Premier League Gameweek 35 Mon, May 4 2026 · 15:00 Stamford Bridge, London
1–3 Full time · HT 0–2 xG 2.15 – 2.05
  • João Pedro 90’
  • 2’, 52’ T. Awoniyi
  • 15’ (P) Igor Jesus
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Nottingham Forest beat Chelsea

Nottingham Forest won 3–1 through goals from Awoniyi and Jesus. Chelsea replied through a Pedro goal. The chances were even, with xG of 2.15 and 2.05. On the chances created, Chelsea deserved more: 1.5 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Chelsea38%
Draw25%
Nottingham Forest ✓37%

Model vs reality

Chelsea goals
1
Model 1.54 · xG 2.15
Nottingham Forest goals
3
Model 1.50 · xG 2.05
Total goals
4
Model 3.04 · xG 4.20
Score 1–3
4%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 59%
Both scored
Yes
Model 62%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchT. AwoniyiNottingham Forest · 2 goals
8.7
  • RefereeAnthony Taylor
  • VenueStamford Bridge
  • Table before kick-offChelsea 9th · Nottingham Forest 16th

Timeline

  1. T. Awoniyi 0–1Assist D. Bakwa
    2’
  2. MoratoYellow card · Foul
    10’
  3. VAR T. AwoniyiPenalty confirmed
    13’
  4. M. GustoYellow card · Foul
    14’
  5. Igor Jesus (pen) 0–2
    15’
  6. ⇄ N. WilliamsFor Z. Abbott
    45+5’
  7. ⇄ L. DelapFor Jesse Derry
    45+9’
  8. Half time · 0–2
  9. ⇄ L. ColwillFor T. Adarabioyo
    46’
  10. ⇄ N. MilenkovićFor Jair
    46’
  11. ⇄ M. Gibbs-WhiteFor Igor Jesus
    46’
  12. ⇄ E. AndersonFor N. Domínguez
    46’
  13. T. Awoniyi 0–3Assist M. Gibbs-White
    52’
  14. ⇄ Andrey SantosFor R. Lavia
    58’
  15. ⇄ F. JørgensenFor Robert Sánchez
    66’
  16. VAR João PedroGoal cancelled
    75’
  17. L. DelapYellow card · Argument
    78’
  18. M. CaicedoYellow card · Foul
    78’
  19. ⇄ O. HutchinsonFor D. Bakwa
    80’
  20. João Pedro 1–3Assist Marc Cucurella
    90’
  21. Full time · 1–3

Team stats

Chelsea21 shots · 12 in box, 9 outside
Nottingham Forest6 shots · 6 in box, 1 outside
ChelseaNottingham Forest
67% Possession 33%
2.15 Expected goals (xG) 2.05
1.46 Expected points (xPts) 1.34
21 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 4
8 Shots off target 1
8 Blocked shots 1
12 Shots inside the box 6
9 Shots outside the box 1
659 Passes 334
91% Pass accuracy 80%
10 Corners 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
12 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 2
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.61 Team rating 7.09

Line-ups

Chelsea 4-2-3-1

16.2 Robert Sánchez(G) ↓66’
36.2 Marc Cucurella A 46.2 T. Adarabioyo ↓46’ 236.2 T. Chalobah 275.9 M. Gusto
257.0 M. Caicedo 456.9 R. Lavia ↓58’
556.6 Jesse Derry ↓45’ 87.5 E. Fernández 105.9 C. Palmer
207.9 João Pedro
  • 1Robert Sánchez (G)↓66’6.2
  • 3Marc CucurellaA6.2
  • 4T. Adarabioyo↓46’6.2
  • 23T. Chalobah6.2
  • 27M. Gusto5.9
  • 25M. Caicedo7.0
  • 45R. Lavia↓58’6.9
  • 55Jesse Derry↓45’6.6
  • 8E. Fernández7.5
  • 10C. Palmer5.9
  • 20João Pedro7.9

Substitutes used

  • 12F. Jørgensen (G)↑66’6.3
  • 6L. Colwill↑46’6.7
  • 17Andrey Santos↑58’7.2
  • 9L. Delap↑45’6.2

Unused: R. James, W. Fofana, Dário Essugo, J. Hato, J. Acheampong

Nottingham Forest 4-4-2

267.5 M. Sels(G)
256.9 L. Netz 46.6 Morato 237.3 Jair ↓46’ 446.5 Z. Abbott ↓45’
246.3 J. McAtee 167.0 N. Domínguez ↓46’ 226.9 R. Yates 297.5 D. Bakwa A↓80’
98.7★ T. Awoniyi 196.9 Igor Jesus ↓46’
  • 26M. Sels (G)7.5
  • 25L. Netz6.9
  • 4Morato6.6
  • 23Jair↓46’7.3
  • 44Z. Abbott↓45’6.5
  • 24J. McAtee6.3
  • 16N. Domínguez↓46’7.0
  • 22R. Yates6.9
  • 29D. BakwaA↓80’7.5
  • 9T. Awoniyi ★8.7
  • 19Igor Jesus↓46’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 31N. Milenković↑46’6.7
  • 10M. Gibbs-WhiteA↑46’7.3
  • 3N. Williams↑45’6.5
  • 8E. Anderson↑46’7.2
  • 21O. Hutchinson↑80’6.3

Unused: S. Ortega, C. Wood, E. da Silva Moreira, L. Lucca

Player stats

Top rated
T. AwoniyiNottingham Forest8.7
2nd
João PedroChelsea7.9
3rd
E. FernándezChelsea7.5

Chelsea

Nottingham Forest

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.