Serie A Gameweek 27 Sun, Mar 1 2026 · 11:30 Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
0–2 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.91 – 2.78
  • 90’ S. Pavlović
  • 90+4’ Rafael Leão
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

AC Milan beat Cremonese

AC Milan entered as favourites and won 2–0 through goals from Pavlović and Leão. AC Milan finished with the higher xG (2.78 vs 0.91).

Cremonese18%
Draw25%
AC Milan ✓57%

Model vs reality

Cremonese goals
0
Model 0.81 · xG 0.91
AC Milan goals
2
Model 1.67 · xG 2.78
Total goals
2
Model 2.48 · xG 3.69
Score 0–2
12%
Most likely 0–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 45%
Both scored
No
Model 46%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchL. ModrićAC Milan · 1 assist
8.3
  • RefereeDavide Massa
  • CoachesD. Nicola · —
  • VenueStadio Giovanni Zini
  • Table before kick-offCremonese 17th · AC Milan 2nd

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. ⇄ S. RicciFor Y. Fofana
    62’
  3. ⇄ N. FüllkrugFor A. Saelemaekers
    62’
  4. ⇄ F. TerraccianoFor M. Bianchetti
    66’
  5. ⇄ M. ĐurićFor J. Vardy
    66’
  6. ⇄ T. BarbieriFor A. Zerbin
    66’
  7. F. TerraccianoYellow card
    76’
  8. ⇄ C. NkunkuFor C. Pulišić
    78’
  9. ⇄ Z. AthekameFor O. Tomori
    78’
  10. ⇄ A. GrassiFor J. Vandeputte
    82’
  11. Y. MalehYellow card · Foul
    85’
  12. ⇄ P. EstupiñánFor D. Bartesaghi
    89’
  13. S. Pavlović 0–1Assist L. Modrić
    90’
  14. Rafael Leão 0–2Assist C. Nkunku
    90+4’
  15. Full time · 0–2

Team stats

Cremonese15 shots · 10 in box, 5 outside
AC Milan20 shots · 15 in box, 5 outside
CremoneseAC Milan
46% Possession 54%
0.91 Expected goals (xG) 2.78
0.43 Expected points (xPts) 2.43
15 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 6
7 Shots off target 9
5 Blocked shots 5
10 Shots inside the box 15
5 Shots outside the box 5
368 Passes 437
81% Pass accuracy 85%
6 Corners 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
14 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 3
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.71 Team rating 7.20

Line-ups

Cremonese 3-5-2

17.3 E. Audero(G)
56.3 S. Luperto 557.0 F. Folino 157.3 M. Bianchetti ↓66’
36.6 G. Pezzella 296.2 Y. Maleh 277.2 J. Vandeputte ↓82’ 26.3 M. Thorsby 76.2 A. Zerbin ↓66’
106.7 J. Vardy ↓66’ 907.2 F. Bonazzoli
  • 1E. Audero (G)7.3
  • 5S. Luperto6.3
  • 55F. Folino7.0
  • 15M. Bianchetti↓66’7.3
  • 3G. Pezzella6.6
  • 29Y. Maleh6.2
  • 27J. Vandeputte↓82’7.2
  • 2M. Thorsby6.3
  • 7A. Zerbin↓66’6.2
  • 10J. Vardy↓66’6.7
  • 90F. Bonazzoli7.2

Substitutes used

  • 24F. Terracciano↑66’6.0
  • 4T. Barbieri↑66’5.9
  • 9M. Đurić↑66’6.9
  • 33A. Grassi↑82’6.5

Unused: M. Silvestri, L. Nava, F. Ceccherini, M. Faye, W. Bondo, R. Floriani Mussolini, M. Payero, A. Sanabria

Coach: D. Nicola

AC Milan 3-5-2

167.2 M. Maignan(G)
317.7 S. Pavlović 57.2 K. De Winter 237.2 O. Tomori ↓78’
337.2 D. Bartesaghi ↓89’ 127.7 A. Rabiot 148.3★ L. Modrić A 197.3 Y. Fofana ↓62’ 566.7 A. Saelemaekers ↓62’
106.7 Rafael Leão 116.5 C. Pulišić ↓78’
  • 16M. Maignan (G)7.2
  • 31S. Pavlović7.7
  • 5K. De Winter7.2
  • 23O. Tomori↓78’7.2
  • 33D. Bartesaghi↓89’7.2
  • 12A. Rabiot7.7
  • 14L. Modrić ★A8.3
  • 19Y. Fofana↓62’7.3
  • 56A. Saelemaekers↓62’6.7
  • 10Rafael Leão6.7
  • 11C. Pulišić↓78’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 4S. Ricci↑62’6.6
  • 9N. Füllkrug↑62’6.2
  • 24Z. Athekame↑78’6.2
  • 2P. Estupiñán↑89’
  • 18C. NkunkuA↑78’6.9

Unused: P. Terracciano, M. Pittarella, D. Odogu, A. Jashari

Player stats

Top rated
L. ModrićAC Milan8.3
2nd
S. PavlovićAC Milan7.7
3rd
A. RabiotAC Milan7.7

Cremonese

AC Milan

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.