Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sat, Mar 7 2026 · 17:15 DENDER Football Complex, Denderleeuw
First leg1–3 2–2 Full time · HT 2–1 xG 2.02 – 2.38
  • R. Květ 21’
  • D. Hrnčár 39’
  • 6’ A. Scheidler
  • 78’ A. Colassin
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Dender and Charleroi share the points

Dender entered as narrow favourites, yet Charleroi led 1–0 after 6 minutes through a Scheidler goal. But Květ and Hrnčár scored to rescue a draw for Dender. Charleroi finished with the higher xG (2.38 vs 2.02).

Dender41%
Draw ✓27%
Charleroi32%

Model vs reality

Dender goals
2
Model 1.48 · xG 2.02
Charleroi goals
2
Model 1.29 · xG 2.38
Total goals
4
Model 2.77 · xG 4.40
Score 2–2
6%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 52%
Both scored
Yes
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. SambuDender · 1 assist
8.7
  • RefereeJan Boterberg
  • CoachesHayk Milkon · —
  • VenueDENDER Football Complex
  • Table before kick-offDender 16th · Charleroi 11th

Timeline

  1. A. Scheidler 0–1Assist P. Guiagon
    6’
  2. R. Květ 1–1Assist M. Sambu
    21’
  3. ⇄ B. De KerfFor L. De Fougerolles
    33’
  4. D. Hrnčár 2–1Assist N. Mbamba
    39’
  5. Half time · 2–1
  6. ⇄ P. PflückeFor É. Camara
    46’
  7. ⇄ A. ColassinFor A. Bernier
    62’
  8. ⇄ K. KotońFor N. Moutha-Sebtaoui
    68’
  9. ⇄ Mohamed BerteFor David Toševski
    68’
  10. ⇄ M. ViltardFor A. Jahanbakhsh
    68’
  11. ✕ P. GuiagonMissed penalty
    75’
  12. A. Colassin 2–2Assist J. Romsaas
    78’
  13. ⇄ J. Attah KadiriFor D. Hrnčár
    83’
  14. ⇄ F. SzymczakFor P. Guiagon
    90+2’
  15. Y. TitraouiYellow card
    90+3’
  16. Full time · 2–2

Team stats

Dender14 shots · 11 in box, 3 outside
Charleroi22 shots · 15 in box, 7 outside
DenderCharleroi
43% Possession 57%
2.02 Expected goals (xG) 2.38
1.20 Expected points (xPts) 1.60
14 Shots 22
4 Shots on target 7
3 Shots off target 7
7 Blocked shots 8
11 Shots inside the box 15
3 Shots outside the box 7
319 Passes 403
72% Pass accuracy 82%
5 Corners 13
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 0
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.23 Team rating 6.99

Line-ups

Dender 4-2-3-1

937.7 G. Gallon(G)
676.0 N. Moutha-Sebtaoui ↓68’ 77.2 B. Goncalves 446.5 L. De Fougerolles ↓33’ 708.7★ M. Sambu A
178.5 N. Mbamba A 186.5 N. Rôdes
276.7 A. Jahanbakhsh ↓68’ 167.5 R. Květ 207.0 D. Hrnčár ↓83’
96.9 David Toševski ↓68’
  • 93G. Gallon (G)7.7
  • 67N. Moutha-Sebtaoui↓68’6.0
  • 7B. Goncalves7.2
  • 44L. De Fougerolles↓33’6.5
  • 70M. Sambu ★A8.7
  • 17N. MbambaA8.5
  • 18N. Rôdes6.5
  • 27A. Jahanbakhsh↓68’6.7
  • 16R. Květ7.5
  • 20D. Hrnčár↓83’7.0
  • 9David Toševski↓68’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 24M. Viltard↑68’6.7
  • 15K. Kotoń↑68’6.3
  • 19J. Attah Kadiri↑83’6.5
  • 90Mohamed Berte↑68’6.3

Unused: Bo De Kerf, G. Dietsch, D. Acquah, Amine Daali, R. Oratmangoen

Coach: Hayk Milkon

Charleroi 4-2-3-1

307.0 M. Koné(G)
237.2 Jules Gaudin 956.3 C. Keita 47.0 A. Ousou 247.3 M. Nzita
56.6 É. Camara ↓46’ 227.2 Y. Titraoui
106.3 P. Guiagon A↓90’ 87.0 J. Romsaas A 176.7 A. Bernier ↓62’
217.7 A. Scheidler
  • 30M. Koné (G)7.0
  • 23Jules Gaudin7.2
  • 95C. Keita6.3
  • 4A. Ousou7.0
  • 24M. Nzita7.3
  • 5É. Camara↓46’6.6
  • 22Y. Titraoui7.2
  • 10P. GuiagonA↓90’6.3
  • 8J. RomsaasA7.0
  • 17A. Bernier↓62’6.7
  • 21A. Scheidler7.7

Substitutes used

  • 14P. Pflücke↑46’7.3
  • 25A. Colassin↑62’7.3
  • 9F. Szymczak↑90’

Unused: M. Delavallée, R. Denuit, M. Boukamir, Y. Cisse, Y. Khalifi, A. Boukamir

Player stats

Top rated
M. SambuDender8.7
2nd
N. MbambaDender8.5
3rd
G. GallonDender7.7

Dender

Charleroi

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.