Premier League Gameweek 26 Wed, Feb 11 2026 · 19:30 Selhurst Park, London
Crystal Palace
2–3 Full time · HT 2–3 xG 1.80 – 0.53
Burnley
  • J. Strand Larsen 17’, 33’
  • 40’ H. Mejbri
  • 44’ J. Anthony
  • 45’ (OG) J. Lerma
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Burnley come from two goals down to win

Crystal Palace entered as clear favourites and led 2–0 after 33 minutes through two Larsen goals. But Mejbri, Anthony and an own goal scored to turn it around for Burnley, who won 3–2. Burnley won despite the lower xG; Crystal Palace created the better chances (1.80 vs 0.53). On the chances created, Crystal Palace deserved more: 2.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Crystal Palace63%
Draw21%
Burnley ✓15%

Model vs reality

Crystal Palace goals
2
Model 2.07 · xG 1.80
Burnley goals
3
Model 0.92 · xG 0.53
Total goals
5
Model 2.99 · xG 2.33
Score 2–3
1%
Most likely 2–0 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 57%
Both scored
Yes
Model 53%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. Strand LarsenCrystal Palace · 2 goals
8.7
  • RefereeFarai Hallam
  • VenueSelhurst Park
  • Table before kick-offCrystal Palace 13th · Burnley 19th

Timeline

  1. J. Strand Larsen 1–0Assist A. Wharton
    17’
  2. J. Strand Larsen 2–0Assist J. Lerma
    33’
  3. Chris RichardsYellow card · Foul
    35’
  4. J. LermaYellow card · Foul
    36’
  5. H. Mejbri 2–1Assist M. Edwards
    40’
  6. J. Anthony 2–2Assist L. Ugochukwu
    44’
  7. J. Lerma (own goal) 2–3
    45’
  8. Half time · 2–3
  9. ⇄ C. RiadFor J. Lerma
    46’
  10. ⇄ B. JohnsonFor E. Guessand
    58’
  11. ⇄ W. HughesFor D. Muñoz
    72’
  12. ⇄ Yeremy PinoFor Daichi Kamada
    72’
  13. ⇄ J. Bruun LarsenFor M. Edwards
    73’
  14. ⇄ L. FosterFor Z. Flemming
    73’
  15. H. MejbriYellow card · Time wasting
    74’
  16. ⇄ C. UcheFor A. Wharton
    83’
  17. ⇄ J. Ward-ProwseFor H. Mejbri
    83’
  18. ⇄ FlorentinoFor L. Ugochukwu
    87’
  19. Full time · 2–3

Team stats

Crystal Palace21 shots · 15 in box, 6 outside
Burnley8 shots · 4 in box, 4 outside
Crystal PalaceBurnley
65% Possession 35%
1.80 Expected goals (xG) 0.53
2.26 Expected points (xPts) 0.52
21 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 3
7 Shots off target 4
11 Blocked shots 1
15 Shots inside the box 4
6 Shots outside the box 4
572 Passes 316
81% Pass accuracy 67%
8 Corners 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
11 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.76 Team rating 6.75

Line-ups

Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1

16.7 D. Henderson(G)
266.0 Chris Richards 56.5 M. Lacroix 85.9 J. Lerma A↓46’
36.3 T. Mitchell 186.9 Daichi Kamada ↓72’ 207.0 A. Wharton A↓83’ 27.6 D. Muñoz ↓72’
296.3 E. Guessand ↓58’ 76.0 I. Sarr
228.7★ J. Strand Larsen
  • 1D. Henderson (G)6.7
  • 26Chris Richards6.0
  • 5M. Lacroix6.5
  • 8J. LermaA↓46’5.9
  • 3T. Mitchell6.3
  • 18Daichi Kamada↓72’6.9
  • 20A. WhartonA↓83’7.0
  • 2D. Muñoz↓72’7.6
  • 29E. Guessand↓58’6.3
  • 7I. Sarr6.0
  • 22J. Strand Larsen ★8.7

Substitutes used

  • 19W. Hughes↑72’6.6
  • 11B. Johnson↑58’7.2
  • 12C. Uche↑83’6.3
  • 10Yeremy Pino↑72’6.6
  • 34C. Riad↑46’6.9

Unused: W. Benítez, N. Clyne, B. Sosa, J. Devenny

Burnley 3-4-2-1

16.5 M. Dúbravka(G)
56.7 M. Estève 46.2 J. Worrall 296.0 J. Laurent
127.0 B. Humphreys 288.3 H. Mejbri ↓83’ 86.6 L. Ugochukwu A↓87’ 25.9 K. Walker
118.0 J. Anthony 106.6 M. Edwards A↓73’
196.6 Z. Flemming ↓73’
  • 1M. Dúbravka (G)6.5
  • 5M. Estève6.7
  • 4J. Worrall6.2
  • 29J. Laurent6.0
  • 12B. Humphreys7.0
  • 28H. Mejbri↓83’8.3
  • 8L. UgochukwuA↓87’6.6
  • 2K. Walker5.9
  • 11J. Anthony8.0
  • 10M. EdwardsA↓73’6.6
  • 19Z. Flemming↓73’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 20J. Ward-Prowse↑83’6.9
  • 7J. Bruun Larsen↑73’6.9
  • 16Florentino↑87’6.9
  • 9L. Foster↑73’6.3

Unused: Max Weiss, L. Tchaouna, Lucas Pires, A. Barnes, H. Ekdal

Player stats

Top rated
J. Strand LarsenCrystal Palace8.7
2nd
H. MejbriBurnley8.3
3rd
J. AnthonyBurnley8.0

Crystal Palace

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Henderson G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 71% 28 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
Chris Richards D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 86% 64 2 1 0/0 1/0 6.0
M. Lacroix D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 90% 88 0 3 0/0 1/1 6.5
J. Lerma M 46 0 1 0 (0) 1 94% 32 1 1 0/0 1/0 5.9
T. Mitchell D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 69% 32 2 0 0/1 1/3 6.3
Daichi Kamada M 72 0 0 1 (0) 2 83% 46 2 0 1/1 0/0 6.9
A. Wharton M 83 0 1 0 (0) 1 76% 67 2 1 0/1 1/0 7.0
D. Muñoz D 72 0 0 1 (0) 5 87% 52 1 0 0/0 1/0 7.6
E. Guessand F 58 0 0 1 (0) 0 76% 25 2 1 1/2 0/1 6.3
I. Sarr F 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 63% 27 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.0
J. Strand Larsen F 90 2 0 2 (2) 0 69% 26 0 1 0/0 2/1 8.7
W. Hughes M 18 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 17 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
B. Johnson F 32 0 0 1 (0) 1 73% 11 0 0 0/1 0/1 7.2
C. Uche M 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.3
Yeremy Pino M 18 0 0 0 (0) 2 78% 9 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
C. Riad D 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 44 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.9

Burnley

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Dúbravka G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 45% 31 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
M. Estève D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 69% 36 2 1 1/1 0/0 6.7
J. Worrall D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 28 0 1 0/0 1/0 6.2
J. Laurent M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 71% 38 2 0 0/0 3/0 6.0
B. Humphreys D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 64% 39 1 0 2/4 0/1 7.0
H. Mejbri M 83 1 0 1 (1) 0 68% 28 3 0 1/1 0/5 8.3
L. Ugochukwu M 87 0 1 0 (0) 1 74% 19 3 2 0/0 1/0 6.6
K. Walker D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 59% 32 0 2 0/0 0/0 5.9
J. Anthony F 90 1 0 2 (1) 2 86% 22 2 0 1/4 0/1 8.0
M. Edwards F 73 0 1 0 (0) 2 78% 23 1 0 0/1 0/1 6.6
Z. Flemming M 73 0 0 1 (0) 0 40% 10 0 0 0/1 2/1 6.6
J. Ward-Prowse M 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
J. Bruun Larsen F 17 0 0 1 (0) 0 33% 3 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
Florentino M 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.9
L. Foster F 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 33% 3 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.