celta Vigo13 shots · 9 in box, 4 outside
PAOK4 shots · 3 in box, 1 outside
Celta VigoPAOK
55% Possession 45%
0.84 Expected goals (xG) 0.35
1.76 Expected points (xPts) 0.84
13 Shots 4
3 Shots on target 0
6 Shots off target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
9 Shots inside the box 3
4 Shots outside the box 1
547 Passes 450
92% Pass accuracy 84%
6 Corners 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Fouls 9
3 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
7.06 Team rating 6.65

Line-ups

Celta Vigo 3-4-2-1

136.9 I. Radu(G)
207.3 Marcos Alonso ↓89’ 27.0 C. Starfelt 327.5 Javi Rodríguez
57.2 Sergio Carreira 67.0 I. Moriba ↓46’ 156.5 M. Vecino 177.3 Javi Rueda
197.9★ W. Swedberg ↓77’ 106.3 Iago Aspas A↓67’
76.9 Borja Iglesias ↓77’
  • 13I. Radu (G)6.9
  • 20Marcos Alonso↓89’7.3
  • 2C. Starfelt7.0
  • 32Javi Rodríguez7.5
  • 5Sergio Carreira7.2
  • 6I. Moriba↓46’7.0
  • 15M. Vecino6.5
  • 17Javi Rueda7.3
  • 19W. Swedberg ★↓77’7.9
  • 10Iago AspasA↓67’6.3
  • 7Borja Iglesias↓77’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 16Miguel Román↑46’6.9
  • 9Ferran Jutglà↑67’6.7
  • 24Carlos Domínguez↑89’
  • 39Jones El-Abdellaoui↑77’6.5
  • 30Fer López↑77’6.7

Unused: Iván Villar, J. Aidoo, Manu Fernández, Alvaro Núñez, M. Ristić, Óscar Mingueza, Hugo Álvarez

PAOK 4-2-3-1

996.3 A. Tsiftsis(G)
216.3 A. Baba 57.3 G. Michailidis 166.9 T. Kędziora 36.3 J. Kenny
206.9 C. Zafeiris 276.5 M. Ozdoev
526.2 D. Chatsidis ↓74’ 226.2 A. Bianco ↓64’ 357.3 J. Sánchez
76.9 G. Giakoumakis ↓80’
  • 99A. Tsiftsis (G)6.3
  • 21A. Baba6.3
  • 5G. Michailidis7.3
  • 16T. Kędziora6.9
  • 3J. Kenny6.3
  • 20C. Zafeiris6.9
  • 27M. Ozdoev6.5
  • 52D. Chatsidis↓74’6.2
  • 22A. Bianco↓64’6.2
  • 35J. Sánchez7.3
  • 7G. Giakoumakis↓80’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 2M. Camara↑64’6.3
  • 32G. Taylor↑74’6.7
  • 19A. Jeremejeff↑80’6.3

Unused: D. Monastirlis, Vasilios Nikolakoulis, A. Vogliacco, K. Thymianis, Bedri Dunga, D. Berdos

Coach: R. Lucescu

Player stats

Top rated
W. SwedbergCelta Vigo7.9
2nd
Javi RodríguezCelta Vigo7.5
3rd
Marcos AlonsoCelta Vigo7.3

Celta Vigo

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
I. Radu G 90 0 0 0 sv 0 90% 21 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
Marcos Alonso D 89 0 0 1 (0) 0 91% 97 1 0 0/0 0/1 7.3
C. Starfelt D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 98% 103 1 0 0/0 1/0 7.0
Javi Rodríguez D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 92% 86 4 0 0/0 0/0 7.5
Sergio Carreira D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 45 1 2 1/4 0/4 7.2
I. Moriba M 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 96% 27 1 1 2/2 0/1 7.0
M. Vecino M 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 87% 46 1 0 0/1 4/1 6.5
Javi Rueda D 90 0 0 1 (0) 3 86% 37 2 2 2/4 1/1 7.3
W. Swedberg M 77 1 0 1 (1) 2 92% 12 2 0 1/1 1/0 7.9
Iago Aspas F 67 0 1 1 (1) 2 80% 25 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.3
Borja Iglesias F 77 0 0 1 (1) 1 86% 14 0 0 0/1 1/1 6.9
Miguel Román M 44 0 0 0 (0) 1 96% 24 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
Ferran Jutglà F 23 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.7
Carlos Domínguez D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Jones El-Abdellaoui F 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
Fer López M 13 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 6 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.7

PAOK

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
A. Tsiftsis G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 66% 35 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
A. Baba D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 45 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
G. Michailidis D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 87% 85 2 2 0/0 0/1 7.3
T. Kędziora D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 56 2 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
J. Kenny D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 49 2 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
C. Zafeiris M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 48 2 2 2/6 1/1 6.9
M. Ozdoev M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 84% 45 1 3 2/3 1/0 6.5
D. Chatsidis F 74 0 0 0 (0) 2 75% 8 1 0 0/3 0/1 6.2
A. Bianco M 64 0 0 0 (0) 0 70% 10 0 0 0/0 1/2 6.2
J. Sánchez D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 22 5 1 3/4 2/0 7.3
G. Giakoumakis F 80 0 0 1 (0) 0 79% 14 3 0 0/0 2/3 6.9
M. Camara M 26 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 18 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
G. Taylor D 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 8 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
A. Jeremejeff F 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 43% 7 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.