Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sat, Feb 21 2026 · 15:00 DENDER Football Complex, Denderleeuw
Dender
First leg0–2 1–4 Full time · HT 1–2 xG 0.57 – 0.83
St. Truiden
  • N. Mbamba 1’
  • 24’ I. Sebaoui
  • 34’ R. Ito
  • 67’ R. Yamamoto
  • 87’ A. Muja
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

St. Truiden come from behind to beat Dender

St. Truiden entered as narrow favourites, yet Dender led 1–0 after 1 minutes through a Mbamba goal. But Sebaoui, Ito, Yamamoto and Muja scored to turn it around for St. Truiden, who won 4–1. The chances were even, with xG of 0.57 and 0.83. On the chances created, Dender deserved more: 1.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Dender28%
Draw26%
St. Truiden ✓47%

Model vs reality

Dender goals
1
Model 1.21 · xG 0.57
St. Truiden goals
4
Model 1.64 · xG 0.83
Total goals
5
Model 2.85 · xG 1.40
Score 1–4
2%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 54%
Both scored
Yes
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchR. ItoSt. Truiden · 1 goal · 1 assist
8.3
  • RefereeSimon Bourdeaud'hui
  • CoachesHayk Milkon · —
  • VenueDENDER Football Complex
  • Table before kick-offDender 16th · St. Truiden 2nd

Timeline

  1. N. Mbamba 1–0
    1’
  2. ⇄ Mohamed BerteFor B. Nsimba
    20’
  3. I. Sebaoui 1–1Assist Keisuke Goto
    24’
  4. R. Ito 1–2Assist A. Sissako
    34’
  5. Half time · 1–2
  6. N. MbambaYellow card
    58’
  7. M. ViltardYellow card
    62’
  8. ⇄ M. SambuFor N. Mbamba
    65’
  9. ⇄ K. KotońFor L. Marijnissen
    65’
  10. R. Yamamoto 1–3Assist R. Ito
    67’
  11. ⇄ A. MujaFor S. Jukleroed
    68’
  12. ⇄ R. MerlenFor R. Ito
    75’
  13. ⇄ N. RôdesFor M. Viltard
    77’
  14. ⇄ A. JahanbakhshFor K. Cools
    77’
  15. L. De FougerollesYellow card
    85’
  16. A. Muja 1–4Assist Keisuke Goto
    87’
  17. ⇄ Kaito MatsuzawaFor I. Sebaoui
    90’
  18. ⇄ O. DioufFor A. Sissako
    90’
  19. ⇄ I. DelpupoFor Keisuke Goto
    90’
  20. Full time · 1–4

Team stats

Dender11 shots · 6 in box, 5 outside
St. Truiden14 shots · 6 in box, 8 outside
DenderSt. Truiden
38% Possession 62%
0.57 Expected goals (xG) 0.83
1.08 Expected points (xPts) 1.54
11 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 4
5 Shots off target 4
2 Blocked shots 6
6 Shots inside the box 6
5 Shots outside the box 8
323 Passes 531
80% Pass accuracy 84%
4 Corners 9
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Fouls 6
1 Offsides 3
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.55 Team rating 7.04

Line-ups

Dender 3-4-1-2

935.6 G. Gallon(G)
76.2 B. Goncalves 216.2 K. Cools ↓77’ 445.9 L. De Fougerolles
886.2 F. Ferraro 247.3 M. Viltard ↓77’ 177.5 N. Mbamba ↓65’ 57.0 L. Marijnissen ↓65’
167.2 R. Květ
776.3 B. Nsimba ↓20’ 96.7 David Toševski
  • 93G. Gallon (G)5.6
  • 7B. Goncalves6.2
  • 21K. Cools↓77’6.2
  • 44L. De Fougerolles5.9
  • 88F. Ferraro6.2
  • 24M. Viltard↓77’7.3
  • 17N. Mbamba↓65’7.5
  • 5L. Marijnissen↓65’7.0
  • 16R. Květ7.2
  • 77B. Nsimba↓20’6.3
  • 9David Toševski6.7

Substitutes used

  • 90Mohamed Berte↑20’6.9
  • 70M. Sambu↑65’6.0
  • 27A. Jahanbakhsh↑77’6.7
  • 15K. Kotoń↑65’6.5
  • 18N. Rôdes↑77’6.7

Unused: L. Fortin, N. Moutha-Sebtaoui, R. Oratmangoen, Bo De Kerf

Coach: Hayk Milkon

St. Truiden 4-3-3

167.3 L. Kokubo(G)
186.3 S. Juklerød 47.3 L. Mbe Soh 57.3 S. Taniguchi 36.2 T. Hata
138.3★ R. Ito A↓75’ 86.6 A. Sissako A↓90’ 67.6 R. Yamamoto
107.5 I. Sebaoui ↓90’ 427.0 Keisuke Goto AA↓90’ 606.6 R. Vanwesemael
  • 16L. Kokubo (G)7.3
  • 18S. Juklerød6.3
  • 4L. Mbe Soh7.3
  • 5S. Taniguchi7.3
  • 3T. Hata6.2
  • 13R. Ito ★A↓75’8.3
  • 8A. SissakoA↓90’6.6
  • 6R. Yamamoto7.6
  • 10I. Sebaoui↓90’7.5
  • 42Keisuke GotoA×2↓90’7.0
  • 60R. Vanwesemael6.6

Substitutes used

  • 11I. Delpupo↑90’
  • 7A. Muja↑68’6.3
  • 38Kaito Matsuzawa↑90’
  • 14R. Merlen↑75’6.3

Unused: M. Lendfers, W. Janssens, J. Pupe, A. Diriken, O. Diouf

Player stats

Top rated
R. ItoSt. Truiden8.3
2nd
R. YamamotoSt. Truiden7.6
3rd
N. MbambaDender7.5

Dender

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
G. Gallon G 90 0 0 0 sv 0 77% 26 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.6
B. Goncalves D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 78% 50 2 1 0/0 1/0 6.2
K. Cools D 77 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 19 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.2
L. De Fougerolles D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 26 1 0 1/2 3/3 5.9
F. Ferraro D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 85% 27 0 0 1/2 0/0 6.2
M. Viltard M 77 0 0 2 (1) 3 82% 34 3 0 1/1 4/0 7.3
N. Mbamba M 65 1 0 1 (1) 1 90% 30 1 2 2/2 2/0 7.5
L. Marijnissen D 65 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 17 3 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
R. Květ M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 82% 38 2 1 1/3 0/0 7.2
B. Nsimba F 20 0 0 1 (0) 0 67% 6 0 0 0/2 0/0 6.3
David Toševski F 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 54% 24 0 0 1/1 1/1 6.7
Mohamed Berte F 70 0 0 1 (1) 1 86% 14 0 0 0/1 2/1 6.9
M. Sambu D 25 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.0
A. Jahanbakhsh F 13 0 0 1 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
K. Kotoń M 25 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
N. Rôdes M 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 2 0 0/0 0/0 6.7

St. Truiden

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
L. Kokubo G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 92% 26 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
S. Juklerød D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 28 1 2 0/1 0/0 6.3
L. Mbe Soh D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 65 0 2 0/1 1/1 7.3
S. Taniguchi D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 82 0 0 0/0 1/0 7.3
T. Hata D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 43 1 1 0/0 1/1 6.2
R. Ito M 75 1 1 1 (1) 1 81% 54 1 0 0/0 1/2 8.3
A. Sissako M 90 0 1 1 (0) 1 81% 68 2 1 1/2 0/0 6.6
R. Yamamoto M 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 73% 40 4 0 1/1 1/3 7.6
I. Sebaoui F 90 1 0 3 (1) 1 73% 41 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.5
Keisuke Goto F 90 0 2 0 (0) 4 68% 28 2 0 0/0 1/1 7.0
R. Vanwesemael D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 82% 39 2 1 2/2 1/2 6.6
I. Delpupo M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
A. Muja F 22 1 0 2 (1) 0 89% 9 1 0 0/1 0/1 6.3
Kaito Matsuzawa F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
R. Merlen M 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 8 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.