Cercle Brugge
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Cercle Brugge were slight favourites.
The two sides are close in strength. Cercle Brugge had 8.1 days of rest, KVC Westerlo 8 and had to travel 119 km.
Away travel119 kmRest days8.1 · 8Matches / 14d1 · 1
Cercle Brugge47%
Draw27%
KVC Westerlo26%
Cercle Brugge47%
Draw26%
KVC Westerlo26%
Cercle Brugge47%
Draw27%
KVC Westerlo26%
Cercle Brugge40%
Draw28%
KVC Westerlo33%
Cercle Brugge48%
Draw26%
KVC Westerlo26%
Over 2.5 49%
Both score 53%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Brugge)
No weather data yet
RefereeAnthony Letellier
Team strength
Cercle Brugge
KVC Westerlo
25
L90 StrengthIn forecast
21
21
Current StrengthIn forecast
33
24
AttackIn forecast
42
28
DefenceIn forecast
32
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisKVC Westerlo
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Cercle BruggeKVC Westerlo
0.00
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.67
1.33
Goals concededVia Att/Def
2.33
0.86
xGVia Att/Def
1.27
1.32
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.25
-0.86
Goals minus xGContext
+0.40
0%
Scored inContext
67%
33%
Clean sheetsContext
0%
10.67
ShotsContext
13.67
2.00
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.00
19%
On target shareContext
29%
7.67
Shots in the boxContext
9.67
73%
Box shareContext
73%
0%
ConversionContext
12%
2.33
OffsidesContext
—
10.33
Shots allowedContext
14.00
4.00
On target allowedVia Att/Def
5.67
2.00
BlocksContext
5.50
2.33
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.33
58%
Save rateContext
59%
45%
PossessionIn forecast
49%
344
PassesContext
392
261
Accurate passesContext
320
76%
Pass accuracyContext
82%
6.76
Team ratingContext
6.81
10.33
FoulsContext
9.67
16.00
Fouls sufferedContext
10.33
2.33
Yellow cardsContext
1.33
0.33
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.00
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.10
1.20
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.90
1.14
xGVia Att/Def
1.27
1.42
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.25
-0.14
Goals minus xGContext
-0.17
50%
Scored inContext
60%
40%
Clean sheetsContext
0%
12.90
ShotsContext
13.30
4.50
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.10
35%
On target shareContext
31%
9.20
Shots in the boxContext
8.90
72%
Box shareContext
68%
8%
ConversionContext
8%
2.00
OffsidesContext
1.83
11.70
Shots allowedContext
12.10
4.10
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.80
3.22
BlocksContext
4.38
2.60
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.11
63%
Save rateContext
51%
46%
PossessionIn forecast
50%
324
PassesContext
430
224
Accurate passesContext
349
69%
Pass accuracyContext
81%
6.94
Team ratingContext
6.84
12.30
FoulsContext
9.90
13.50
Fouls sufferedContext
10.80
1.70
Yellow cardsContext
1.30
0.10
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Cercle Brugge
Rest8.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
KVC Westerlo
Rest8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel119 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Cercle Brugge |
KVC Westerlo |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 8.1Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 9 Aug | 8Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 9 Aug |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 119 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 1 / 3 | 0 / 1 / 3 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 6 | 13 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Cercle Brugge
Confirmed XI
21M. Delanghe(G)
20Flávio Nazinho
66C. Ravych
5Emmanuel Kakou
15G. Magnée
37E. Diop
28H. Van der Bruggen
18P. Gerkens
6L. Agyekum
11A. Minda
9S. Ngoura
KVC Westerlo
Confirmed XI
99A. Jungdal(G)
25T. Rommens
33R. Neustädter
40E. Bayram
22B. Reynolds
39T. Van den Keybus
34D. Haspolat
77J. Alcócer
13I. Sakamoto
18G. Yow
90Nacho Ferri
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Cercle Brugge
Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
KVC Westerlo
Scores -0.02 · concedes 0.00 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Cercle Brugge+0.1 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- KVC Westerlo-0.1 pp
Home / Away this season
Cercle Brugge · Home
0.00points per game · 1 home games
- W-D-L
- 0-0-1
- Scored
- 0.00
- Conceded
- 2.00
KVC Westerlo · Away
0.00points per game · 1 away games
- W-D-L
- 0-0-1
- Scored
- 2.00
- Conceded
- 5.00
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 1 this season
| Opponent | Cercle Brugge | KVC Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht | L 0–2 H | L 2–5 A |
| Points | 0 of 3 · 0.00 per game | 0 of 3 · 0.00 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings
1 Cercle Brugge wins0 draws1 KVC Westerlo wins
Goals per game2.00 – 2.50
Over 2.5100%
Both scored100%
Clean sheets0% · 0%
- 30 Jan 2024KVC Westerlo4–2Cercle Brugge
- 2 Sep 2023Cercle Brugge2–1KVC Westerlo
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Cercle Brugge | KVC Westerlo | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.00 | 1.67 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.33 | 2.33 | |
| Match goals | 1.33 | 4.00 | 2.65 |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 67% | |
| Over 2.5 | 0% | 67% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 67% | |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 67% | 53% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 100% | 33% | |
| Games | 3 | 3 |
| Cercle Brugge | KVC Westerlo | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.00 | 1.67 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.33 | 2.33 | |
| Match goals | 1.33 | 4.00 | 2.65 |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 67% | |
| Over 2.5 | 0% | 67% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 67% | |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 67% | 53% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 100% | 33% | |
| Games | 3 | 3 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Cercle Brugge | KVC Westerlo | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.33 | 4.33 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.33 | 6.00 | |
| Match total | 8.66 | 10.33 | 9.29 |
| Over 8.5 | 33% 1/3 | 67% 2/3 | |
| Over 9.5 | 33% 1/3 | 67% 2/3 | |
| Over 10.5 | 33% 1/3 | 67% 2/3 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.67 | 1.33 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.33 | 2.00 | |
| Match total | 4.00 | 3.33 | 3.84 |
| Over 3.5 | 67% 2/3 | 33% 1/3 | |
| Over 4.5 | 33% 1/3 | 33% 1/3 | |
| Cercle Brugge | KVC Westerlo | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.80 | 5.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.50 | 5.00 | |
| Match total | 9.30 | 10.00 | 9.29 |
| Over 8.5 | 30% 3/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 30% 3/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 30% 3/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.00 | 1.30 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.10 | 2.00 | |
| Match total | 4.10 | 3.30 | 3.84 |
| Over 3.5 | 70% 7/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 30% 3/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Goal timing
Cercle Brugge3 games · scored 0 · conceded 4
1
0-15
16-30
31-45
1
46-60
1
61-75
1
76-90
KVC Westerlo3 games · scored 5 · conceded 7
2
0-15
2
16-30
1
31-45
2
46-60
2
61-75
1
2
76-90
Cercle Brugge10 games · scored 10 · conceded 12
2
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
4
61-75
3
4
76-90
KVC Westerlo10 games · scored 11 · conceded 19
3
4
0-15
2
16-30
1
4
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
4
61-75
4
3
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
