Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sun, Feb 1 2026 · 15:00 DENDER Football Complex, Denderleeuw
First leg1–2 1–2 Full time · HT 0–2 xG 2.76 – 1.11
  • B. Nsimba 58’
  • 3’, 8’ D. Heymans
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Genk beat Dender

Genk entered as narrow favourites and won 2–1 through two Heymans goals. Dender replied through a Nsimba goal. Genk won despite the lower xG; Dender created the better chances (2.76 vs 1.11). On the chances created, Dender deserved more: 2.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Dender30%
Draw26%
Genk ✓44%

Model vs reality

Dender goals
1
Model 1.22 · xG 2.76
Genk goals
2
Model 1.53 · xG 1.11
Total goals
3
Model 2.75 · xG 3.87
Score 1–2
9%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 52%
Both scored
Yes
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchD. HeymansGenk · 2 goals
8.6
  • RefereeNicolas Laforge
  • CoachesHayk Milkon · —
  • VenueDENDER Football Complex
  • Table before kick-offDender 16th · Genk 12th

Timeline

  1. D. Heymans 0–1Assist J. Ito
    3’
  2. D. Heymans 0–2Assist K. Karetsas
    8’
  3. Half time · 0–2
  4. ⇄ L. De FougerollesFor M. Sambu
    46’
  5. ⇄ A. JahanbakhshFor David Toševski
    46’
  6. B. NsimbaYellow card
    47’
  7. K. CoolsYellow card
    48’
  8. B. Nsimba 1–2
    58’
  9. ⇄ Y. SorFor J. Ito
    65’
  10. ⇄ I. BangouraFor K. Karetsas
    65’
  11. ⇄ M. SahiFor M. Viltard
    71’
  12. ⇄ J. KongoloFor Y. Sor
    77’
  13. ⇄ Mohamed BerteFor L. Marijnissen
    81’
  14. ⇄ N. SattlbergerFor D. Heymans
    82’
  15. ⇄ H. OhFor A. Bibout
    83’
  16. ⇄ N. RôdesFor R. Květ
    88’
  17. N. RôdesYellow card
    90+2’
  18. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

Dender22 shots · 15 in box, 7 outside
Genk8 shots · 7 in box, 1 outside
DenderGenk
51% Possession 49%
2.76 Expected goals (xG) 1.11
2.31 Expected points (xPts) 0.53
22 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 4
10 Shots off target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
15 Shots inside the box 7
7 Shots outside the box 1
447 Passes 468
81% Pass accuracy 82%
8 Corners 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
11 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 3
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.82 Team rating 7.10

Line-ups

Dender 3-4-1-2

936.3 G. Gallon(G)
76.9 B. Goncalves 216.6 K. Cools 55.9 L. Marijnissen ↓81’
887.7 F. Ferraro 247.2 M. Viltard ↓71’ 177.5 N. Mbamba 706.5 M. Sambu ↓46’
166.3 R. Květ ↓88’
777.3 B. Nsimba 96.7 David Toševski ↓46’
  • 93G. Gallon (G)6.3
  • 7B. Goncalves6.9
  • 21K. Cools6.6
  • 5L. Marijnissen↓81’5.9
  • 88F. Ferraro7.7
  • 24M. Viltard↓71’7.2
  • 17N. Mbamba7.5
  • 70M. Sambu↓46’6.5
  • 16R. Květ↓88’6.3
  • 77B. Nsimba7.3
  • 9David Toševski↓46’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 44L. De Fougerolles↑46’7.0
  • 27A. Jahanbakhsh↑46’6.6
  • 10M. Sahi↑71’6.3
  • 90Mohamed Berte↑81’6.7
  • 18N. Rôdes↑88’

Unused: L. Fortin, D. Acquah, N. Moutha-Sebtaoui, Bo De Kerf

Coach: Hayk Milkon

Genk 3-4-3

268.3 T. Lawal(G)
187.5 J. Kayembe 67.3 M. Smets 37.0 Mujaid Sadick
196.2 Y. Medina 87.3 B. Heynen 388.6★ D. Heymans ↓82’ 776.2 Z. El Ouahdi
106.9 J. Ito A↓65’ 236.0 A. Bibout ↓83’ 207.3 K. Karetsas A↓65’
  • 26T. Lawal (G)8.3
  • 18J. Kayembe7.5
  • 6M. Smets7.3
  • 3Mujaid Sadick7.0
  • 19Y. Medina6.2
  • 8B. Heynen7.3
  • 38D. Heymans ★↓82’8.6
  • 77Z. El Ouahdi6.2
  • 10J. ItoA↓65’6.9
  • 23A. Bibout↓83’6.0
  • 20K. KaretsasA↓65’7.3

Substitutes used

  • 21I. Bangoura↑65’6.7
  • 14Y. Sor6.3
  • 44J. Kongolo↑77’6.3
  • 24N. Sattlberger↑82’6.7
  • 9H. Oh↑83’6.5

Unused: H. Van Crombrugge, K. Nkuba, J. Steuckers, Robin Mirisola

Player stats

Top rated
D. HeymansGenk8.6
2nd
T. LawalGenk8.3
3rd
F. FerraroDender7.7

Dender

Genk

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.