Premier League Gameweek 38 Sun, May 24 2026 · 16:00 Selhurst Park, London
1–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 0.98 – 2.53
  • J. Mateta 89’
  • 42’ G. de Jesus
  • 48’ C. Madueke
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Arsenal beat Crystal Palace

Arsenal entered as narrow favourites and won 2–1 through goals from de Jesus and Madueke. Crystal Palace replied through a Mateta goal. Arsenal finished with the higher xG (2.53 vs 0.98).

Crystal Palace27%
Draw27%
Arsenal ✓46%

Model vs reality

Crystal Palace goals
1
Model 1.14 · xG 0.98
Arsenal goals
2
Model 1.55 · xG 2.53
Total goals
3
Model 2.68 · xG 3.51
Score 1–2
9%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 50%
Both scored
Yes
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchC. MaduekeArsenal · 1 goal
7.7
  • RefereeFarai Hallam
  • VenueSelhurst Park
  • Table before kick-offCrystal Palace 15th · Arsenal 1st

Timeline

  1. G. de Jesus 0–1Assist Gabriel Martinelli
    42’
  2. Half time · 0–1
  3. ⇄ T. MitchellFor D. Muñoz
    46’
  4. ⇄ Yeremy PinoFor I. Sarr
    46’
  5. ⇄ A. WhartonFor Daichi Kamada
    46’
  6. ⇄ K. HavertzFor C. Nørgaard
    46’
  7. ⇄ Gabriel MagalhãesFor R. Calafiori
    46’
  8. C. Madueke 0–2Assist K. Havertz
    48’
  9. ⇄ Mikel MerinoFor M. Dowman
    62’
  10. G. de JesusYellow card · Foul
    74’
  11. ⇄ E. EzeFor G. de Jesus
    75’
  12. ⇄ J. MatetaFor J. Strand Larsen
    77’
  13. ⇄ V. GyökeresFor C. Madueke
    83’
  14. J. Mateta 1–2Assist Yeremy Pino
    89’
  15. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

Crystal Palace8 shots · 8 in box
Arsenal17 shots · 14 in box, 3 outside
Crystal PalaceArsenal
40% Possession 60%
0.98 Expected goals (xG) 2.53
0.54 Expected points (xPts) 2.29
8 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 7
3 Shots off target 6
2 Blocked shots 4
8 Shots inside the box 14
0 Shots outside the box 3
328 Passes 518
80% Pass accuracy 89%
3 Corners 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 0
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.80 Team rating 6.92

Line-ups

Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1

17.5 D. Henderson(G)
346.6 C. Riad 86.5 J. Lerma 176.2 N. Clyne
596.9 Rio Cardines 186.6 Daichi Kamada ↓46’ 197.2 W. Hughes 26.3 D. Muñoz ↓46’
76.6 I. Sarr ↓46’ 557.2 J. Devenny
226.2 J. Strand Larsen ↓77’
  • 1D. Henderson (G)7.5
  • 34C. Riad6.6
  • 8J. Lerma6.5
  • 17N. Clyne6.2
  • 59Rio Cardines6.9
  • 18Daichi Kamada↓46’6.6
  • 19W. Hughes7.2
  • 2D. Muñoz↓46’6.3
  • 7I. Sarr↓46’6.6
  • 55J. Devenny7.2
  • 22J. Strand Larsen↓77’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 14J. Mateta↑77’7.3
  • 3T. Mitchell↑46’6.9
  • 10Yeremy PinoA↑46’7.5
  • 20A. Wharton↑46’6.7

Unused: W. Benítez, M. Lacroix, B. Johnson, J. Canvot, E. Guessand

Arsenal 4-2-3-1

137.0 Kepa(G)
336.9 R. Calafiori ↓46’ 56.5 P. Hincapié 37.3 Cristhian Mosquera 366.6 Martín Zubimendi
496.9 M. Lewis-Skelly 166.3 C. Nørgaard ↓46’
117.3 Gabriel Martinelli A 566.5 M. Dowman ↓62’ 207.7★ C. Madueke ↓83’
97.2 G. de Jesus ↓75’
  • 13Kepa (G)7.0
  • 33R. Calafiori↓46’6.9
  • 5P. Hincapié6.5
  • 3Cristhian Mosquera7.3
  • 36Martín Zubimendi6.6
  • 49M. Lewis-Skelly6.9
  • 16C. Nørgaard↓46’6.3
  • 11Gabriel MartinelliA7.3
  • 56M. Dowman↓62’6.5
  • 20C. Madueke ★↓83’7.7
  • 9G. de Jesus↓75’7.2

Substitutes used

  • 14V. Gyökeres↑83’6.6
  • 29K. HavertzA↑46’6.9
  • 23Mikel Merino↑62’6.2
  • 6Gabriel Magalhães↑46’6.7
  • 10E. Eze↑75’6.9

Unused: T. Setford, M. Ødegaard, B. Saka, D. Rice

Player stats

Top rated
C. MaduekeArsenal7.7
2nd
D. HendersonCrystal Palace7.5
3rd
Yeremy PinoCrystal Palace7.5

Crystal Palace

Arsenal

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.