Premier League Gameweek 33 Sat, Apr 18 2026 · 20:00 Stamford Bridge, London
Chelsea
0–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.57 – 0.29
Manchester United
  • 43’ Matheus Cunha
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Cunha goal decides it for Manchester United

Chelsea entered as narrow favourites, but Manchester United won 1–0 through a Cunha goal. Manchester United won despite the lower xG; Chelsea created the better chances (1.57 vs 0.29). On the chances created, Chelsea deserved more: 2.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Chelsea45%
Draw23%
Manchester United ✓32%

Model vs reality

Chelsea goals
0
Model 1.88 · xG 1.57
Manchester United goals
1
Model 1.57 · xG 0.29
Total goals
1
Model 3.44 · xG 1.86
Score 0–1
5%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 67%
Both scored
No
Model 68%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchA. HeavenManchester United
8.0
  • RefereeMichael Oliver
  • VenueStamford Bridge
  • Table before kick-offChelsea 6th · Manchester United 3rd

Timeline

  1. ⇄ A. GarnachoFor Estêvão
    16’
  2. Matheus CunhaYellow card · Foul
    25’
  3. J. HatoYellow card · Foul
    39’
  4. Matheus Cunha 0–1Assist Bruno Fernandes
    43’
  5. Half time · 0–1
  6. ⇄ A. DialloFor B. Šeško
    80’
  7. ⇄ T. ChalobahFor W. Fofana
    81’
  8. ⇄ J. AcheampongFor M. Gusto
    81’
  9. ⇄ Mason MountFor Matheus Cunha
    81’
  10. ⇄ J. ZirkzeeFor B. Mbeumo
    87’
  11. ⇄ R. LaviaFor E. Fernández
    88’
  12. Mason MountYellow card · Argument
    90+1’
  13. K. MainooYellow card · Foul
    90+4’
  14. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Chelsea21 shots · 11 in box, 10 outside
Manchester United4 shots · 1 in box, 3 outside
ChelseaManchester United
59% Possession 41%
1.57 Expected goals (xG) 0.29
2.34 Expected points (xPts) 0.43
21 Shots 4
3 Shots on target 1
5 Shots off target 1
13 Blocked shots 2
11 Shots inside the box 1
10 Shots outside the box 3
605 Passes 431
89% Pass accuracy 84%
7 Corners 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.85 Team rating 7.09

Line-ups

Chelsea 4-2-3-1

16.3 Robert Sánchez(G)
36.3 Marc Cucurella 216.9 J. Hato 297.0 W. Fofana ↓81’ 277.0 M. Gusto ↓81’
87.7 E. Fernández ↓88’ 257.0 M. Caicedo
77.0 Pedro Neto 106.9 C. Palmer 416.7 Estêvão ↓16’
96.5 L. Delap
  • 1Robert Sánchez (G)6.3
  • 3Marc Cucurella6.3
  • 21J. Hato6.9
  • 29W. Fofana↓81’7.0
  • 27M. Gusto↓81’7.0
  • 8E. Fernández↓88’7.7
  • 25M. Caicedo7.0
  • 7Pedro Neto7.0
  • 10C. Palmer6.9
  • 41Estêvão↓16’6.7
  • 9L. Delap6.5

Substitutes used

  • 23T. Chalobah↑81’6.7
  • 49A. Garnacho↑16’6.9
  • 45R. Lavia↑88’
  • 34J. Acheampong↑81’6.7

Unused: T. Sharman-Lowe, Andrey Santos, Marc Guiu, T. Adarabioyo, Dário Essugo

Manchester United 4-2-3-1

317.2 S. Lammens(G)
237.2 L. Shaw 268.0★ A. Heaven 36.9 N. Mazraoui 27.2 Diogo Dalot
377.0 K. Mainoo 187.2 Casemiro
107.5 Matheus Cunha ↓81’ 87.2 Bruno Fernandes A 196.3 B. Mbeumo ↓87’
306.3 B. Šeško ↓80’
  • 31S. Lammens (G)7.2
  • 23L. Shaw7.2
  • 26A. Heaven ★8.0
  • 3N. Mazraoui6.9
  • 2Diogo Dalot7.2
  • 37K. Mainoo7.0
  • 18Casemiro7.2
  • 10Matheus Cunha↓81’7.5
  • 8Bruno FernandesA7.2
  • 19B. Mbeumo↓87’6.3
  • 30B. Šeško↓80’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 7Mason Mount↑81’6.7
  • 11J. Zirkzee↑87’6.6
  • 16A. Diallo↑80’6.7

Unused: A. Bayındır, Jim Thwaites, T. Malacia, M. Ugarte, Tyler Fletcher, Shea Lacey

Player stats

Top rated
A. HeavenManchester United8.0
2nd
E. FernándezChelsea7.7
3rd
Matheus CunhaManchester United7.5

Chelsea

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Robert Sánchez G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 76% 34 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
Marc Cucurella D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 93% 45 1 5 0/0 3/1 6.3
J. Hato D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 84 2 0 1/1 2/1 6.9
W. Fofana D 81 0 0 1 (1) 0 95% 78 0 1 0/0 0/0 7.0
M. Gusto D 81 0 0 0 (0) 3 86% 56 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
E. Fernández M 88 0 0 2 (1) 5 89% 81 1 3 0/1 0/0 7.7
M. Caicedo M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 93% 85 2 1 0/0 1/1 7.0
Pedro Neto F 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 84% 45 1 0 0/0 3/0 7.0
C. Palmer M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 97% 30 1 0 1/3 0/1 6.9
Estêvão F 16 0 0 2 (1) 0 0% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
L. Delap F 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 89% 9 0 0 0/1 2/2 6.5
T. Chalobah D 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 13 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
A. Garnacho F 74 0 0 0 (0) 2 82% 38 1 0 3/6 0/4 6.9
R. Lavia M 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 1/1 —
J. Acheampong D 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7

Manchester United

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
S. Lammens G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 72% 32 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
L. Shaw D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 30 1 1 0/0 1/3 7.2
A. Heaven D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 54 2 0 1/1 2/1 8.0
N. Mazraoui D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 49 2 0 0/0 3/3 6.9
Diogo Dalot D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 32 3 0 0/1 0/2 7.2
K. Mainoo M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 55 3 3 0/0 1/0 7.0
Casemiro M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 47 3 1 0/1 1/0 7.2
Matheus Cunha F 81 1 0 1 (1) 1 95% 21 0 1 0/0 2/0 7.5
Bruno Fernandes M 90 0 1 1 (0) 3 78% 60 1 0 0/0 1/1 7.2
B. Mbeumo M 87 0 0 0 (0) 0 69% 26 0 0 0/2 1/1 6.3
B. Šeško F 80 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 11 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.3
Mason Mount M 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 9 1 0 0/1 1/0 6.7
J. Zirkzee F 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
A. Diallo F 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.