Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Fri, Aug 8 2025 · 19:45 Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, St.-Trond
2–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 2.69 – 0.45
  • A. Ferrari 28’ (P)
  • R. Ito 53’
  • 49’ L. De Fougerolles
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

St. Truiden beat Dender

St. Truiden entered as narrow favourites and won 2–0 through goals from Ferrari and Ito. Dender played with ten men from the 49th minute after De Fougerolles was sent off. St. Truiden finished with the higher xG (2.69 vs 0.45).

St. Truiden ✓42%
Draw27%
Dender31%

Model vs reality

St. Truiden goals
2
Model 1.49 · xG 2.69
Dender goals
0
Model 1.26 · xG 0.45
Total goals
2
Model 2.74 · xG 3.14
Score 2–0
7%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 52%
Both scored
No
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchR. ItoSt. Truiden · 1 goal
8.3
  • RefereeMassimiliano Ledda
  • VenueDaio Wasabi Stayen Stadium
  • Table before kick-offSt. Truiden 3rd · Dender 11th

Timeline

  1. VAR A. ScheidlerGoal Disallowed - offside
    15’
  2. A. Ferrari (pen) 1–0
    28’
  3. R. YamamotoYellow card
    45+6’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. L. De FougerollesRed card
    49’
  6. R. Ito 2–0Assist I. Sebaoui
    53’
  7. ⇄ K. KotońFor N. Mbamba
    57’
  8. ⇄ D. HrnčárFor N. Rôdes
    58’
  9. ⇄ M. SahiFor A. Scheidler
    66’
  10. ⇄ Ryan AdewusiFor J. Pupe
    67’
  11. ⇄ R. MerlenFor R. Vanwesemael
    72’
  12. ⇄ S. TaniguchiFor R. Yamamoto
    72’
  13. R. Van HeldenYellow card
    77’
  14. ⇄ N. Moutha-SebtaouiFor F. Ferraro
    80’
  15. ⇄ Keisuke GotoFor A. Ferrari
    80’
  16. R. MerlenYellow card
    82’
  17. ⇄ A. DirikenFor R. Ito
    90+2’
  18. ⇄ Kaito MatsuzawaFor I. Sebaoui
    90+2’
  19. Full time · 2–0

Team stats

St. Truiden14 shots · 11 in box, 3 outside
Dender6 shots · 4 in box, 2 outside
St. TruidenDender
52% Possession 48%
2.69 Expected goals (xG) 0.45
2.65 Expected points (xPts) 0.24
14 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 2
7 Shots off target 1
4 Blocked shots 3
11 Shots inside the box 4
3 Shots outside the box 2
474 Passes 447
81% Pass accuracy 78%
4 Corners 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
18 Fouls 7
5 Offsides 4
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
7.14 Team rating 6.61

Line-ups

St. Truiden 4-2-3-1

166.7 L. Kokubo(G)
37.2 T. Hata 267.2 V. Musliu 206.9 R. Van Helden 198.2 L. Patris
87.2 A. Sissako 66.9 R. Yamamoto ↓72’
107.3 I. Sebaoui A↓90’ 138.3★ R. Ito ↓90’ 606.2 R. Vanwesemael ↓72’
96.3 A. Ferrari ↓80’
  • 16L. Kokubo (G)6.7
  • 3T. Hata7.2
  • 26V. Musliu7.2
  • 20R. Van Helden6.9
  • 19L. Patris8.2
  • 8A. Sissako7.2
  • 6R. Yamamoto↓72’6.9
  • 10I. SebaouiA↓90’7.3
  • 13R. Ito ★↓90’8.3
  • 60R. Vanwesemael↓72’6.2
  • 9A. Ferrari↓80’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 5S. Taniguchi↑72’6.9
  • 14R. Merlen↑72’6.7
  • 42Keisuke Goto↑80’6.2
  • 33A. Diriken↑90’
  • 38Kaito Matsuzawa↑90’

Unused: M. Lendfers, S. Juklerød, W. Janssens, J. Mbalanda

Dender 3-5-2

346.7 M. Verrips(G)
36.6 J. Pupe ↓67’ 446.6 L. De Fougerolles 57.2 L. Marijnissen
886.5 F. Ferraro ↓80’ 176.5 N. Mbamba ↓57’ 246.9 M. Viltard 186.5 N. Rôdes ↓58’ 226.2 B. Fredrick
116.2 A. Scheidler ↓66’ 166.7 R. Květ
  • 34M. Verrips (G)6.7
  • 3J. Pupe↓67’6.6
  • 44L. De Fougerolles6.6
  • 5L. Marijnissen7.2
  • 88F. Ferraro↓80’6.5
  • 17N. Mbamba↓57’6.5
  • 24M. Viltard6.9
  • 18N. Rôdes↓58’6.5
  • 22B. Fredrick6.2
  • 11A. Scheidler↓66’6.2
  • 16R. Květ6.7

Substitutes used

  • 15K. Kotoń↑57’6.9
  • 20D. Hrnčár↑58’6.3
  • 10M. Sahi↑66’6.5
  • 37Ryan Adewusi↑67’6.5
  • 67N. Moutha-Sebtaoui↑80’6.3

Unused: G. Dietsch, B. Goncalves, K. Cools, D. Acquah

Player stats

Top rated
R. ItoSt. Truiden8.3
2nd
L. PatrisSt. Truiden8.2
3rd
I. SebaouiSt. Truiden7.3

St. Truiden

Dender

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.