Premier League Gameweek 13 Sun, Nov 30 2025 · 16:30 Stamford Bridge, London
1–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.79 – 1.26
  • T. Chalobah 48’
  • M. Caicedo 38’
  • 59’ Mikel Merino
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Chelsea and Arsenal share the points

Arsenal entered as narrow favourites, yet Chelsea led 1–0 after 48 minutes through a Chalobah goal. But Merino scored to rescue a draw for Arsenal. Chelsea played with ten men from the 38th minute after Caicedo was sent off. Arsenal finished with the higher xG (1.26 vs 0.79).

Chelsea31%
Draw ✓25%
Arsenal44%

Model vs reality

Chelsea goals
1
Model 1.37 · xG 0.79
Arsenal goals
1
Model 1.66 · xG 1.26
Total goals
2
Model 3.03 · xG 2.05
Score 1–1
12%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 58%
Both scored
Yes
Model 61%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchRobert SánchezChelsea
8.3
  • RefereeAnthony Taylor
  • VenueStamford Bridge
  • Table before kick-offChelsea 4th · Arsenal 1st

Timeline

  1. Martín ZubimendiYellow card · Foul
    5’
  2. Marc CucurellaYellow card · Foul
    11’
  3. Cristhian MosqueraYellow card · Foul
    13’
  4. R. CalafioriYellow card · Foul
    27’
  5. VAR M. CaicedoCard upgrade
    37’
  6. M. CaicedoRed card · Foul
    38’
  7. P. HincapiéYellow card · Foul
    41’
  8. Half time · 0–0
  9. ⇄ A. GarnachoFor Estêvão
    46’
  10. ⇄ M. Lewis-SkellyFor R. Calafiori
    46’
  11. T. Chalobah 1–0Assist R. James
    48’
  12. M. Lewis-SkellyYellow card · Foul
    54’
  13. ⇄ L. DelapFor João Pedro
    55’
  14. ⇄ M. ØdegaardFor Martín Zubimendi
    57’
  15. ⇄ C. MaduekeFor Gabriel Martinelli
    57’
  16. Mikel Merino 1–1Assist B. Saka
    59’
  17. ⇄ V. GyökeresFor E. Eze
    72’
  18. V. GyökeresYellow card · Foul
    88’
  19. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Chelsea11 shots · 6 in box, 5 outside
Arsenal8 shots · 6 in box, 2 outside
ChelseaArsenal
38% Possession 62%
0.79 Expected goals (xG) 1.26
0.99 Expected points (xPts) 1.72
11 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 4
5 Shots off target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
6 Shots inside the box 6
5 Shots outside the box 2
279 Passes 463
80% Pass accuracy 84%
3 Corners 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 3
1 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 0
6.96 Team rating 6.96

Line-ups

Chelsea 4-2-3-1

18.3★ Robert Sánchez(G)
36.3 Marc Cucurella 237.9 T. Chalobah 296.9 W. Fofana 276.6 M. Gusto
255.9 M. Caicedo 247.6 R. James A
76.5 Pedro Neto 86.7 E. Fernández 416.3 Estêvão ↓46’
207.0 João Pedro ↓55’
  • 1Robert Sánchez (G) ★8.3
  • 3Marc Cucurella6.3
  • 23T. Chalobah7.9
  • 29W. Fofana6.9
  • 27M. Gusto6.6
  • 25M. Caicedo5.9
  • 24R. JamesA7.6
  • 7Pedro Neto6.5
  • 8E. Fernández6.7
  • 41Estêvão↓46’6.3
  • 20João Pedro↓55’7.0

Substitutes used

  • 49A. Garnacho↑46’6.6
  • 9L. Delap↑55’6.6

Unused: F. Jørgensen, B. Badiashile, C. Palmer, J. Gittens, Andrey Santos, T. Adarabioyo, J. Acheampong

Arsenal 4-3-3

17.5 David Raya(G)
337.0 R. Calafiori ↓46’ 56.9 P. Hincapié 36.9 Cristhian Mosquera 127.2 J. Timber
417.3 D. Rice 366.5 Martín Zubimendi ↓57’ 106.2 E. Eze ↓72’
116.5 Gabriel Martinelli ↓57’ 237.5 Mikel Merino 77.5 B. Saka A
  • 1David Raya (G)7.5
  • 33R. Calafiori↓46’7.0
  • 5P. Hincapié6.9
  • 3Cristhian Mosquera6.9
  • 12J. Timber7.2
  • 41D. Rice7.3
  • 36Martín Zubimendi↓57’6.5
  • 10E. Eze↓72’6.2
  • 11Gabriel Martinelli↓57’6.5
  • 23Mikel Merino7.5
  • 7B. SakaA7.5

Substitutes used

  • 8M. Ødegaard↑57’6.7
  • 14V. Gyökeres↑72’6.5
  • 20C. Madueke↑57’6.3
  • 49M. Lewis-Skelly↑46’6.0

Unused: Kepa, G. de Jesus, B. White, E. Nwaneri, C. Nørgaard

Player stats

Top rated
Robert SánchezChelsea8.3
2nd
T. ChalobahChelsea7.9
3rd
R. JamesChelsea7.6

Chelsea

Arsenal

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.